Final Win Prob. pScore
1539%108
115
1261%112
144
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
113.910198.2
MIA logo Heat
142.6101103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
144
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)115
144
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatHeat offensive rebound115
144
Q4 - 0:07.4HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point fadeaway jump shot115
144
Q4 - 0:28.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound115
144
Q4 - 0:30.6HornetsJT Thor misses regular free throw 2 of 2115
144
Q4 - 0:30.6HornetsJT Thor makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
144
Q4 - 0:30.6HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (JT Thor draws the foul)114
144
Q4 - 0:38.4HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Javonte Smart assists)114
144
Q4 - 0:45.4HornetsJames Bouknight turnover (lost ball) (Javonte Smart steals)114
141
Q4 - 0:56.1HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
141
Q4 - 0:56.1HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
140
Q4 - 0:56.1HornetsNick Richards personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)114
140
Q4 - 1:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)114
140
Q4 - 1:07HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound114
140
Q4 - 1:09HornetsJames Bouknight misses two point driving reverse layup114
140
Q4 - 1:16HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound114
140
Q4 - 1:19HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot114
140
Q4 - 1:26HeatMychal Mulder defensive rebound114
140
Q4 - 1:29HornetsNick Richards misses two point turnaround hook shot114
140
Q4 - 1:30HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound114
140
Q4 - 1:34HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot114
140
Q4 - 1:55HeatMychal Mulder makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)114
140
Q4 - 2:08HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
137
Q4 - 2:08Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Javonte Smart, Mychal Mulder)113
137
Q4 - 2:08HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
137
Q4 - 2:08HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (Isaiah Thomas draws the foul)112
137
Q4 - 2:08HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
137
Q4 - 2:08Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Mychal Mulder)112
136
Q4 - 2:08Hornets lineup change (Nick Richards, Isaiah Thomas, Jalen McDaniels, James Bouknight, JT Thor)112
136
Q4 - 2:08HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
136
Q4 - 2:08HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)112
135
Q4 - 2:10HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)112
135
Q4 - 2:18HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound112
135
Q4 - 2:22HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot112
135
Q4 - 2:36HornetsNick Richards makes two point cutting layup (Miles Bridges assists)112
135
Q4 - 2:41HornetsIsaiah Thomas defensive rebound110
135
Q4 - 2:45HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running alley-oop layup110
135
Q4 - 2:50HornetsIsaiah Thomas turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)110
135
Q4 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot110
135
Q4 - 3:16Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson)110
132
Q4 - 3:16Hornets lineup change (Nick Richards, Isaiah Thomas, Miles Bridges, Jalen McDaniels, LaMelo Ball)110
132
Q4 - 3:16Heat 60 second timeout110
132
Q4 - 3:16HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point finger roll layup (Cody Martin assists)110
132
Q4 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
132
Q4 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
131
Q4 - 3:25HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
130
Q4 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
130
Q4 - 3:42HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot108
130
Q4 - 3:46HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound108
130
Q4 - 3:52HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot108
130
Q4 - 3:57HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound108
130
Q4 - 4:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot108
130
Q4 - 4:09HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
130
Q4 - 4:09HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot108
130
Q4 - 4:18HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)108
130
Q4 - 4:40HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)108
127
Q4 - 4:47HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)106
127
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound106
127
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point tip layup106
127
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound106
127
Q4 - 4:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup106
127
Q4 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)106
127
Q4 - 5:17HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point tip layup106
125
Q4 - 5:17HornetsTerry Rozier offensive rebound104
125
Q4 - 5:23HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot104
125
Q4 - 5:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)104
125
Q4 - 5:31HornetsHornets defensive rebound104
125
Q4 - 5:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot104
125
Q4 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound104
125
Q4 - 5:41HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot104
125
Q4 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup104
125
Q4 - 6:03HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
123
Q4 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
123
Q4 - 6:30HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
120
Q4 - 6:30HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
120
Q4 - 6:30HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)102
120
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
120
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
119
Q4 - 6:48HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
118
Q4 - 6:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
118
Q4 - 6:58Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)101
118
Q4 - 6:58HornetsMiles Bridges misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
118
Q4 - 6:58HeatOmer Yurtseven technical foul (Double)101
118
Q4 - 6:58HornetsP.J. Washington technical foul (Double)101
118
Q4 - 6:58HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)101
118
Q4 - 7:03HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound101
118
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
118
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
118
Q4 - 7:06HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)101
117
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound101
117
Q4 - 7:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot101
117
Q4 - 7:27HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)101
117
Q4 - 7:32HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)99
117
Q4 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)99
117
Q4 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
114
Q4 - 8:15HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot99
114
Q4 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 299
114
Q4 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
113
Q4 - 8:34Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball)99
112
Q4 - 8:34Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)99
112
Q4 - 8:34Hornets 60 second timeout99
112
Q4 - 8:34HornetsIsaiah Thomas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
112
Q4 - 8:45HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound99
112
Q4 - 8:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot99
112
Q4 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
112
Q4 - 8:56HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot99
112
Q4 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot99
112
Q4 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound99
109
Q4 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving dunk99
109
Q4 - 9:24HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound99
109
Q4 - 9:27HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses two point driving floating jump shot99
109
Q4 - 9:45Hornets lineup change (P.J. Washington, Isaiah Thomas, Miles Bridges, Jalen McDaniels, Terry Rozier)99
109
Q4 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
109
Q4 - 10:04HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound99
109
Q4 - 10:07HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot99
109
Q4 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 299
109
Q4 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
108
Q4 - 10:26Hornets lineup change (Isaiah Thomas, Miles Bridges, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., Terry Rozier)99
107
Q4 - 10:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
107
Q4 - 10:26Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)99
107
Q4 - 10:26Heat 60 second timeout99
107
Q4 - 10:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
107
Q4 - 10:34HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot99
107
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 399
107
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 399
106
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 399
105
Q4 - 10:51HornetsIsaiah Thomas shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)99
104
Q4 - 11:14HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point running finger roll layup99
104
Q4 - 11:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jalen McDaniels steals)97
104
Q4 - 11:33HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Omer Yurtseven steals)97
104
Q4 - 11:46Mason Plumlee defensive goaltending violation97
104
Q4 - 11:46HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)97
104
Q4 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Isaiah Thomas, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., Terry Rozier, Mason Plumlee)97
102
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.97
102
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound97
102
Q3 - 0:01.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot97
102
Q3 - 0:10.9HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound97
102
Q3 - 0:12.6HornetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 297
102
Q3 - 0:12.6HornetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 297
102
Q3 - 0:12.0Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, Miles Bridges, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., Mason Plumlee)97
102
Q3 - 0:12.6HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)97
102
Q3 - 0:26.2HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound97
102
Q3 - 0:29.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot97
102
Q3 - 0:40.5HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot97
102
Q3 - 0:51.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)95
102
Q3 - 1:12HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)95
99
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot93
99
Q3 - 1:46HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound93
97
Q3 - 1:50HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot93
97
Q3 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jalen McDaniels steals)93
97
Q3 - 2:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 293
97
Q3 - 2:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 292
97
Q3 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)91
97
Q3 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)91
97
Q3 - 2:26HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)91
97
Q3 - 2:33Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)91
97
Q3 - 2:33Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)91
97
Q3 - 2:33HeatMax Strus personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)91
97
Q3 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot91
97
Q3 - 3:04HornetsCody Martin makes three point stepback jump shot91
94
Q3 - 3:27HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)88
94
Q3 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
91
Q3 - 3:45HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot88
91
Q3 - 4:04Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball)88
91
Q3 - 4:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
91
Q3 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
91
Q3 - 4:16HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
91
Q3 - 4:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)88
91
Q3 - 4:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)88
88
Q3 - 4:38HeatHeat offensive rebound88
88
Q3 - 4:38HeatP.J. Washington blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup88
88
Q3 - 4:51Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent)88
88
Q3 - 4:51Heat 60 second timeout88
88
Q3 - 4:57HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (Terry Rozier assists)88
88
Q3 - 5:03HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound86
88
Q3 - 5:07HeatCody Martin blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot86
88
Q3 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
88
Q3 - 5:31HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot86
88
Q3 - 5:56Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)86
88
Q3 - 5:56Hornets 60 second timeout86
88
Q3 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
88
Q3 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
86
Q3 - 6:13HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot86
86
Q3 - 6:32HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)86
86
Q3 - 6:48HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running jump shot (Cody Martin assists)86
83
Q3 - 6:52HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound83
83
Q3 - 6:55HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving finger roll layup83
83
Q3 - 7:02HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound83
83
Q3 - 7:06HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot83
83
Q3 - 7:16HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound83
83
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 283
83
Q3 - 7:18Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball)83
83
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
83
Q3 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 183
82
Q3 - 7:18HornetsMason Plumlee technical foul83
82
Q3 - 7:18HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
82
Q3 - 7:34HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)83
82
Q3 - 7:46HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 180
82
Q3 - 7:46HornetsTerry Rozier shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)80
81
Q3 - 7:46HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)80
81
Q3 - 8:00HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
79
Q3 - 8:21HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound78
79
Q3 - 8:25HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot78
79
Q3 - 8:29HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound78
79
Q3 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot78
79
Q3 - 8:48HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving reverse layup78
79
Q3 - 8:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot76
79
Q3 - 9:06HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds step)76
77
Q3 - 9:07HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)76
77
Q3 - 9:10HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)76
77
Q3 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup73
77
Q3 - 9:31HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 173
75
Q3 - 9:31HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)72
75
Q3 - 9:31HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point pullup bank jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)72
75
Q3 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot70
75
Q3 - 9:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 270
73
Q3 - 9:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 269
73
Q3 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)68
73
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 168
73
Q3 - 10:10HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
72
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)68
72
Q3 - 10:25Heat 60 second timeout68
70
Q3 - 10:25HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)68
70
Q3 - 10:35HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound66
70
Q3 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot66
70
Q3 - 10:55HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup66
70
Q3 - 11:05HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound64
70
Q3 - 11:05HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot64
70
Q3 - 11:18HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point bank jump shot64
70
Q3 - 11:31HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound62
70
Q3 - 11:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
70
Q3 - 11:49HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point reverse layup (Miles Bridges assists)62
70
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent)60
70
Q3 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)60
70
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
70
Q2 - 0:00.1HornetsHornets offensive rebound60
70
Q2 - 0:00.8HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point pullup jump shot60
70
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot60
70
Q2 - 0:08.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
68
Q2 - 0:11.9HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot60
68
Q2 - 0:28.5Miles Bridges defensive goaltending violation60
68
Q2 - 0:28.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup60
68
Q2 - 0:32.2Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
66
Q2 - 0:43.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
66
Q2 - 0:45.5HornetsP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 260
66
Q2 - 0:45.5HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 260
66
Q2 - 0:45.5HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)59
66
Q2 - 1:00HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point putback layup59
66
Q2 - 1:01HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound59
64
Q2 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup59
64
Q2 - 1:09HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)59
64
Q2 - 1:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Miles Bridges steals)59
64
Q2 - 1:26HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
64
Q2 - 1:37Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)57
64
Q2 - 1:37HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)57
64
Q2 - 1:50HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)57
64
Q2 - 1:54HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)57
61
Q2 - 2:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
61
Q2 - 2:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)57
58
Q2 - 2:24HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound54
58
Q2 - 2:28HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point cutting layup54
58
Q2 - 2:32HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
58
Q2 - 2:35HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup54
58
Q2 - 2:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot54
58
Q2 - 3:08HornetsCody Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
56
Q2 - 3:21Hornets 60 second timeout54
56
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
56
Q2 - 3:33Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)54
53
Q2 - 3:33Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball)54
53
Q2 - 3:33HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
53
Q2 - 3:42HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point cutting dunk (Isaiah Thomas assists)54
53
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)52
53
Q2 - 4:22HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)52
51
Q2 - 4:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
51
Q2 - 4:45HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound49
51
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
51
Q2 - 5:02HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)49
51
Q2 - 5:27Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)49
51
Q2 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)49
51
Q2 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Off the ball) (Cody Martin draws the foul)49
51
Q2 - 5:35HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)49
51
Q2 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)49
51
Q2 - 5:54Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)49
48
Q2 - 5:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
48
Q2 - 5:54HeatHeat offensive rebound49
48
Q2 - 5:54HeatIsaiah Thomas blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup49
48
Q2 - 6:02HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)49
48
Q2 - 6:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
48
Q2 - 6:39HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot46
46
Q2 - 7:00Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Isaiah Thomas, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier)44
46
Q2 - 7:00Hornets 60 second timeout44
46
Q2 - 7:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot44
46
Q2 - 7:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
44
Q2 - 7:19HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot44
44
Q2 - 7:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Mason Plumlee steals)44
44
Q2 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
44
Q2 - 7:26HornetsBam Adebayo blocks Isaiah Thomas's two point driving reverse layup44
44
Q2 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup44
44
Q2 - 7:45HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)44
42
Q2 - 7:46HornetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound41
42
Q2 - 7:50HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot41
42
Q2 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 141
42
Q2 - 8:06Hornets lineup change (Isaiah Thomas, Miles Bridges, Jalen McDaniels, Terry Rozier, Mason Plumlee)41
41
Q2 - 8:06HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
41
Q2 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot41
41
Q2 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
39
Q2 - 8:22HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot41
39
Q2 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)41
39
Q2 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
39
Q2 - 8:50HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot41
39
Q2 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)41
39
Q2 - 9:20HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)41
36
Q2 - 9:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)41
36
Q2 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)41
36
Q2 - 9:56HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)41
33
Q2 - 10:13Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)39
33
Q2 - 10:13HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Thomas draws the foul)39
33
Q2 - 10:13HornetsHornets defensive rebound39
33
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
33
Q2 - 10:22HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)39
33
Q2 - 10:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)37
33
Q2 - 10:58HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point pullup jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)37
31
Q2 - 11:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot34
31
Q2 - 11:31HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving finger roll layup34
29
Q2 - 11:38HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Loose ball) (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)32
29
Q2 - 11:38HornetsHornets offensive rebound32
29
Q2 - 11:40HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot32
29
Q2 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Isaiah Thomas, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)32
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
29
Q1 - 0:02.6HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point cutting dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)32
29
Q1 - 0:12.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
29
Q1 - 0:21.0HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)30
26
Q1 - 0:22.1HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound30
26
Q1 - 0:24.3HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot30
26
Q1 - 0:28.8HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound30
26
Q1 - 0:31.4HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup30
26
Q1 - 0:50.8HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point driving layup (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)30
26
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 228
26
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 228
25
Q1 - 1:03HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)28
24
Q1 - 1:15HornetsCody Martin makes two point running dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)28
24
Q1 - 1:17HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound26
24
Q1 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot26
24
Q1 - 1:39HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)26
24
Q1 - 1:51HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound24
24
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot24
24
Q1 - 2:10Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)24
24
Q1 - 2:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
24
Q1 - 2:10HeatHeat defensive rebound24
24
Q1 - 2:11HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot24
24
Q1 - 2:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)24
24
Q1 - 2:42HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)24
21
Q1 - 2:49Heat lineup change (Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)22
21
Q1 - 2:49Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Jalen McDaniels, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball)22
21
Q1 - 2:49Hornets 60 second timeout22
21
Q1 - 2:51HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 2:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
21
Q1 - 2:57HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot22
21
Q1 - 3:09HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 3:12HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot22
21
Q1 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)22
21
Q1 - 3:46HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running layup22
18
Q1 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)20
18
Q1 - 3:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 4:00HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point fadeaway jump shot20
18
Q1 - 4:21Heat delay of game violation20
18
Q1 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk20
18
Q1 - 4:44HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving dunk (Miles Bridges assists)20
16
Q1 - 4:57HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)18
16
Q1 - 5:12HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound18
14
Q1 - 5:16HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot18
14
Q1 - 5:32HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds lost ball)18
14
Q1 - 5:32HeatMax Strus defensive rebound18
14
Q1 - 5:33HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point running layup18
14
Q1 - 5:37HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)18
14
Q1 - 5:52HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)18
14
Q1 - 6:05Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)18
14
Q1 - 6:05Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Kelly Oubre Jr., Terry Rozier)18
14
Q1 - 6:05Heat 60 second timeout18
14
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)18
14
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Miles Bridges draws the foul)18
14
Q1 - 6:15HornetsCody Martin makes two point driving layup (Terry Rozier assists)18
14
Q1 - 6:30HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup16
14
Q1 - 6:53HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving finger roll layup16
12
Q1 - 6:59HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
12
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - 7:12HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot14
12
Q1 - 7:30HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
12
Q1 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
9
Q1 - 7:42HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot14
9
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 214
9
Q1 - 7:49Hornets lineup change (Cody Martin, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball)14
8
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 214
8
Q1 - 7:49HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
7
Q1 - 7:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
7
Q1 - 7:56HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point pullup jump shot14
7
Q1 - 8:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)14
7
Q1 - 8:28HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
7
Q1 - 8:38HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - 8:40HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot14
4
Q1 - 8:51HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot14
4
Q1 - 9:03HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)14
4
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)12
4
Q1 - 9:40HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)12
2
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 29
2
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
1
Q1 - 9:57HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
0
Q1 - 10:04HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
0
Q1 - 10:08HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
0
Q1 - 10:16HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)9
0
Q1 - 10:19HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound6
0
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup6
0
Q1 - 10:42HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)6
0
Q1 - 10:51HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound3
0
Q1 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot3
0
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
0
Q1 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot3
0
Q1 - 11:12HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 13
0
Q1 - 11:12HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)2
0
Q1 - 11:12HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:29HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:34HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:40HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mason Plumlee vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)0
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.45 72.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
23
29
79%
MIA
11
20
55%
Midrange
CHA
10
18
56%
MIA
14
22
64%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
12
18.0
38
32%
47%
MIA
23
34.5
42
55%
82%
Free Throws
CHA
13
18
72%
MIA
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bridges2981%14.5 / 18
L. Ball1869%9.0 / 13
T. Rozier1653%8.0 / 15
P. Washington1354%6.5 / 12
J. McDaniels1179%5.5 / 7
I. Thomas850%4.0 / 8
C. Martin770%3.5 / 5
K. Oubre638%3.0 / 8
M. Plumlee467%2.0 / 3
N. Richards250%1.0 / 2
J. Thor150%0.5 / 1
J. Bouknight0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3583%17.5 / 21
J. Butler2775%13.5 / 18
B. Adebayo2279%11.0 / 14
D. Robinson2195%10.5 / 11
M. Strus12100%6.0 / 6
C. Martin1267%6.0 / 9
P. Tucker750%3.5 / 7
O. Yurtseven375%1.5 / 2
M. Mulder3150%1.5 / 1
G. Vincent220%1.0 / 5
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
88
+9
-13
97
MIA
87
+12
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.45 72.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
113.3
CHA 113.9
MIA 142.6 +28.7
Pace
100.0
96.2
CHA 98.2
MIA 103.9 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
CHA 14.7
MIA 13.9 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
54.7%
CHA 60.0%
MIA 70.8% +10.8%
TO %
12.6%
14.2%
CHA 13.9%
MIA 13.4% −0.5%
ORB %
23.5%
23.5%
CHA 17.5%
MIA 25.0% +7.5%
FTrt
23.4
25.2
CHA 21.2
MIA 34.5 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
64.4%
CHA 75.6% +15.2%
MIA 60.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.6%
CHA 7.9%
MIA 9.9% +2.0%
BLK %
9.5%
7.1%
CHA 7.1% +5.0%
MIA 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.8%
CHA 59.3%
MIA 72.7% +13.4%
Rim FG%
61.9%
63.4%
CHA 79.3% +24.3%
MIA 55.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.4%
CHA 55.6%
MIA 63.6% +8.0%
3P %
36.5%
37.9%
CHA 31.6%
MIA 54.8% +23.2%
FT %
74.0%
80.8%
CHA 72.2%
MIA 86.2% +14.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
30.6%
CHA 34.1% +10.3%
MIA 23.8%
Mid Att. %
20.2%
27.1%
CHA 21.2% −5.0%
MIA 26.2%
3P Att. %
41.7%
42.2%
CHA 44.7%
MIA 50.0% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points115144
Rebounds3141
Assists3429
Steals810
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)14 (1)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals45-8548-84
At-the-Rim FG23-2911-20
Midrange FG10-1814-22
2-Point FG33-4725-42
3-Point FG12-3823-42
Free Throws13-1825-29
Fast Break Pts173
2nd Chance Pts914
Points in Paint6642
Pts off Turnovers622
Bench Points3574
Biggest Lead1030

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
35.2
29
81%
6
4
1
0
1
2
1
5
4-5
80%
8-11
73%
3-5
60%
#2 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 21
34.4
18
69%
5
14
1
0
5
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
#3 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 28
34.0
16
53%
2
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
1-6
17%
#25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24
32.8
13
54%
6
4
0
1
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
#24 · C · 7'0" 254 · 32
20.2
4
67%
6
2
1
0
1
4
1
5
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 27
27.4
7
70%
2
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#6 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 24
17.1
11
79%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 26
16.3
6
38%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
#4 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 33
15.2
8
50%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
#14 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24
3.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 20
2.1
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · C · 6'8" 240 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Soreness
#98 · SF · 6'10" 213 · 24
Inactive - Not With Team
#23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 21
Inactive - Not With Team
#16 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 22
Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
31
34
8
3
13
18
7
24
13-18
72%
33-47
70%
12-38
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.