Final Win Prob. pScore
1239%110
109
761%114
113
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
112.49792.9
MIA logo Heat
116.597101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
113
Q4 - 0:01.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound109
113
Q4 - 0:04.8HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point turnaround jump shot109
113
Q4 - 0:05.7Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Danilo Gallinari)109
113
Q4 - 0:05.7Hawks 60 second timeout109
113
Q4 - 0:05.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
113
Q4 - 0:05.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
112
Q4 - 0:05.7HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)109
111
Q4 - 0:07.1HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound109
111
Q4 - 0:11.1HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot109
111
Q4 - 0:27.1Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)109
111
Q4 - 0:27.1Hawks 60 second timeout109
111
Q4 - 0:27.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)109
111
Q4 - 0:45.1HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound109
109
Q4 - 0:47.5HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot109
109
Q4 - 1:06HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound109
109
Q4 - 1:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot109
109
Q4 - 1:27HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot109
109
Q4 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot107
109
Q4 - 2:07HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
106
Q4 - 2:13HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound107
106
Q4 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
106
Q4 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
106
Q4 - 2:15HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
105
Q4 - 2:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound107
105
Q4 - 2:24HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot107
105
Q4 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot107
105
Q4 - 3:15HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot107
103
Q4 - 3:24HeatMax Strus personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)105
103
Q4 - 3:36Hawks lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)105
103
Q4 - 3:36Hawks 60 second timeout105
103
Q4 - 3:36HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
103
Q4 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
103
Q4 - 3:55HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot105
103
Q4 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)105
103
Q4 - 4:23HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Trae Young assists)105
101
Q4 - 4:42HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup103
101
Q4 - 4:44HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)103
99
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
99
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
98
Q4 - 4:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)103
97
Q4 - 5:03Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)103
97
Q4 - 5:03Hawks lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Onyeka Okongwu, Danilo Gallinari)103
97
Q4 - 5:03Hawks 60 second timeout103
97
Q4 - 5:03HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
97
Q4 - 5:18HawksKevin Huerter makes two point stepback jump shot103
97
Q4 - 5:38HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound101
97
Q4 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot101
97
Q4 - 5:53HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk101
97
Q4 - 5:53HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound99
97
Q4 - 5:58HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving finger roll layup99
97
Q4 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 299
97
Q4 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 299
96
Q4 - 6:22HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
96
Q4 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound99
96
Q4 - 6:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot99
96
Q4 - 6:37Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Kevin Huerter, Onyeka Okongwu)99
96
Q4 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)99
96
Q4 - 6:47HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound99
96
Q4 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
96
Q4 - 7:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)99
96
Q4 - 7:27Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)99
96
Q4 - 7:27HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
96
Q4 - 7:29HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound99
96
Q4 - 7:32HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot99
96
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)99
96
Q4 - 8:10HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point hook shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)99
93
Q4 - 8:34HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound97
93
Q4 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot97
93
Q4 - 8:50Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)97
93
Q4 - 8:50Heat 60 second timeout97
93
Q4 - 8:59HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)97
93
Q4 - 9:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound94
93
Q4 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot94
93
Q4 - 9:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)94
93
Q4 - 9:43HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point running jump shot (Delon Wright assists)94
93
Q4 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)91
93
Q4 - 9:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)91
93
Q4 - 9:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)91
93
Q4 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
93
Q4 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
92
Q4 - 10:14HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
91
Q4 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point fadeaway jump shot91
91
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (basket from below)89
91
Q4 - 10:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)89
91
Q4 - 10:49HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)89
91
Q4 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound89
91
Q4 - 11:00HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot89
91
Q4 - 11:02HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound89
91
Q4 - 11:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot89
91
Q4 - 11:14HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound89
91
Q4 - 11:16HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot89
91
Q4 - 11:33HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot89
91
Q4 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)87
91
Q4 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Onyeka Okongwu, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot)87
91
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
91
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksHawks offensive rebound87
91
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point tip layup87
91
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound87
91
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksDewayne Dedmon blocks Trae Young's two point driving finger roll layup87
91
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 287
91
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 287
90
Q3 - 0:07.1HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)87
90
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatHeat offensive rebound87
90
Q3 - 0:08.9HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot87
90
Q3 - 0:28.5HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)87
90
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatHeat defensive rebound87
90
Q3 - 0:30.4HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot87
90
Q3 - 0:39.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
90
Q3 - 0:55.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 287
88
Q3 - 0:55.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 286
88
Q3 - 0:55.5HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)85
88
Q3 - 1:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
88
Q3 - 1:01HawksHawks offensive rebound85
88
Q3 - 1:01HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot85
88
Q3 - 1:09HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot defensive rebound85
88
Q3 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot85
88
Q3 - 1:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point turnaround hook shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)85
88
Q3 - 1:54HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
88
Q3 - 2:08Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)83
85
Q3 - 2:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)83
85
Q3 - 2:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 283
85
Q3 - 2:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 282
85
Q3 - 2:17HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)81
85
Q3 - 2:24Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin)81
85
Q3 - 2:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)81
85
Q3 - 2:38HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)81
85
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
83
Q3 - 2:50HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot81
83
Q3 - 3:04Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot)81
83
Q3 - 3:04HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (out of bounds step)81
83
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound81
83
Q3 - 3:20HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot81
83
Q3 - 3:24Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)81
83
Q3 - 3:24Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)81
83
Q3 - 3:24HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)81
83
Q3 - 3:24HawksHawks offensive rebound81
83
Q3 - 3:26HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot81
83
Q3 - 3:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)81
83
Q3 - 3:45HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 281
83
Q3 - 3:45HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 280
83
Q3 - 3:45HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)79
83
Q3 - 3:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
83
Q3 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)79
81
Q3 - 4:15HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 176
81
Q3 - 4:15HawksDelon Wright shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)76
80
Q3 - 4:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)76
80
Q3 - 4:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound76
78
Q3 - 4:22HawksDelon Wright misses two point driving finger roll layup76
78
Q3 - 4:40Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Onyeka Okongwu)76
78
Q3 - 4:40Hawks 60 second timeout76
78
Q3 - 4:41HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
78
Q3 - 4:55Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)76
75
Q3 - 4:55HawksTrae Young personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
75
Q3 - 4:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound76
75
Q3 - 4:57HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot76
75
Q3 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot76
75
Q3 - 5:19HeatMax Strus defensive rebound76
72
Q3 - 5:22HawksClint Capela misses two point layup76
72
Q3 - 5:42HawksClint Capela defensive rebound76
72
Q3 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot76
72
Q3 - 5:56HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 176
72
Q3 - 5:56Heat 60 second timeout76
71
Q3 - 5:56HawksTrae Young technical foul76
71
Q3 - 5:56HawksTrae Young turnover (double dribble)76
71
Q3 - 6:04HawksClint Capela defensive rebound76
71
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot76
71
Q3 - 6:28HawksKevin Huerter makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)76
71
Q3 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot74
71
Q3 - 6:57HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot74
69
Q3 - 7:09HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound72
69
Q3 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot72
69
Q3 - 7:20HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)72
69
Q3 - 7:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
69
Q3 - 7:58HawksKevin Huerter makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)72
69
Q3 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround hook shot70
69
Q3 - 8:18HawksClint Capela makes two point tip layup70
67
Q3 - 8:18HawksClint Capela offensive rebound68
67
Q3 - 8:24HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot68
67
Q3 - 8:38Hawks lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)68
67
Q3 - 8:38HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)68
67
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)68
67
Q3 - 8:55HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
65
Q3 - 8:57HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot68
65
Q3 - 9:10HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)68
65
Q3 - 9:30HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot (Trae Young assists)68
62
Q3 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk66
62
Q3 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound66
60
Q3 - 9:46HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving hook shot66
60
Q3 - 10:07HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)66
60
Q3 - 10:15HawksClint Capela defensive rebound63
60
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup63
60
Q3 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (offensive foul)63
60
Q3 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
60
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 263
60
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
59
Q3 - 10:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
58
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
58
Q3 - 10:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup63
58
Q3 - 11:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound63
58
Q3 - 11:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot63
58
Q3 - 11:17HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating bank jump shot63
58
Q3 - 11:36HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot63
56
Q3 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)61
56
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
56
Q2 - 0:02.8HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound61
56
Q2 - 0:05.1HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 161
56
Q2 - 0:05.1HawksClint Capela shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)61
56
Q2 - 0:05.1HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup61
56
Q2 - 0:08.0HawksTrae Young makes three point pullup jump shot61
54
Q2 - 0:26.9HawksClint Capela defensive rebound58
54
Q2 - 0:30.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot58
54
Q2 - 0:39.4HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot58
54
Q2 - 1:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound56
54
Q2 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 256
54
Q2 - 1:02Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)56
54
Q2 - 1:02Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)56
54
Q2 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
54
Q2 - 1:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
53
Q2 - 1:17HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)56
53
Q2 - 1:22HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound53
53
Q2 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot53
53
Q2 - 1:38HawksTrae Young makes two point driving finger roll layup53
53
Q2 - 1:59HawksClint Capela defensive rebound51
53
Q2 - 2:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot51
53
Q2 - 2:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound51
53
Q2 - 2:11HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot51
53
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving reverse layup51
53
Q2 - 2:40Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)51
51
Q2 - 2:40HawksKevin Huerter turnover (offensive foul)51
51
Q2 - 2:40HawksKevin Huerter offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
51
Q2 - 2:59Hawks 60 second timeout51
51
Q2 - 3:04Clint Capela defensive goaltending violation51
51
Q2 - 3:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)51
51
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
49
Q2 - 3:14HawksKevin Huerter misses two point pullup jump shot51
49
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 251
49
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 251
48
Q2 - 3:29HawksClint Capela personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
47
Q2 - 3:37HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 251
47
Q2 - 3:37HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 250
47
Q2 - 3:37HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)49
47
Q2 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot49
47
Q2 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 249
45
Q2 - 4:05Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)48
45
Q2 - 4:05Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)48
45
Q2 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 248
45
Q2 - 4:05HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)47
45
Q2 - 4:10HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound47
45
Q2 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
45
Q2 - 4:27HawksClint Capela makes two point layup (Kevin Huerter assists)47
45
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)45
45
Q2 - 5:08HawksTrae Young makes three point running pullup jump shot45
43
Q2 - 5:10HawksTrae Young defensive rebound42
43
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot42
43
Q2 - 5:19HawksClint Capela makes two point turnaround hook shot42
43
Q2 - 5:24HawksClint Capela offensive rebound40
43
Q2 - 5:24HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point layup40
43
Q2 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)40
43
Q2 - 6:00HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot40
41
Q2 - 6:08Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)38
41
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)38
41
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Trae Young draws the foul)38
41
Q2 - 6:13HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)38
41
Q2 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)38
41
Q2 - 6:25HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
39
Q2 - 6:41HawksKevin Huerter makes two point bank jump shot38
39
Q2 - 6:41HawksKevin Huerter offensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 236
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 236
39
Q2 - 6:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)35
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela offensive rebound35
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup35
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela offensive rebound35
39
Q2 - 6:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point layup35
39
Q2 - 6:59Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)35
39
Q2 - 6:59Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela)35
39
Q2 - 6:59Heat 60 second timeout35
39
Q2 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)35
39
Q2 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)35
39
Q2 - 7:09HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound35
39
Q2 - 7:12HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot35
39
Q2 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk (Dewayne Dedmon assists)35
39
Q2 - 7:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)35
37
Q2 - 7:35HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound35
37
Q2 - 7:38HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot35
37
Q2 - 7:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 235
37
Q2 - 7:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 234
37
Q2 - 7:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)33
37
Q2 - 7:51HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot33
37
Q2 - 8:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
37
Q2 - 8:13HeatHeat defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 8:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point jump shot33
37
Q2 - 8:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic offensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 8:14HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot33
37
Q2 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 233
37
Q2 - 8:36Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Kevin Huerter, Onyeka Okongwu, Danilo Gallinari)33
36
Q2 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
36
Q2 - 8:36HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
35
Q2 - 8:53HawksDelon Wright makes two point layup33
35
Q2 - 9:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot31
35
Q2 - 9:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)31
33
Q2 - 9:14HeatHeat offensive rebound31
33
Q2 - 9:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
33
Q2 - 9:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot31
33
Q2 - 9:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 229
33
Q2 - 9:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 229
32
Q2 - 9:37HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
31
Q2 - 9:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 229
31
Q2 - 9:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 228
31
Q2 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)27
31
Q2 - 9:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
31
Q2 - 9:51HawksHawks offensive rebound27
31
Q2 - 9:53HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot27
31
Q2 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
31
Q2 - 10:24HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (offensive foul)27
29
Q2 - 10:24HawksDanilo Gallinari offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
29
Q2 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
29
Q2 - 10:53HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup27
26
Q2 - 11:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound25
26
Q2 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 125
26
Q2 - 11:13HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)25
26
Q2 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup25
26
Q2 - 11:33HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)25
24
Q2 - 11:35HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound22
24
Q2 - 11:40HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot22
24
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent)22
24
Q2 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Onyeka Okongwu, Danilo Gallinari, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot)22
24
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)22
24
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
24
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)22
24
Q1 - 0:11.0HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)22
21
Q1 - 0:32.8HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 0:34.8HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot22
21
Q1 - 0:46.1HawksTrae Young makes two point pullup jump shot22
21
Q1 - 0:54.2HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - 0:56.3HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot20
21
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
21
Q1 - 1:06HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot20
21
Q1 - 1:25HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot20
21
Q1 - 1:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound20
19
Q1 - 1:35HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot20
19
Q1 - 2:00HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
19
Q1 - 2:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
16
Q1 - 2:17HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot20
16
Q1 - 2:33HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)20
16
Q1 - 2:54HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
16
Q1 - 2:54HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
16
Q1 - 2:54Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin)18
16
Q1 - 2:54Hawks lineup change (Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot)18
16
Q1 - 2:54Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)18
16
Q1 - 2:54Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)18
16
Q1 - 2:54Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela)18
16
Q1 - 2:54Hawks 60 second timeout18
16
Q1 - 2:54HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)18
16
Q1 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)18
16
Q1 - 3:21HawksTrae Young makes two point running finger roll layup18
16
Q1 - 3:25HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Trae Young steals)16
16
Q1 - 3:31HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound16
16
Q1 - 3:34HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 116
16
Q1 - 3:34Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Delon Wright, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Clint Capela)16
16
Q1 - 3:34Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)16
16
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)16
16
Q1 - 3:34HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot (Trae Young assists)16
16
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)14
16
Q1 - 3:51HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)14
14
Q1 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)14
14
Q1 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - 4:22HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot14
12
Q1 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)14
12
Q1 - 4:41HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)14
12
Q1 - 4:46HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)12
12
Q1 - 4:54Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)12
12
Q1 - 4:54Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela)12
12
Q1 - 4:54HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
12
Q1 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
12
Q1 - 5:05HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot12
12
Q1 - 5:13HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound12
12
Q1 - 5:16HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot12
12
Q1 - 5:33HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot12
12
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup10
12
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot10
10
Q1 - 6:04HeatMax Strus defensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 6:07HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point pullup jump shot10
10
Q1 - 6:21Heat 60 second timeout10
10
Q1 - 6:21HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)10
10
Q1 - 6:42HawksClint Capela defensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 6:45HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot10
10
Q1 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 6:51HawksClint Capela misses two point alley-oop layup10
10
Q1 - 7:02HawksClint Capela defensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot10
10
Q1 - 7:17HawksTrae Young makes two point putback layup10
10
Q1 - 7:18HawksTrae Young offensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:21HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:33HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running pullup jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 7:41HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot8
7
Q1 - 7:54HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 7:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot8
7
Q1 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 8:10HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot8
7
Q1 - 8:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 28
7
Q1 - 8:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 28
6
Q1 - 8:31HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
5
Q1 - 8:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
5
Q1 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 8:40HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot8
5
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot8
5
Q1 - 9:07HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point fadeaway jump shot8
3
Q1 - 9:21HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)6
3
Q1 - 9:27HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)6
3
Q1 - 9:36HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound6
3
Q1 - 9:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot6
3
Q1 - 9:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
3
Q1 - 10:01HawksClint Capela makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)6
3
Q1 - 10:19HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot4
3
Q1 - 10:30HawksClint Capela makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kevin Huerter assists)4
0
Q1 - 10:39HawksClint Capela defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:41HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:56HawksClint Capela makes two point putback layup2
0
Q1 - 10:58HawksClint Capela offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:06HawksClint Capela offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:10HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:32HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat delay of game violation0
0
Q1 - 12:00Clint Capela vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (De'Andre Hunter, Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)0
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
23
65%
MIA
15
17
88%
Midrange
ATL
19
31
61%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
17
19
89%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young3565%17.5 / 27
B. Bogdanović2560%12.5 / 21
C. Capela1777%8.5 / 11
K. Huerter1563%7.5 / 12
D. Gallinari739%3.5 / 9
O. Okongwu675%3.0 / 4
D. Hunter214%1.0 / 7
D. Wright233%1.0 / 3
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
J. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
K. Lowry1680%8.0 / 10
T. Herro1558%7.5 / 13
G. Vincent1179%5.5 / 7
M. Strus8100%4.0 / 4
C. Martin857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson867%4.0 / 6
D. Dedmon350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+17
-14
100
MIA
80
+6
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.9
113.3
ATL 112.4
MIA 116.5 +4.1
Pace
98.1
96.2
ATL 92.9
MIA 101.5 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
ATL 15.5
MIA 14.2 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
54.7%
ATL 52.3%
MIA 63.2% +10.9%
TO %
11.5%
14.2%
ATL 13.5% −3.3%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
23.0%
23.5%
ATL 31.0% +19.2%
MIA 11.8%
FTrt
25.3
25.2
ATL 21.6
MIA 38.9 +17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
64.4%
ATL 40.5%
MIA 50.0% +9.5%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
ATL 9.3%
MIA 9.3%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
ATL 0.0%
MIA 1.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.6%
56.8%
ATL 54.5%
MIA 65.7% +11.2%
Rim FG%
61.1%
63.4%
ATL 65.2%
MIA 88.2% +23.0%
Mid FG%
44.5%
41.4%
ATL 61.3% +13.0%
MIA 48.3%
3P %
37.4%
37.9%
ATL 23.5%
MIA 42.3% +18.8%
FT %
81.2%
80.8%
ATL 89.5% +10.9%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
30.6%
ATL 26.1% +2.5%
MIA 23.6%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
27.1%
ATL 35.2% −5.1%
MIA 40.3%
3P Att. %
39.0%
42.2%
ATL 38.6% +2.5%
MIA 36.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points109113
Rebounds4333
Assists1720
Steals99
Blocks01
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls2317
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)29 (2)
Field Goals42-8840-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-17
Midrange FG19-3114-29
2-Point FG34-5429-46
3-Point FG8-3411-26
Free Throws17-1922-28
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts209
Points in Paint4248
Pts off Turnovers2216
Bench Points3337
Biggest Lead75

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24
36.0
35
65%
2
8
1
0
7
1
1
1
8-8
100%
9-12
75%
3-11
27%
#3 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
29.9
15
63%
7
3
3
0
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
#8 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 34
28.6
7
39%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 28
26.9
17
77%
14
0
0
0
0
2
6
8
1-3
33%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 24
25.4
2
14%
1
0
0
0
3
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30
36.1
25
60%
7
2
2
0
0
1
1
6
6-6
100%
5-10
50%
3-8
38%
#0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 30
21.2
2
33%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21
21.0
6
75%
7
2
1
0
2
4
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 27
14.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · C · 6'11" 251 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ring Finger; Sprain, Right Foot Strain
#6 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Discomfort
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
55%
43
17
9
0
14
23
13
30
17-19
89%
34-54
63%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.