for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 28, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
33%103
92
7
Raptors
67%109
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09298.4
TOR logo TOR
116.59185.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:17.2RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (O.G. Anunoby assists)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup89
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting finger roll layup (O.G. Anunoby assists)87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:27RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound87
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:30HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:31HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:34HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:36HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 2:50HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot87
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 3:13RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)87
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 3:13RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound85
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 3:37RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point jump shot85
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 3:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)85
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:04RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point pullup jump shot83
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:42RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)80
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:15RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:07RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:25RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa turnover (out of bounds lost ball)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:35HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:15RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa makes three point jump shot (O.G. Anunoby assists)76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:33RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound76
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 7:35HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 7:41HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 7:43RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point floating jump shot76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 7:45RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound76
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 7:47RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa misses two point layup76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatCody Zeller turnover (bad pass) (Jeff Dowtin Jr. steals)76
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 7:53HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 7:55RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa misses two point cutting finger roll layup76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 8:11HeatChris Boucher blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving reverse layup76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 8:33RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Jeff Dowtin Jr. assists)76
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 8:53RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound76
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 8:53HeatKyle Lowry misses two point layup76
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:08HeatHeat defensive rebound76
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 9:11RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point alley-oop dunk76
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 9:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)76
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 9:48RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Scottie Barnes assists)73
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 9:57RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 10:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound73
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 10:12RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa misses three point jump shot73
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 10:36HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 273
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 10:36HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 272
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 171
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:36RaptorsChris Boucher technical foul70
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 10:36RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)70
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 10:58RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa makes three point running jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 11:03HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)70
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 11:10HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound70
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 11:13RaptorsJeff Dowtin Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot70
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 11:36HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 170
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 11:36RaptorsScottie Barnes shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)69
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound67
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.3RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point driving floating jump shot67
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 0:03.5HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 267
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 0:03.5HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 266
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 0:03.5RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)65
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound65
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point tip layup65
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound65
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:26.1RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point stepback jump shot65
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:41.1HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)65
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:50.4RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)65
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 1:02HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)65
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 1:02HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)65
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:20RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)65
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point running jump shot65
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 1:44RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 1:52RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound63
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 1:54HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot63
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 2:00HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:04RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup bank jump shot63
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q3 - 2:11RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound63
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
3.4%
79
96.6%
Q3 - 2:21RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot63
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)63
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 3:08RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving layup60
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 3:31RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound60
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 3:35HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot60
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 3:50RaptorsChris Boucher personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)60
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 3:59RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)60
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 4:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot60
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 4:40RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 4:50RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound58
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 4:53HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving floating jump shot58
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 5:12RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point running layup58
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 5:18RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound58
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 5:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 5:31RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 258
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 5:31RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 258
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 5:31HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)58
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 5:56HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup58
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 5:59RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)56
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 6:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)56
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 6:34RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)54
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 6:40RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound54
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 6:42HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot54
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 6:56RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point running jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)54
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 7:02RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound54
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 7:04HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running finger roll layup54
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 7:10RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)54
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 7:52RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point stepback jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)52
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 7:54RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound52
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 7:56RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot52
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 8:10RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound52
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 8:14HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot52
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 8:18RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround jump shot52
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 8:24RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound52
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot52
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 8:49RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting layup (Pascal Siakam assists)52
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)52
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHeat offensive rebound52
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 9:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 9:19HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 152
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q3 - 9:19Raptors technical foul (Defensive three second)51
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 9:38HeatHeat defensive rebound51
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 9:38RaptorsGabe Vincent blocks Jakob Poeltl's two point cutting layup51
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (palming)51
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 10:02RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup51
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 10:04RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound51
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 10:07RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point running pullup jump shot51
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 10:12RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound51
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot51
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 10:26RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup51
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 10:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot51
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q3 - 10:56RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)49
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q3 - 11:02HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)49
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 249
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 248
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q3 - 11:12RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 11:28RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)47
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 11:28RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)47
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q3 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)47
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 11:42RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot47
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatHeat offensive rebound47
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot47
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 0:14.1HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound47
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 0:17.5RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot47
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q2 - 0:30.6HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 247
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q2 - 0:30.6HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 246
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 0:30.6RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)45
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q2 - 0:34.8RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving layup (Fred VanVleet assists)45
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q2 - 0:48.1HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)45
17.6%
51
82.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)42
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 1:02RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound42
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot42
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 1:20RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running layup (Fred VanVleet assists)42
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 1:24HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)42
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 1:34HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound42
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup42
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 1:51RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point cutting layup (Scottie Barnes assists)42
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:01RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound42
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 2:03HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot42
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 2:26RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving bank jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)42
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 2:38RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound42
23.9%
45
76.1%
Q2 - 2:41HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot42
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 2:54HeatMax Strus defensive rebound42
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 2:57RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point jump shot42
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 3:15HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot42
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 3:28RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point stepback jump shot40
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 3:43HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)40
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:43HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)40
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 3:51RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point tip dunk40
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 3:51RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound40
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 3:54RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot40
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q2 - 4:01RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound40
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:02RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point driving floating jump shot40
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 4:12HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)40
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:22RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound40
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 4:27HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot40
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 4:30RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point tip layup40
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 4:30RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound40
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:34RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot40
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 4:55RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 5:01HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound38
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 5:04RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point stepback jump shot38
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 5:28RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound38
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot38
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound38
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running finger roll layup38
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 5:45HeatMax Strus defensive rebound38
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 5:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point running jump shot38
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 5:54RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound38
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 6:06HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound38
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 6:09RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa misses three point jump shot38
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 6:31HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 6:51RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)35
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 7:16RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point tip layup32
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 7:16RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound32
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:19RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround jump shot32
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 7:28RaptorsJeff Dowtin Jr. defensive rebound32
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:31HeatJeff Dowtin Jr. blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot32
22.7%
36
77.3%
Q2 - 7:41HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound32
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 7:43RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 1 of 132
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 7:43HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)32
22.6%
36
77.4%
Q2 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround jump shot32
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 8:16RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)30
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 8:38HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)30
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 8:52RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 228
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 8:52RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 228
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 8:52HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)28
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 9:08HeatCody Zeller makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)28
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 9:12HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound26
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 9:16RaptorsJeff Dowtin Jr. misses three point jump shot26
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 9:19RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound26
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 9:22RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point driving floating jump shot26
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 9:27RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound26
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 9:27RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point tip layup26
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 9:27RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound26
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 9:30RaptorsCaleb Martin blocks Scottie Barnes's two point driving layup26
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot26
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q2 - 10:06RaptorsJeff Dowtin Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Scottie Barnes assists)23
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 10:10RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound23
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 10:12HeatCody Zeller misses two point running layup23
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 10:17RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)23
22.4%
28
77.6%
Q2 - 10:37HeatCody Zeller turnover (traveling)23
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 10:45HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound23
22.4%
28
77.6%
Q2 - 10:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot23
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 11:02RaptorsScottie Barnes personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)23
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 11:15RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)23
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 11:27HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q2 - 11:48RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)23
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound23
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point running pullup jump shot23
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q1 - 0:01.9RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point running dunk23
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Scottie Barnes steals)23
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q1 - 0:25.7RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point driving hook shot (Pascal Siakam assists)23
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 0:28.1RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound23
35.6%
20
64.4%
Q1 - 0:32.7HeatPrecious Achiuwa blocks Victor Oladipo's two point driving layup23
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 0:45.9RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Precious Achiuwa assists)23
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 1:01RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound23
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 1:04HeatPascal Siakam blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup23
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q1 - 1:15RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)23
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 1:32HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)23
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 1:40HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound21
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup21
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound21
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup21
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 2:05HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 2:08RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot21
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 2:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup21
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 2:42RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving floating jump shot19
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 2:49RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound19
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 2:51HeatChris Boucher blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot19
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 3:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
41.4%
14
58.6%
Q1 - 3:09RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa misses three point jump shot19
40.6%
14
59.4%
Q1 - 3:34HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot19
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 3:53RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 216
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 3:53RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 216
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 3:53HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)16
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 4:06RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound16
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot16
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 4:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound16
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 4:27RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot16
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 4:37RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound16
36.5%
12
63.5%
Q1 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot16
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 4:54RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot16
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 5:03HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)16
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:03RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound16
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:06RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point running pullup jump shot16
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 5:08RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound16
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:11HeatFred VanVleet blocks Kevin Love's two point turnaround jump shot16
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 5:31RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving layup16
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot16
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 6:07RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 214
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 6:07RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 214
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 6:07HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)14
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 6:17RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound14
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving reverse layup14
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 6:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 6:39RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point running jump shot14
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 6:45RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound14
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 6:48HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot14
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 6:54HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound14
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 6:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot14
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 7:20RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point running pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)14
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 7:24RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound14
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 7:26HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot14
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 7:50RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running dunk14
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (O.G. Anunoby steals)14
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 8:04HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 8:05RaptorsJakob Poeltl misses two point tip layup14
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 8:05RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound14
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 8:08RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving hook shot14
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)14
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 8:34RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point putback layup12
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 8:34RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound12
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 8:38RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot12
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 8:52HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 9:05HeatKevin Love defensive rebound12
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 9:09RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 212
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 211
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 9:19RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 9:28HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound10
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 9:31RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point stepback jump shot10
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:01RaptorsJakob Poeltl misses two point driving hook shot7
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:23HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:23HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 26
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 10:23RaptorsPascal Siakam shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)5
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound5
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 10:33RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot5
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:47RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)5
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:02HeatKevin Love makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)5
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:22HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:25RaptorsKevin Love blocks Jakob Poeltl's two point layup2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Gabe Vincent gains possession)0
29.7%
0
70.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
TOR
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
19
47%
TOR
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIA
13
28
46%
TOR
16
24
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
TOR
8
12.0
36
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
18
19
95%
TOR
8
9
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3379%16.5 / 21
B. Adebayo2148%10.5 / 22
V. Oladipo744%3.5 / 8
C. Martin744%3.5 / 8
K. Lowry638%3.0 / 8
C. Zeller675%3.0 / 4
D. Robinson450%2.0 / 4
K. Love330%1.5 / 5
M. Strus350%1.5 / 3
G. Vincent220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Siakam2657%13.0 / 23
S. Barnes2265%11.0 / 17
O. Anunoby2279%11.0 / 14
F. VanVleet1246%6.0 / 13
P. Achiuwa1260%6.0 / 10
C. Boucher833%4.0 / 12
J. Poeltl220%1.0 / 5
J. Dowtin233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+15
-15
92
TOR
82
+16
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
TOR
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.0
MIA 100.0
TOR 116.5 +16.5
Pace
96.3
97.5
MIA 98.4 +12.9
TOR 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIA 14.6 +2.2
TOR 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.7%
MIA 46.3%
TOR 52.7% +6.4%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 15.3%
TOR 8.5% +6.8%
ORB %
22.8%
27.8%
MIA 27.3%
TOR 32.6% +5.3%
FTrt
27.0
25.7
MIA 23.8 +14.1
TOR 9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
57.1%
MIA 56.3%
TOR 71.1% +14.8%
STL %
8.2%
9.6%
MIA 6.5%
TOR 8.8% +2.3%
BLK %
6.3%
10.4%
MIA 5.3%
TOR 14.9% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.3%
MIA 50.0%
TOR 54.1% +4.1%
Rim FG%
62.6%
63.1%
MIA 47.4%
TOR 63.6% +16.2%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 46.4%
TOR 66.7% +20.3%
3P %
34.4%
33.5%
MIA 30.3% +8.1%
TOR 22.2%
FT %
83.1%
78.4%
MIA 94.7% +5.8%
TOR 88.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.5%
MIA 23.8%
TOR 35.5% +11.7%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
30.4%
MIA 35.0%
TOR 25.8% +9.2%
3P Att. %
40.8%
35.1%
MIA 41.3% +2.5%
TOR 38.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points92106
Rebounds4347
Assists1832
Steals68
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)9 (0)
Fouls1013
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals32-8045-93
At-the-Rim FG9-1921-33
Midrange FG13-2816-24
2-Point FG22-4737-57
3-Point FG10-338-36
Free Throws18-198-9
Fast Break Pts1023
2nd Chance Pts411
Points in Paint3662
Pts off Turnovers1120
Bench Points2622
Biggest Lead1019

BOXSCORE

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19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
36.6
33
79%
3
6
0
0
4
0
0
3
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
6-10
60%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
36.5
21
48%
12
4
1
0
0
2
5
7
7-8
88%
7-18
39%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 31
22.9
7
44%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
19.5
3
30%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
18.5
2
20%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
30.1
7
44%
5
0
1
1
4
1
3
2
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
26.7
3
50%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
24.5
6
38%
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
12.0
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30
11.5
6
75%
7
0
0
0
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
43
18
6
3
15
10
12
31
18-19
95%
22-47
47%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.