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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets28%103137
23Thunder72%111134
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.8
38.5
18.1
19
57%
4
9
0
1
4
5
1
3
3-4
75%
5-10
1-3
50%
45%
2-5
40%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.6
37.5
30.5
43
79%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
6-7
86%
11-15
5-9
73%
53%
5-9
56%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 25.8
36.6
28.2
18
58%
5
8
3
1
2
0
2
3
4-6
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.3
26.2
17.1
14
65%
11
0
0
0
0
1
4
7
2-4
50%
6-9
2-4
67%
61%
0-0
-
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.4
23.9
19.8
11
56%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
3-6
50%
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.6
36.4
18.7
14
59%
6
4
0
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
54%
1-5
20%
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 22.2
21.8
14.0
12
95%
14
1
0
0
0
3
3
11
2-3
67%
5-5
1-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
19.1
6.2
6
34%
4
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
26.2
1
3-7
47%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.3
21.0
1
4-6
59%
Xavier Sneed
F · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.5
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.0
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.0
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.3
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.5
34.3
31.7
31
65%
10
9
0
1
1
5
0
10
2-4
50%
13-19
7-12
68%
55%
1-3
33%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.0
33.5
33.4
31
78%
3
4
4
2
0
1
1
2
8-9
89%
10-14
6-9
71%
60%
1-2
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.9
32.6
29.5
16
59%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
7-8
88%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.7
31.7
23.6
33
78%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-7
71%
5-7
1-2
71%
54%
6-11
55%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
18.2
23.3
3
34%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.4
26.6
12.8
7
44%
5
2
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
1-3
33%
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 22.1
17.6
10.4
7
50%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.9
12.9
11.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
12.2
11.9
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 21.3
10.0
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jared Butler
G · 6'2" 193 · 22.6
7.4
4.8
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 29.0
3.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
8.0
0
1-1
60%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.7
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.