Final Win Prob. pScore
1346%110
122
1554%111
129
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
124.598103.1
MIA logo Heat
131.69893.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.122
129
Q4 - 0:02.8MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound122
129
Q4 - 0:06.4HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 2122
129
Q4 - 0:06.4HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
129
Q4 - 0:06.4MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)122
128
Q4 - 0:11.7Jump ball. Jimmy Butler vs. Maxi Kleber (Caleb Martin gains possession)122
128
Q4 - 0:11.7Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)122
128
Q4 - 0:11.7HeatHeat defensive rebound122
128
Q4 - 0:12.7MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot122
128
Q4 - 0:14.5Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)122
128
Q4 - 0:11.7Heat challenge timeout122
128
Q4 - 0:14.5Mavericks 60 second timeout122
128
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)122
128
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatHeat offensive rebound122
128
Q4 - 0:15.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot122
128
Q4 - 0:38.5MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)122
128
Q4 - 0:46.4MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound120
128
Q4 - 0:49.5HeatCody Zeller misses three point jump shot120
128
Q4 - 1:02HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound120
128
Q4 - 1:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot120
128
Q4 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound120
128
Q4 - 1:25MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot120
128
Q4 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
128
Q4 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
127
Q4 - 1:40MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)120
126
Q4 - 1:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound120
126
Q4 - 1:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot120
126
Q4 - 2:01MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound120
126
Q4 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2120
126
Q4 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
126
Q4 - 2:04MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)120
125
Q4 - 2:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)120
125
Q4 - 2:21MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)120
125
Q4 - 2:35MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound117
125
Q4 - 2:38HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot117
125
Q4 - 3:05MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot117
125
Q4 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk115
125
Q4 - 3:25MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)115
123
Q4 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot115
123
Q4 - 3:54Heat 60 second timeout115
121
Q4 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
121
Q4 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
121
Q4 - 3:59HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)114
121
Q4 - 4:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)114
121
Q4 - 4:09MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound114
121
Q4 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot114
121
Q4 - 4:28MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point pullup bank jump shot114
121
Q4 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)112
121
Q4 - 5:01MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)112
119
Q4 - 5:21HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)110
119
Q4 - 5:21HeatHeat offensive rebound110
119
Q4 - 5:23HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot110
119
Q4 - 5:35Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)110
119
Q4 - 5:35MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)110
119
Q4 - 5:45MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot110
119
Q4 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
119
Q4 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
118
Q4 - 5:58MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
117
Q4 - 6:09MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
117
Q4 - 6:10MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound107
117
Q4 - 6:13HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot107
117
Q4 - 6:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)107
117
Q4 - 6:23HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound107
117
Q4 - 6:25HeatCody Zeller misses two point floating jump shot107
117
Q4 - 6:37Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Tyler Herro)107
117
Q4 - 6:37Heat 60 second timeout107
117
Q4 - 6:40MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)107
117
Q4 - 6:42MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
117
Q4 - 6:42Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)106
117
Q4 - 6:42Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Josh Green)106
117
Q4 - 6:42MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
117
Q4 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)105
117
Q4 - 6:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound105
117
Q4 - 6:48HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot105
117
Q4 - 7:07MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving finger roll layup (Christian Wood assists)105
117
Q4 - 7:23HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)103
117
Q4 - 7:31HeatKevin Love defensive rebound103
114
Q4 - 7:35MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot103
114
Q4 - 7:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)103
114
Q4 - 8:05HeatKevin Love defensive rebound103
114
Q4 - 8:05MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot103
114
Q4 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot103
114
Q4 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound103
112
Q4 - 8:24HeatChristian Wood blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot103
112
Q4 - 8:47MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot103
112
Q4 - 8:58Gabe Vincent kicked ball violation101
112
Q4 - 9:06Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Josh Green, Christian Wood)101
112
Q4 - 9:06Mavericks 60 second timeout101
112
Q4 - 9:07HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)101
112
Q4 - 9:30MavericksChristian Wood makes two point pullup jump shot101
109
Q4 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot99
109
Q4 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
106
Q4 - 9:49MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot99
106
Q4 - 10:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup99
106
Q4 - 10:35MavericksChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)99
104
Q4 - 10:42MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound96
104
Q4 - 10:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
104
Q4 - 11:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound96
104
Q4 - 11:09MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot96
104
Q4 - 11:24HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)96
104
Q4 - 11:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound96
102
Q4 - 11:43MavericksChristian Wood misses two point driving floating jump shot96
102
Q4 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Kyrie Irving, Josh Green, Christian Wood)96
102
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
102
Q3 - 0:11.0MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound96
102
Q3 - 0:14.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot96
102
Q3 - 0:29.9HeatKevin Love defensive rebound96
102
Q3 - 0:32.4MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot96
102
Q3 - 0:43.1Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)96
102
Q3 - 0:43.1Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Christian Wood)96
102
Q3 - 0:43.1MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes flagrant free throw 2 of 296
102
Q3 - 0:43.1MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes flagrant free throw 1 of 295
102
Q3 - 0:43.1Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)94
102
Q3 - 0:43.1HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)94
102
Q3 - 0:43.1HeatKevin Love flagrant 1 (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)94
102
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatMax Strus defensive rebound94
102
Q3 - 0:53.0MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot94
102
Q3 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Love assists)94
102
Q3 - 1:26MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot94
100
Q3 - 1:34HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Luka Doncic steals)91
100
Q3 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound91
100
Q3 - 1:51MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot91
100
Q3 - 2:12HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
100
Q3 - 2:29Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Jaden Hardy, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green)91
97
Q3 - 2:29Stoppage (Court cleanup)91
97
Q3 - 2:29MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)91
97
Q3 - 2:29MavericksLuka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)91
97
Q3 - 2:36HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)91
97
Q3 - 2:38MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound91
97
Q3 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot91
97
Q3 - 2:48HeatKevin Love offensive rebound91
97
Q3 - 2:50HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot91
97
Q3 - 3:08MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)91
97
Q3 - 3:20MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound88
97
Q3 - 3:23HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot88
97
Q3 - 3:44MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)88
97
Q3 - 3:48Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)85
97
Q3 - 3:48Mavericks 60 second timeout85
97
Q3 - 3:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
97
Q3 - 3:55MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound85
97
Q3 - 3:58HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround bank jump shot85
97
Q3 - 4:07HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound85
97
Q3 - 4:09HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot85
97
Q3 - 4:30MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 285
97
Q3 - 4:30MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 284
97
Q3 - 4:30HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)83
97
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 283
97
Q3 - 4:44Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry)83
96
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 283
96
Q3 - 4:44MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
95
Q3 - 4:47HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound83
95
Q3 - 4:49MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point pullup jump shot83
95
Q3 - 5:06HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)83
95
Q3 - 5:24MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)83
93
Q3 - 5:42Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)81
93
Q3 - 5:42Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Josh Green)81
93
Q3 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)81
93
Q3 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)81
93
Q3 - 5:55HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound81
93
Q3 - 5:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot81
93
Q3 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot81
93
Q3 - 6:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)81
91
Q3 - 6:24MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound79
91
Q3 - 6:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot79
91
Q3 - 6:46MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)79
91
Q3 - 7:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)77
91
Q3 - 7:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point cutting layup (Kyrie Irving assists)77
91
Q3 - 7:25HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)75
91
Q3 - 7:41MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dwight Powell assists)75
88
Q3 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)73
88
Q3 - 7:56Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)73
88
Q3 - 7:56Mavericks 60 second timeout73
88
Q3 - 7:56HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)73
88
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound73
86
Q3 - 8:05MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot73
86
Q3 - 8:23HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)73
86
Q3 - 8:37HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound73
83
Q3 - 8:41MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot73
83
Q3 - 8:47MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound73
83
Q3 - 8:48HeatMax Strus misses two point tip layup73
83
Q3 - 8:48HeatMax Strus offensive rebound73
83
Q3 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
83
Q3 - 9:03MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)73
83
Q3 - 9:13HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)71
83
Q3 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Max Strus assists)71
83
Q3 - 9:48MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)71
80
Q3 - 9:48MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)71
80
Q3 - 9:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
80
Q3 - 10:02HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)71
80
Q3 - 10:11MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)71
78
Q3 - 10:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
78
Q3 - 10:31HeatCody Zeller makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)69
78
Q3 - 10:56MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point running jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)69
76
Q3 - 11:03MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound66
76
Q3 - 11:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot66
76
Q3 - 11:17MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)66
76
Q3 - 11:30MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound64
76
Q3 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot64
76
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)64
76
Q3 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)64
76
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.64
76
Q2 - 0:00.2MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot64
76
Q2 - 0:05.7Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)62
76
Q2 - 0:05.7HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)62
76
Q2 - 0:29.0MavericksKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)62
76
Q2 - 0:41.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
76
Q2 - 0:41.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
75
Q2 - 0:41.3MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
74
Q2 - 0:50.6MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)62
74
Q2 - 1:05MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound62
74
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot62
74
Q2 - 1:20Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)62
74
Q2 - 1:20MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (traveling)62
74
Q2 - 1:30MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound62
74
Q2 - 1:32HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
74
Q2 - 1:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point dunk (Kyrie Irving assists)62
74
Q2 - 1:58MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound60
74
Q2 - 2:00HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup60
74
Q2 - 2:21MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point turnaround jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)60
74
Q2 - 2:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
74
Q2 - 3:01MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point running layup58
72
Q2 - 3:07MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound56
72
Q2 - 3:10HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot56
72
Q2 - 3:22MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)56
72
Q2 - 3:40HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)54
72
Q2 - 3:50MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot54
70
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup52
70
Q2 - 4:14MavericksReggie Bullock makes two point pullup jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)52
68
Q2 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot50
68
Q2 - 4:56MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup50
66
Q2 - 5:10Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)48
66
Q2 - 5:10Mavericks 60 second timeout48
66
Q2 - 5:10HeatCody Zeller makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)48
66
Q2 - 5:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound48
64
Q2 - 5:26MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot48
64
Q2 - 5:43HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)48
64
Q2 - 5:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot48
62
Q2 - 6:11HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 146
62
Q2 - 6:11MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)46
61
Q2 - 6:11HeatCody Zeller makes two point layup (Caleb Martin assists)46
61
Q2 - 6:20HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
59
Q2 - 6:25MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point running pullup jump shot46
59
Q2 - 6:27MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound46
59
Q2 - 6:30HeatDwight Powell blocks Cody Zeller's two point cutting layup46
59
Q2 - 6:39MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Cody Zeller steals)46
59
Q2 - 6:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)46
59
Q2 - 6:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
57
Q2 - 7:00MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
57
Q2 - 7:15HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 246
57
Q2 - 7:15HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 246
56
Q2 - 7:15MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)46
56
Q2 - 7:27Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Tyler Herro)46
56
Q2 - 7:27Heat 60 second timeout46
56
Q2 - 7:34MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)46
56
Q2 - 7:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)43
56
Q2 - 8:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound43
56
Q2 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot43
56
Q2 - 8:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 243
56
Q2 - 8:13Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)42
56
Q2 - 8:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 242
56
Q2 - 8:13HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)42
56
Q2 - 8:14MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound42
56
Q2 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot42
56
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 3 of 342
56
Q2 - 8:31Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)41
56
Q2 - 8:31Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Dwight Powell, Justin Holiday, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)41
56
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 341
56
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 340
56
Q2 - 8:31HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)39
56
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot39
56
Q2 - 9:07HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 139
54
Q2 - 9:07MavericksTheo Pinson technical foul39
53
Q2 - 9:08MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Christian Wood assists)39
53
Q2 - 9:25Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)37
53
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)37
53
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love offensive foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)37
53
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love defensive rebound37
53
Q2 - 9:27MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot37
53
Q2 - 9:39HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 237
53
Q2 - 9:39HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 237
52
Q2 - 9:39MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)37
51
Q2 - 9:45MavericksChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)37
51
Q2 - 9:55Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)34
51
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)34
51
Q2 - 9:55MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound34
51
Q2 - 9:56MavericksJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot34
51
Q2 - 10:12HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
51
Q2 - 10:26Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Justin Holiday, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Christian Wood)34
48
Q2 - 10:26MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
48
Q2 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Maxi Kleber steals)34
48
Q2 - 10:43MavericksJaden Hardy makes three point pullup jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)34
48
Q2 - 10:56HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
48
Q2 - 11:11MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (offensive foul)31
46
Q2 - 11:11MavericksJaden Hardy offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
46
Q2 - 11:13MavericksChristian Wood defensive rebound31
46
Q2 - 11:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
46
Q2 - 11:32MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)31
46
Q2 - 11:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 231
46
Q2 - 11:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 231
45
Q2 - 11:45MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
44
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)31
44
Q2 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Jaden Hardy, Justin Holiday, Kyrie Irving, Christian Wood)31
44
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
44
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound31
44
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
44
Q1 - 0:06.0HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound31
44
Q1 - 0:07.3MavericksChristian Wood misses three point jump shot31
44
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 231
44
Q1 - 0:26.2Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)31
43
Q1 - 0:26.2Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Jaden Hardy, Justin Holiday, Christian Wood)31
43
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 231
43
Q1 - 0:26.2MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
42
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatHeat defensive rebound31
42
Q1 - 0:27.3MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot31
42
Q1 - 0:41.4HeatKevin Love makes two point driving hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)31
42
Q1 - 0:59.1MavericksJosh Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
40
Q1 - 1:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 131
40
Q1 - 1:15MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)31
39
Q1 - 1:15HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround jump shot31
39
Q1 - 1:37MavericksChristian Wood turnover (offensive foul)31
37
Q1 - 1:37MavericksChristian Wood offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
37
Q1 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)31
37
Q1 - 1:48HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
35
Q1 - 1:50MavericksJosh Green misses two point driving layup31
35
Q1 - 2:03HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)31
35
Q1 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 231
35
Q1 - 2:15Stoppage (Blood rule)31
34
Q1 - 2:15Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry)31
34
Q1 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 231
34
Q1 - 2:15MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)31
33
Q1 - 2:32MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)31
33
Q1 - 2:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)28
33
Q1 - 2:54MavericksJaden Hardy personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)28
30
Q1 - 3:01Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Jaden Hardy, Josh Green, Christian Wood)28
30
Q1 - 3:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
30
Q1 - 3:01HeatHeat defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 3:01MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot28
30
Q1 - 3:09MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 3:12HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot28
30
Q1 - 3:29MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
30
Q1 - 3:50HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)26
30
Q1 - 3:54HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound26
28
Q1 - 3:57MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot26
28
Q1 - 4:04MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound26
28
Q1 - 4:05HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot26
28
Q1 - 4:25MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup (Kyrie Irving assists)26
28
Q1 - 4:37Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry)24
28
Q1 - 4:37Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving, Josh Green)24
28
Q1 - 4:37Mavericks 60 second timeout24
28
Q1 - 4:37HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
28
Q1 - 4:40HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound24
25
Q1 - 4:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot24
25
Q1 - 4:47HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound24
25
Q1 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot24
25
Q1 - 5:08HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound24
25
Q1 - 5:10MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot24
25
Q1 - 5:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot24
25
Q1 - 5:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot24
22
Q1 - 5:38HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Luka Doncic steals)22
22
Q1 - 5:39MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)22
22
Q1 - 5:56HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)22
22
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
20
Q1 - 6:06MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot22
20
Q1 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 122
20
Q1 - 6:21Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)22
19
Q1 - 6:21Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)22
19
Q1 - 6:21MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
19
Q1 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot22
19
Q1 - 6:38HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound22
17
Q1 - 6:40MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point driving layup22
17
Q1 - 6:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot22
17
Q1 - 7:01MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Luka Doncic assists)22
15
Q1 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
15
Q1 - 7:36Heat 60 second timeout20
12
Q1 - 7:36MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)20
12
Q1 - 7:38MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound17
12
Q1 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot17
12
Q1 - 7:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)17
12
Q1 - 8:04MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound14
12
Q1 - 8:07HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving layup14
12
Q1 - 8:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot14
12
Q1 - 8:32HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
12
Q1 - 8:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)12
9
Q1 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 29
9
Q1 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 29
8
Q1 - 9:02MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
7
Q1 - 9:09MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 29
7
Q1 - 9:09MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 28
7
Q1 - 9:09HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)7
7
Q1 - 9:21MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound7
7
Q1 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot7
7
Q1 - 9:32MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 17
7
Q1 - 9:32HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)6
7
Q1 - 9:32MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point pullup jump shot6
7
Q1 - 9:39HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 14
7
Q1 - 9:39MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)4
6
Q1 - 9:39HeatGabe Vincent makes two point turnaround jump shot4
6
Q1 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:53MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
4
Q1 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot4
4
Q1 - 10:23MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)4
2
Q1 - 10:37MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:52MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot2
2
Q1 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot2
2
Q1 - 11:19HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:20HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:22HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:41MavericksDwight Powell makes two point alley-oop layup (Luka Doncic assists)2
0
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Powell vs. Cody Zeller (Reggie Bullock gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kyrie Irving)0
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.44 71.8%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
18
83%
MIA
15
19
79%
Midrange
DAL
18
25
72%
MIA
17
30
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
MIA
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
Free Throws
DAL
14
16
88%
MIA
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić4275%21.0 / 28
T. Hardaway3197%15.5 / 16
K. Irving2364%11.5 / 18
M. Kleber8100%4.0 / 4
C. Wood880%4.0 / 5
J. Hardy375%1.5 / 2
J. Holiday375%1.5 / 2
R. Bullock220%1.0 / 5
D. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
J. Green0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3583%17.5 / 21
C. Zeller2071%10.0 / 14
M. Strus1882%9.0 / 11
K. Love1875%9.0 / 12
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
G. Vincent956%4.5 / 8
C. Martin8100%4.0 / 4
K. Lowry630%3.0 / 10
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
84
+1
-14
85
MIA
90
+13
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.44 71.8%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.4
112.9
DAL 124.5
MIA 131.6 +7.1
Pace
96.9
96.3
DAL 103.1 +9.9
MIA 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
DAL 14.0 −1.5
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.5%
53.0%
DAL 70.1% +10.2%
MIA 59.9%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
DAL 14.3%
MIA 10.0% −4.3%
ORB %
18.1%
22.8%
DAL 3.7%
MIA 25.0% +21.3%
FTrt
29.7
27.0
DAL 20.8
MIA 33.7 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
60.8%
DAL 68.1% +8.1%
MIA 60.0%
STL %
6.4%
8.2%
DAL 3.1%
MIA 6.1% +3.0%
BLK %
6.8%
6.3%
DAL 4.1% +4.1%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.4%
55.9%
DAL 71.8% +9.2%
MIA 62.6%
Rim FG%
65.3%
62.6%
DAL 83.3% +4.4%
MIA 78.9%
Mid FG%
46.1%
45.3%
DAL 72.0% +15.3%
MIA 56.7%
3P %
37.1%
34.4%
DAL 41.2% +6.1%
MIA 35.1%
FT %
75.5%
83.1%
DAL 87.5%
MIA 89.7% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
29.9%
DAL 23.4% +1.3%
MIA 22.1%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
29.4%
DAL 32.5% −2.4%
MIA 34.9%
3P Att. %
48.7%
40.8%
DAL 44.2% +1.1%
MIA 43.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points122129
Rebounds3136
Assists3227
Steals36
Blocks20
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (3)
Fouls2316
Off. Rebounds (Team)1 (0)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)26 (3)
Field Goals47-7745-86
At-the-Rim FG15-1815-19
Midrange FG18-2517-30
2-Point FG33-4332-49
3-Point FG14-3413-37
Free Throws14-1626-29
Fast Break Pts169
2nd Chance Pts37
Points in Paint5448
Pts off Turnovers1522
Bench Points2232
Biggest Lead818

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 24
44.5
42
75%
10
8
2
0
3
4
0
10
6-7
86%
15-19
79%
2-6
33%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 31
42.5
23
64%
3
8
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
1-4
25%
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31
40.5
31
97%
6
7
0
0
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
5-5
100%
6-10
60%
#25 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 32
23.3
2
20%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32
17.2
2
100%
3
1
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
27.0
8
100%
5
3
1
0
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 22
21.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28
12.5
8
80%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21
6.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34
4.2
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
72%
31
32
3
2
14
23
1
30
14-16
88%
33-43
77%
14-34
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.