FinalWin Prob.pScore
1346%110
122
1554%111
129
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
124.598103.1
MIA logo MIA
131.69893.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.122
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:02.8MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound122
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.4HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 2122
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.4HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.4MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)122
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.7HeatHeat defensive rebound122
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.7MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot122
0.2%
128
99.8%
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)122
0.4%
128
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatHeat offensive rebound122
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot122
0.3%
128
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.5MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)122
0.9%
128
99.1%
Q4 - 0:46.4MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound120
0.7%
128
99.3%
Q4 - 0:49.5HeatCody Zeller misses three point jump shot120
0.6%
128
99.4%
Q4 - 1:02HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound120
0.6%
128
99.4%
Q4 - 1:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot120
1.0%
128
99.0%
Q4 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound120
1.1%
128
98.9%
Q4 - 1:25MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot120
1.3%
128
98.7%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
2.5%
128
97.5%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
2.6%
127
97.4%
Q4 - 1:40MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)120
2.8%
126
97.2%
Q4 - 1:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound120
3.9%
126
96.1%
Q4 - 1:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot120
4.6%
126
95.4%
Q4 - 2:01MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound120
6.8%
126
93.2%
Q4 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2120
6.2%
126
93.8%
Q4 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
4.6%
126
95.4%
Q4 - 2:04MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)120
4.9%
125
95.1%
Q4 - 2:21MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)120
5.6%
125
94.4%
Q4 - 2:35MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound117
2.7%
125
97.3%
Q4 - 2:38HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot117
2.2%
125
97.8%
Q4 - 3:05MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot117
2.2%
125
97.8%
Q4 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk115
1.6%
125
98.4%
Q4 - 3:25MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)115
2.2%
123
97.8%
Q4 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot115
5.9%
123
94.1%
Q4 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
7.8%
121
92.2%
Q4 - 3:59MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
7.2%
121
92.8%
Q4 - 3:59HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)114
9.2%
121
90.8%
Q4 - 4:09MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound114
7.8%
121
92.2%
Q4 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot114
7.0%
121
93.0%
Q4 - 4:28MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point pullup bank jump shot114
5.4%
121
94.6%
Q4 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)112
3.9%
121
96.1%
Q4 - 5:01MavericksMaxi Kleber makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)112
7.3%
119
92.7%
Q4 - 5:21HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)110
5.4%
119
94.6%
Q4 - 5:21HeatHeat offensive rebound110
3.9%
119
96.1%
Q4 - 5:23HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot110
4.9%
119
95.1%
Q4 - 5:35MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)110
3.9%
119
96.1%
Q4 - 5:45MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot110
3.9%
119
96.1%
Q4 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
2.1%
119
97.9%
Q4 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
2.2%
118
97.8%
Q4 - 5:58MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
2.2%
117
97.8%
Q4 - 6:09MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
3.9%
117
96.1%
Q4 - 6:10MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound107
5.5%
117
94.5%
Q4 - 6:13HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot107
4.9%
117
95.1%
Q4 - 6:23HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound107
3.9%
117
96.1%
Q4 - 6:25HeatCody Zeller misses two point floating jump shot107
4.9%
117
95.1%
Q4 - 6:40MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)107
3.9%
117
96.1%
Q4 - 6:42MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
3.9%
117
96.1%
Q4 - 6:42MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
3.8%
117
96.2%
Q4 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)105
3.7%
117
96.3%
Q4 - 6:48MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound105
3.1%
117
96.9%
Q4 - 6:48HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot105
2.8%
117
97.2%
Q4 - 7:07MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving finger roll layup (Christian Wood assists)105
3.0%
117
97.0%
Q4 - 7:23HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)103
2.4%
117
97.6%
Q4 - 7:31HeatKevin Love defensive rebound103
3.9%
114
96.1%
Q4 - 7:35MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot103
4.2%
114
95.8%
Q4 - 7:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)103
5.2%
114
94.8%
Q4 - 8:05HeatKevin Love defensive rebound103
4.7%
114
95.3%
Q4 - 8:05MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot103
5.1%
114
94.9%
Q4 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot103
6.0%
114
94.0%
Q4 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound103
7.4%
112
92.6%
Q4 - 8:24HeatChristian Wood blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot103
8.8%
112
91.2%
Q4 - 8:47MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot103
7.4%
112
92.6%
Q4 - 9:07HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)101
7.0%
112
93.0%
Q4 - 9:30MavericksChristian Wood makes two point pullup jump shot101
10.4%
109
89.6%
Q4 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot99
8.5%
109
91.5%
Q4 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
12.7%
106
87.3%
Q4 - 9:49MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot99
13.6%
106
86.4%
Q4 - 10:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup99
17.2%
106
82.8%
Q4 - 10:35MavericksChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)99
20.1%
104
79.9%
Q4 - 10:42MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound96
14.2%
104
85.8%
Q4 - 10:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
13.4%
104
86.6%
Q4 - 11:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound96
12.7%
104
87.3%
Q4 - 11:09MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot96
13.4%
104
86.6%
Q4 - 11:24HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)96
15.2%
104
84.8%
Q4 - 11:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound96
17.9%
102
82.1%
Q4 - 11:43MavericksChristian Wood misses two point driving floating jump shot96
18.9%
102
81.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
21.3%
102
78.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound96
22.4%
102
77.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot96
21.4%
102
78.6%
Q3 - 0:32.4MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot96
20.1%
102
79.9%
Q3 - 0:43.1MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes flagrant free throw 2 of 296
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q3 - 0:43.1MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes flagrant free throw 1 of 295
21.6%
102
78.4%
Q3 - 0:43.1HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)94
20.7%
102
79.3%
Q3 - 0:43.1HeatKevin Love flagrant 1 (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)94
17.9%
102
82.1%
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatMax Strus defensive rebound94
13.8%
102
86.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot94
14.5%
102
85.5%
Q3 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Love assists)94
17.5%
102
82.5%
Q3 - 1:26MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot94
20.1%
100
79.9%
Q3 - 1:34HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Luka Doncic steals)91
14.9%
100
85.1%
Q3 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound91
12.5%
100
87.5%
Q3 - 1:51MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot91
13.2%
100
86.8%
Q3 - 2:12HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
15.9%
100
84.1%
Q3 - 2:29MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)91
21.0%
97
79.0%
Q3 - 2:29MavericksLuka Doncic offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)91
24.4%
97
75.6%
Q3 - 2:36HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)91
24.3%
97
75.7%
Q3 - 2:38MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound91
24.3%
97
75.7%
Q3 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot91
23.3%
97
76.7%
Q3 - 2:48HeatKevin Love offensive rebound91
21.0%
97
79.0%
Q3 - 2:50HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot91
23.3%
97
76.7%
Q3 - 3:08MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)91
21.8%
97
78.2%
Q3 - 3:20MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound88
16.9%
97
83.1%
Q3 - 3:23HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot88
16.1%
97
83.9%
Q3 - 3:44MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)88
14.3%
97
85.7%
Q3 - 3:55MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound85
10.8%
97
89.2%
Q3 - 3:58HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround bank jump shot85
10.3%
97
89.7%
Q3 - 4:07HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound85
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q3 - 4:09HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot85
11.1%
97
88.9%
Q3 - 4:30MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 285
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q3 - 4:30MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 284
9.5%
97
90.5%
Q3 - 4:30HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)83
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 283
8.6%
97
91.4%
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 283
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q3 - 4:44MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
9.0%
95
91.0%
Q3 - 4:47HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound83
9.8%
95
90.2%
Q3 - 4:49MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point pullup jump shot83
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q3 - 5:06HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)83
12.4%
95
87.6%
Q3 - 5:24MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)83
14.0%
93
86.0%
Q3 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)81
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q3 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)81
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q3 - 5:55HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound81
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q3 - 5:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot81
11.1%
93
88.9%
Q3 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot81
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q3 - 6:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)81
14.7%
91
85.3%
Q3 - 6:24MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound79
13.0%
91
87.0%
Q3 - 6:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot79
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q3 - 6:46MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)79
11.2%
91
88.8%
Q3 - 7:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)77
10.6%
91
89.4%
Q3 - 7:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point cutting layup (Kyrie Irving assists)77
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q3 - 7:25HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)75
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q3 - 7:41MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dwight Powell assists)75
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q3 - 7:49HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)73
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q3 - 7:56HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)73
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound73
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q3 - 8:05MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot73
11.4%
86
88.6%
Q3 - 8:23HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)73
12.6%
86
87.4%
Q3 - 8:37HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound73
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 8:41MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot73
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q3 - 8:47MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound73
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q3 - 8:48HeatMax Strus misses two point tip layup73
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q3 - 8:48HeatMax Strus offensive rebound73
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q3 - 9:03MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)73
16.3%
83
83.7%
Q3 - 9:13HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)71
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q3 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Max Strus assists)71
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q3 - 9:48MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)71
18.2%
80
81.8%
Q3 - 9:48MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)71
20.7%
80
79.3%
Q3 - 10:02HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)71
21.3%
80
78.7%
Q3 - 10:11MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)71
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 10:31HeatCody Zeller makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)69
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q3 - 10:56MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point running jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)69
23.3%
76
76.7%
Q3 - 11:03MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound66
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 11:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot66
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q3 - 11:17MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)66
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q3 - 11:30MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound64
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot64
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.64
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.2MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot64
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q2 - 0:05.7HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)62
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MavericksKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)62
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q2 - 0:41.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 262
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q2 - 0:41.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 262
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q2 - 0:41.3MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q2 - 0:50.6MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)62
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q2 - 1:05MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound62
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot62
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q2 - 1:20MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (traveling)62
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q2 - 1:30MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound62
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q2 - 1:32HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q2 - 1:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point dunk (Kyrie Irving assists)62
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q2 - 1:58MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound60
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q2 - 2:00HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup60
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q2 - 2:21MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point turnaround jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)60
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q2 - 2:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q2 - 3:01MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point running layup58
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q2 - 3:07MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound56
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q2 - 3:10HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot56
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q2 - 3:22MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)56
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q2 - 3:40HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)54
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q2 - 3:50MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot54
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup52
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q2 - 4:14MavericksReggie Bullock makes two point pullup jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)52
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q2 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot50
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q2 - 4:56MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup50
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q2 - 5:10HeatCody Zeller makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)48
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q2 - 5:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound48
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q2 - 5:26MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot48
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q2 - 5:43HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)48
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q2 - 5:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot48
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q2 - 6:11HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 146
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q2 - 6:11MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)46
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q2 - 6:20HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
16.2%
59
83.8%
Q2 - 6:25MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point running pullup jump shot46
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q2 - 6:27MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound46
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q2 - 6:30HeatDwight Powell blocks Cody Zeller's two point cutting layup46
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q2 - 6:39MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Cody Zeller steals)46
16.2%
59
83.8%
Q2 - 6:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)46
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q2 - 6:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q2 - 7:00MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
19.9%
57
80.1%
Q2 - 7:15HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 246
21.8%
57
78.2%
Q2 - 7:15HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 246
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q2 - 7:15MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)46
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 7:34MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)46
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 7:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)43
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q2 - 8:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound43
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q2 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot43
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q2 - 8:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 243
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q2 - 8:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 242
16.7%
56
83.3%
Q2 - 8:13HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)42
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q2 - 8:14MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound42
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q2 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot42
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 3 of 342
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 341
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q2 - 8:31MavericksJustin Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 340
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q2 - 8:31HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)39
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot39
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 9:07HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 139
14.5%
54
85.5%
Q2 - 9:07MavericksTheo Pinson technical foul39
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 9:08MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Christian Wood assists)39
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)37
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love offensive foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)37
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 9:25HeatKevin Love defensive rebound37
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 9:27MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot37
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q2 - 9:39HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 237
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 9:39HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 237
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 9:39MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)37
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 9:45MavericksChristian Wood makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)37
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)34
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 9:55MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound34
13.3%
51
86.7%
Q2 - 9:56MavericksJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot34
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 10:12HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 10:26MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Maxi Kleber steals)34
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 10:43MavericksJaden Hardy makes three point pullup jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)34
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 10:56HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
13.7%
48
86.3%
Q2 - 11:11MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (offensive foul)31
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 11:11MavericksJaden Hardy offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 11:13MavericksChristian Wood defensive rebound31
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 11:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 11:32MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)31
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 11:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 231
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 11:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 231
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 11:45MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound31
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound31
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q1 - 0:07.3MavericksChristian Wood misses three point jump shot31
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 231
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 231
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q1 - 0:26.2MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
20.5%
42
79.5%
Q1 - 0:26.2HeatHeat defensive rebound31
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q1 - 0:27.3MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot31
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q1 - 0:41.4HeatKevin Love makes two point driving hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)31
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q1 - 0:59.1MavericksJosh Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q1 - 1:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 131
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q1 - 1:15MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)31
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q1 - 1:37MavericksChristian Wood turnover (offensive foul)31
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q1 - 1:37MavericksChristian Wood offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q1 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)31
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q1 - 1:48HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q1 - 1:50MavericksJosh Green misses two point driving layup31
35.7%
35
64.3%
Q1 - 2:03HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)31
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q1 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 231
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q1 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 231
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q1 - 2:15MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)31
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q1 - 2:32MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)31
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q1 - 2:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)28
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q1 - 2:54MavericksJaden Hardy personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)28
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q1 - 3:01HeatHeat defensive rebound28
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q1 - 3:01MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot28
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q1 - 3:09MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound28
41.8%
30
58.2%
Q1 - 3:12HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot28
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q1 - 3:29MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q1 - 3:50HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)26
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q1 - 3:54HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound26
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q1 - 3:57MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot26
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q1 - 4:04MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound26
41.9%
28
58.1%
Q1 - 4:05HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot26
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q1 - 4:25MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup (Kyrie Irving assists)26
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q1 - 4:37HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q1 - 4:40HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound24
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 4:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot24
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 4:47HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound24
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot24
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 5:08HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound24
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 5:10MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot24
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q1 - 5:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot24
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q1 - 5:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot24
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q1 - 5:38HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Luka Doncic steals)22
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q1 - 5:39MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)22
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 5:56HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)22
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
47.8%
20
52.2%
Q1 - 6:06MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot22
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 122
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 6:21MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 6:38HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound22
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q1 - 6:40MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point driving layup22
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 6:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot22
55.8%
17
44.2%
Q1 - 7:01MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Luka Doncic assists)22
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
55.7%
15
44.3%
Q1 - 7:36MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)20
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 7:38MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound17
55.7%
12
44.3%
Q1 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot17
55.1%
12
44.9%
Q1 - 7:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)17
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 8:04MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound14
49.9%
12
50.1%
Q1 - 8:07HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving layup14
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 8:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot14
47.8%
12
52.2%
Q1 - 8:32HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 8:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)12
49.7%
9
50.3%
Q1 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 29
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 29
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 9:02MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 9:09MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 29
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 9:09MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 28
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 9:09HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)7
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:21MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound7
45.9%
7
54.1%
Q1 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot7
45.3%
7
54.7%
Q1 - 9:32MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 17
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 9:32HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)6
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:39HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 14
40.3%
7
59.7%
Q1 - 9:39MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)4
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound4
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:53MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot4
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 10:23MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)4
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:37MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound2
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot2
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 10:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:52MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot2
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot2
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:19HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound2
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:20HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound2
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:22HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:41MavericksDwight Powell makes two point alley-oop layup (Luka Doncic assists)2
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Powell vs. Cody Zeller (Reggie Bullock gains possession)0
45.6%
0
54.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.44 71.8%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
18
83%
MIA
15
19
79%
Midrange
DAL
18
25
72%
MIA
17
30
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
MIA
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
Free Throws
DAL
14
16
88%
MIA
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić4275%21.0 / 28
T. Hardaway3197%15.5 / 16
K. Irving2364%11.5 / 18
M. Kleber8100%4.0 / 4
C. Wood880%4.0 / 5
J. Hardy375%1.5 / 2
J. Holiday375%1.5 / 2
R. Bullock220%1.0 / 5
D. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
J. Green0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3583%17.5 / 21
C. Zeller2071%10.0 / 14
M. Strus1882%9.0 / 11
K. Love1875%9.0 / 12
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
G. Vincent956%4.5 / 8
C. Martin8100%4.0 / 4
K. Lowry630%3.0 / 10
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
84
+1
-14
85
MIA
90
+13
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.44 71.8%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.4
112.9
DAL 124.5
MIA 131.6 +7.1
Pace
96.9
96.3
DAL 103.1 +9.9
MIA 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
DAL 14.0 +1.5
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.5%
53.0%
DAL 70.1% +10.2%
MIA 59.9%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
DAL 14.3%
MIA 10.0% +4.3%
ORB %
18.1%
22.8%
DAL 3.7%
MIA 25.0% +21.3%
FTrt
29.7
27.0
DAL 20.8
MIA 33.7 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
60.8%
DAL 68.1% +8.1%
MIA 60.0%
STL %
6.4%
8.2%
DAL 3.1%
MIA 6.1% +3.0%
BLK %
6.8%
6.3%
DAL 4.1% +4.1%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.4%
55.9%
DAL 71.8% +9.2%
MIA 62.6%
Rim FG%
65.3%
62.6%
DAL 83.3% +4.4%
MIA 78.9%
Mid FG%
46.1%
45.3%
DAL 72.0% +15.3%
MIA 56.7%
3P %
37.1%
34.4%
DAL 41.2% +6.1%
MIA 35.1%
FT %
75.5%
83.1%
DAL 87.5%
MIA 89.7% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
29.9%
DAL 23.4% +1.3%
MIA 22.1%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
29.4%
DAL 32.5% +2.4%
MIA 34.9%
3P Att. %
48.7%
40.8%
DAL 44.2% +1.1%
MIA 43.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points122129
Rebounds3136
Assists3227
Steals36
Blocks20
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (3)
Fouls2316
Off. Rebounds (Team)1 (0)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)26 (3)
Field Goals47-7745-86
At-the-Rim FG15-1815-19
Midrange FG18-2517-30
2-Point FG33-4332-49
3-Point FG14-3413-37
Free Throws14-1626-29
Fast Break Pts169
2nd Chance Pts37
Points in Paint5448
Pts off Turnovers1522
Bench Points2232
Biggest Lead818

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 24
44.5
42
75%
10
8
2
0
3
4
0
10
6-7
86%
15-19
79%
2-6
33%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 31
42.5
23
64%
3
8
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
1-4
25%
#11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31
40.5
31
97%
6
7
0
0
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
5-5
100%
6-10
60%
#25 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 32
23.3
2
20%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32
17.2
2
100%
3
1
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
27.0
8
100%
5
3
1
0
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22
21.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28
12.5
8
80%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21
6.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34
4.2
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
72%
31
32
3
2
14
23
1
30
14-16
88%
33-43
77%
14-34
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.