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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 2, 2023
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Grizzlies55%111107
19Bulls45%109128
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
34
27
17
10
10
0
1
0
5
1
9
1-1
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
2-5
40%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
33
33
21
5
4
0
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27.2
32
27
14
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
4-11
36%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 24.2
30
30
6
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
2-2
5-8
100%
61%
0-0
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.5
30
27
31
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
4-4
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
55%
5-8
63%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.8
28
28
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-7
29%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.9
17
26
6
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 22.2
17
22
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
1-2
50%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 22.0
12
20
3
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
1-2
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
1
12
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.5
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.6
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.6
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
35
31
36
3
9
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
10-11
6-11
91%
54%
3-8
38%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
34
32
31
5
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
9-9
100%
11-22
6-12
50%
53%
0-4
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.4
32
29
13
10
2
1
1
1
0
0
10
0-1
0%
5-8
5-9
63%
57%
1-2
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.1
24
20
5
1
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
23
24
2
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.1
31
26
19
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.6
26
25
12
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
2-5
40%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
18
21
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.1
9
11
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
61%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.6
7
14
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.7
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.7
5
0
0-1
61%
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.3
4
0
0-1
46%
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.5
4
0
0-1
54%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.5
3
0
0-1
59%
Justin Lewis
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.0
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.