for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 4, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Heat
77%115
118
28
Pistons
23%104
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
128.39295.9
DET logo DET
114.19289.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:17.2PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot118
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound116
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.2PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot116
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)116
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 1:14PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)114
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup114
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 1:34PistonsJalen Duren turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)112
99.2%
104
0.8%
Q4 - 1:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot112
98.3%
104
1.7%
Q4 - 2:00PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
97.4%
104
2.6%
Q4 - 2:00PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
97.7%
103
2.3%
Q4 - 2:00PistonsKillian Hayes makes technical free throw 1 of 1110
98.3%
102
1.7%
Q4 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro technical foul110
98.4%
101
1.6%
Q4 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)110
98.7%
101
1.3%
Q4 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1110
98.9%
101
1.1%
Q4 - 2:13PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)109
98.9%
101
1.1%
Q4 - 2:24PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)107
97.8%
101
2.2%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
98.3%
99
1.7%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 1105
97.8%
99
2.2%
Q4 - 2:47PistonsJames Wiseman technical foul104
97.6%
99
2.4%
Q4 - 2:47PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 2:53PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
95.0%
99
5.0%
Q4 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup104
92.1%
99
7.9%
Q4 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
89.8%
99
10.2%
Q4 - 3:22PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot102
88.2%
99
11.8%
Q4 - 3:34PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound102
81.8%
99
18.2%
Q4 - 3:37PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot102
85.4%
99
14.6%
Q4 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
81.9%
99
18.1%
Q4 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
80.9%
99
19.1%
Q4 - 4:01PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
79.7%
99
20.3%
Q4 - 4:12HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound100
76.4%
99
23.6%
Q4 - 4:15PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot100
74.1%
99
25.9%
Q4 - 4:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot100
68.5%
99
31.5%
Q4 - 4:48PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
60.7%
99
39.3%
Q4 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
60.7%
99
39.3%
Q4 - 4:55PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point cutting layup98
57.7%
99
42.3%
Q4 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 298
54.6%
99
45.4%
Q4 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 297
53.2%
99
46.8%
Q4 - 5:15PistonsEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
51.5%
99
48.5%
Q4 - 5:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot96
47.0%
99
53.0%
Q4 - 5:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running pullup jump shot96
54.4%
97
45.6%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
46.8%
97
53.2%
Q4 - 6:03PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses two point layup94
48.6%
97
51.4%
Q4 - 6:22PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound94
42.4%
97
57.6%
Q4 - 6:24HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot94
45.0%
97
55.0%
Q4 - 6:42PistonsCory Joseph makes three point stepback jump shot (Eugene Omoruyi assists)94
50.9%
97
49.1%
Q4 - 7:05HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 294
66.0%
94
34.0%
Q4 - 7:05HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 293
65.2%
94
34.8%
Q4 - 7:05PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)92
64.2%
94
35.8%
Q4 - 7:17PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)92
61.0%
94
39.0%
Q4 - 7:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)92
71.5%
91
28.5%
Q4 - 7:56PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes two point layup89
60.8%
91
39.2%
Q4 - 7:59PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound89
65.7%
89
34.3%
Q4 - 8:01PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point stepback jump shot89
70.5%
89
29.5%
Q4 - 8:24PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound89
66.7%
89
33.3%
Q4 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot89
68.4%
89
31.6%
Q4 - 8:36PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 289
72.2%
89
27.8%
Q4 - 8:36PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 289
73.8%
88
26.2%
Q4 - 8:36HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)89
75.6%
87
24.4%
Q4 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)89
76.7%
87
23.3%
Q4 - 8:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
72.3%
87
27.7%
Q4 - 9:01PistonsJalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 187
72.7%
87
27.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)87
70.1%
87
29.9%
Q4 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)87
77.2%
85
22.8%
Q4 - 9:37PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 2 of 285
73.2%
85
26.8%
Q4 - 9:37PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 285
74.3%
84
25.7%
Q4 - 9:37HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)85
75.6%
83
24.4%
Q4 - 9:56HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)85
77.1%
83
22.9%
Q4 - 10:13PistonsJalen Duren makes two point tip layup82
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q4 - 10:13PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound82
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 10:17PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating jump shot82
76.0%
81
24.0%
Q4 - 10:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)82
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 10:52PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)80
68.7%
81
31.3%
Q4 - 10:59HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound80
68.7%
81
31.3%
Q4 - 11:01PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot80
67.1%
81
32.9%
Q4 - 11:15PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound80
63.7%
81
36.3%
Q4 - 11:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot80
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 11:31PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
68.5%
81
31.5%
Q4 - 11:46HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cory Joseph steals)80
72.7%
79
27.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
76.7%
79
23.3%
Q3 - 0:02.5HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Duren steals)80
73.8%
79
26.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0PistonsJalen Duren makes two point layup (Killian Hayes assists)80
77.3%
79
22.7%
Q3 - 0:32.9PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound80
80.7%
77
19.3%
Q3 - 0:36.6HeatMax Strus misses three point running pullup jump shot80
81.6%
77
18.4%
Q3 - 0:40.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound80
83.5%
77
16.5%
Q3 - 0:42.9PistonsKevin Love blocks Eugene Omoruyi's two point putback layup80
82.7%
77
17.3%
Q3 - 0:45.4PistonsEugene Omoruyi offensive rebound80
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q3 - 0:47.9PistonsR.J. Hampton misses two point turnaround jump shot80
82.7%
77
17.3%
Q3 - 1:07HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 280
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q3 - 1:07HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 279
80.2%
77
19.8%
Q3 - 1:07PistonsKillian Hayes shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)79
82.6%
77
17.4%
Q3 - 1:28PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup79
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q3 - 1:39PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
83.4%
75
16.6%
Q3 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
84.2%
75
15.8%
Q3 - 1:58HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound79
86.0%
75
14.0%
Q3 - 2:00PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot79
85.2%
75
14.8%
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 279
83.0%
75
17.0%
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 278
82.7%
75
17.3%
Q3 - 2:12PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
82.4%
75
17.6%
Q3 - 2:27PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)77
80.6%
75
19.4%
Q3 - 2:36PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound77
85.4%
72
14.6%
Q3 - 2:36HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup77
86.1%
72
13.9%
Q3 - 2:37HeatKevin Love offensive rebound77
87.6%
72
12.4%
Q3 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup77
86.1%
72
13.9%
Q3 - 2:56PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)77
87.6%
72
12.4%
Q3 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)77
88.9%
70
11.1%
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 277
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman misses regular free throw 1 of 277
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q3 - 3:23HeatMax Strus shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)77
90.1%
69
9.9%
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound77
90.5%
69
9.5%
Q3 - 3:26PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point turnaround bank jump shot77
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q3 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
90.5%
69
9.5%
Q3 - 3:58PistonsIsaiah Livers personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)75
89.2%
69
10.8%
Q3 - 3:58PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)75
89.2%
69
10.8%
Q3 - 4:15HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)75
87.2%
69
12.8%
Q3 - 4:31PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)73
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q3 - 4:31HeatHeat offensive rebound73
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q3 - 4:31HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot73
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q3 - 4:54PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Livers assists)73
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q3 - 5:02PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound73
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 5:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
89.1%
66
10.9%
Q3 - 5:25PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)73
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q3 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 273
92.6%
63
7.4%
Q3 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 272
92.5%
63
7.5%
Q3 - 5:41PistonsEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 5:53PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)72
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 6:02HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Killian Hayes draws the foul)72
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 6:13HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 6:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
92.6%
60
7.4%
Q3 - 6:28PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot69
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 269
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 268
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 6:42PistonsIsaiah Livers shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
91.2%
60
8.8%
Q3 - 6:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound67
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 7:02PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating jump shot67
89.6%
60
10.4%
Q3 - 7:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)67
88.4%
60
11.6%
Q3 - 7:19HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound65
87.1%
60
12.9%
Q3 - 7:21PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point floating jump shot65
86.5%
60
13.5%
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
85.1%
60
14.9%
Q3 - 7:51HeatMax Strus defensive rebound63
83.5%
60
16.5%
Q3 - 7:54PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point stepback jump shot63
82.7%
60
17.3%
Q3 - 8:21HeatGabe Vincent makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)63
81.1%
60
18.9%
Q3 - 8:26PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)61
79.3%
60
20.7%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup61
76.4%
60
23.6%
Q3 - 8:51PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Killian Hayes assists)59
74.2%
60
25.8%
Q3 - 9:00PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound59
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup59
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q3 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound59
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 9:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q3 - 9:40PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving finger roll layup59
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 9:57PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound59
81.4%
56
18.6%
Q3 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot59
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 10:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound59
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 10:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 10:29PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point layup (Jaden Ivey assists)59
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 10:42HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)59
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 10:42HeatHeat offensive rebound59
87.0%
54
13.0%
Q3 - 10:42HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot59
85.7%
54
14.3%
Q3 - 11:08PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point fadeaway jump shot59
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)59
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 11:26PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound59
88.4%
52
11.6%
Q3 - 11:30HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot59
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 11:42PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point driving layup59
89.4%
52
10.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
88.4%
52
11.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound59
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q2 - 0:01.4PistonsIsaiah Livers misses three point stepback jump shot59
89.5%
52
10.5%
Q2 - 0:19.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 259
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q2 - 0:19.5HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 258
88.7%
52
11.3%
Q2 - 0:19.5PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)58
89.7%
52
10.3%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q2 - 0:32.9PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point pullup jump shot58
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q2 - 0:44.8HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
87.5%
52
12.5%
Q2 - 0:54.6PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)58
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q2 - 1:02PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound58
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q2 - 1:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot58
91.4%
49
8.6%
Q2 - 1:19PistonsIsaiah Livers personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)58
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q2 - 1:19HeatHeat offensive rebound58
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q2 - 1:21HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot58
91.4%
49
8.6%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q2 - 1:32PistonsIsaiah Livers misses three point running jump shot58
91.7%
49
8.3%
Q2 - 1:38PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound58
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q2 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup58
91.4%
49
8.6%
Q2 - 1:59PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)58
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q2 - 2:12PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound58
93.4%
46
6.6%
Q2 - 2:15HeatJalen Duren blocks Max Strus's two point driving floating jump shot58
93.6%
46
6.4%
Q2 - 2:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 158
94.2%
46
5.8%
Q2 - 2:36HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)58
94.3%
45
5.7%
Q2 - 2:49HeatKevin Love makes two point hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)58
95.3%
43
4.7%
Q2 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 256
94.6%
43
5.4%
Q2 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 256
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)56
94.8%
41
5.2%
Q2 - 3:14PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound56
95.0%
41
5.0%
Q2 - 3:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot56
95.2%
41
4.8%
Q2 - 3:46PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)56
95.7%
41
4.3%
Q2 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup56
96.0%
39
4.0%
Q2 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound54
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q2 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin misses two point reverse layup54
95.2%
39
4.8%
Q2 - 4:21PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)54
95.5%
39
4.5%
Q2 - 4:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating bank jump shot54
96.0%
37
4.0%
Q2 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 4:39PistonsJalen Duren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
95.4%
37
4.6%
Q2 - 4:53HeatMax Strus personal foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)52
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 5:06PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound52
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot52
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 5:23PistonsCory Joseph misses three point running jump shot52
95.4%
37
4.6%
Q2 - 5:29PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound52
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 5:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup52
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 5:48PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 252
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 5:48PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 252
95.7%
36
4.3%
Q2 - 5:48HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)52
95.9%
35
4.1%
Q2 - 5:58PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound52
96.0%
35
4.0%
Q2 - 6:02HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot52
96.0%
35
4.0%
Q2 - 6:07PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)52
96.3%
35
3.7%
Q2 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)52
95.9%
35
4.1%
Q2 - 6:22PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)49
95.0%
35
5.0%
Q2 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)49
94.4%
35
5.6%
Q2 - 6:47PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)47
93.9%
35
6.1%
Q2 - 7:02PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting layup (Jaden Ivey assists)47
93.7%
35
6.3%
Q2 - 7:07HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)47
94.2%
33
5.8%
Q2 - 7:18HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)47
94.2%
33
5.8%
Q2 - 7:27PistonsR.J. Hampton makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Wiseman assists)47
94.8%
33
5.2%
Q2 - 7:43HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
95.3%
31
4.7%
Q2 - 8:04PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point turnaround hook shot (Killian Hayes assists)44
94.1%
31
5.9%
Q2 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
94.6%
29
5.4%
Q2 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 243
94.5%
29
5.5%
Q2 - 8:20PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 8:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound42
94.1%
29
5.9%
Q2 - 8:27PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot42
93.9%
29
6.1%
Q2 - 8:40PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound42
93.5%
29
6.5%
Q2 - 8:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
93.7%
29
6.3%
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 3 of 342
94.1%
29
5.9%
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses regular free throw 2 of 342
94.3%
28
5.7%
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 342
93.9%
28
6.1%
Q2 - 8:58HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)42
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 9:16HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot42
94.5%
27
5.5%
Q2 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 9:26PistonsJared Rhoden misses three point jump shot39
93.1%
27
6.9%
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
92.7%
27
7.3%
Q2 - 10:06PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)36
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q2 - 10:06HeatHeat defensive rebound36
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q2 - 10:06PistonsCory Joseph misses three point pullup jump shot36
90.8%
27
9.2%
Q2 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)36
90.2%
27
9.8%
Q2 - 10:43PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)33
88.3%
27
11.7%
Q2 - 10:57PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound33
87.2%
27
12.8%
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot33
87.6%
27
12.4%
Q2 - 11:05HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound33
88.2%
27
11.8%
Q2 - 11:05HeatR.J. Hampton blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup33
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 11:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
88.2%
27
11.8%
Q2 - 11:14PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot33
87.9%
27
12.1%
Q2 - 11:29HeatKevin Love makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)33
87.2%
27
12.8%
Q2 - 11:42PistonsJared Rhoden turnover (offensive foul)31
86.1%
27
13.9%
Q2 - 11:42PistonsJared Rhoden offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound31
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot31
85.3%
27
14.7%
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatKevin Love defensive rebound31
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q1 - 0:04.7PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot31
85.7%
27
14.3%
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 231
85.0%
27
15.0%
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 230
84.7%
27
15.3%
Q1 - 0:26.9PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
84.4%
27
15.6%
Q1 - 0:30.7HeatHeat defensive rebound29
83.6%
27
16.4%
Q1 - 0:32.2PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot29
83.3%
27
16.7%
Q1 - 0:41.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot29
82.4%
27
17.6%
Q1 - 0:56.3PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point running layup27
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q1 - 0:59.4PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound27
82.4%
25
17.6%
Q1 - 1:03HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot27
83.0%
25
17.0%
Q1 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
83.8%
25
16.2%
Q1 - 1:16PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot27
83.4%
25
16.6%
Q1 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 127
82.6%
25
17.4%
Q1 - 1:36PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)26
82.4%
25
17.6%
Q1 - 1:50PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 224
79.6%
25
20.4%
Q1 - 1:50PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 224
80.1%
24
19.9%
Q1 - 1:50HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)24
80.6%
23
19.4%
Q1 - 2:06PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound24
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q1 - 2:09HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot24
81.7%
23
18.3%
Q1 - 2:18PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)24
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q1 - 2:40PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound24
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q1 - 2:44HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot24
81.7%
23
18.3%
Q1 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 124
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q1 - 2:57Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)23
82.3%
23
17.7%
Q1 - 3:08PistonsR.J. Hampton personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)23
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 3 of 323
81.3%
23
18.7%
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 2 of 323
81.5%
22
18.5%
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 1 of 323
81.8%
21
18.2%
Q1 - 3:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)23
82.0%
20
18.0%
Q1 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound23
83.6%
20
16.4%
Q1 - 3:15HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q1 - 3:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
85.0%
20
15.0%
Q1 - 3:26PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot23
84.6%
20
15.4%
Q1 - 3:40HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)23
83.6%
20
16.4%
Q1 - 4:01PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)20
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q1 - 4:16HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
83.7%
17
16.3%
Q1 - 4:33HeatKevin Love defensive rebound17
81.5%
17
18.5%
Q1 - 4:35PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q1 - 4:46PistonsPistons offensive rebound17
79.9%
17
20.1%
Q1 - 4:47PistonsKyle Lowry blocks James Wiseman's two point running layup17
81.0%
17
19.0%
Q1 - 4:50PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound17
79.9%
17
20.1%
Q1 - 4:54HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 5:06PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)17
81.8%
17
18.2%
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)17
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)17
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q1 - 5:34PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)17
81.7%
17
18.3%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 6:15PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point stepback jump shot15
79.4%
17
20.6%
Q1 - 6:27HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)15
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 6:47PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point stepback jump shot13
80.7%
14
19.3%
Q1 - 6:56HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)13
83.0%
11
17.0%
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound10
81.1%
11
18.9%
Q1 - 7:05PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot10
80.7%
11
19.3%
Q1 - 7:23PistonsPistons defensive rebound10
79.8%
11
20.2%
Q1 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup10
80.2%
11
19.8%
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 210
81.1%
11
18.9%
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJames Wiseman misses regular free throw 1 of 210
81.4%
10
18.6%
Q1 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)10
80.6%
10
19.4%
Q1 - 7:52PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound10
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
81.4%
10
18.6%
Q1 - 8:07PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point driving layup10
82.7%
10
17.3%
Q1 - 8:18PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound10
83.7%
8
16.3%
Q1 - 8:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot10
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 8:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
84.8%
8
15.2%
Q1 - 8:35PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
84.4%
8
15.6%
Q1 - 8:45PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound10
83.6%
8
16.4%
Q1 - 8:47HeatMax Strus misses three point running pullup jump shot10
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 8:53PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
84.8%
8
15.2%
Q1 - 8:58PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound10
83.6%
8
16.4%
Q1 - 9:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot10
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 9:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point hook shot (Jalen Duren assists)10
84.7%
8
15.3%
Q1 - 9:36PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound10
85.6%
6
14.4%
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot10
85.9%
6
14.1%
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
86.6%
6
13.4%
Q1 - 9:49PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot10
86.3%
6
13.7%
Q1 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)10
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 10:09PistonsIsaiah Livers turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
84.7%
6
15.3%
Q1 - 10:26HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
83.6%
6
16.4%
Q1 - 10:39PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point pullup jump shot5
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 11:08PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point floating jump shot3
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 11:09PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound3
82.8%
2
17.2%
Q1 - 11:12PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point finger roll layup3
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 11:28HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
82.8%
2
17.2%
Q1 - 11:38PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point running dunk0
80.8%
2
19.2%
Q1 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jaden Ivey steals)0
81.7%
0
18.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
82.9%
0
17.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
DET
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
DET
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
23
65%
DET
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
DET
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
23
26
88%
DET
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2784%13.5 / 16
G. Vincent2279%11.0 / 14
T. Herro1853%9.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1869%9.0 / 13
K. Lowry1179%5.5 / 7
M. Strus941%4.5 / 11
K. Love750%3.5 / 7
C. Martin650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Ivey3088%15.0 / 17
J. Duren2091%10.0 / 11
I. Livers1575%7.5 / 10
J. Wiseman1444%7.0 / 16
E. Omoruyi1161%5.5 / 9
K. Hayes744%3.5 / 8
C. Joseph643%3.0 / 7
R. Hampton220%1.0 / 5
J. Rhoden0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+9
-7
94
DET
78
+8
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
DET
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
110.3
MIA 128.3 +14.1
DET 114.1
Pace
96.3
99.4
MIA 95.9 +6.4
DET 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.3
MIA 15.0 +1.1
DET 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
52.0%
MIA 59.4% +2.6%
DET 56.8%
TO %
13.2%
14.5%
MIA 8.0% +6.2%
DET 14.2%
ORB %
22.8%
25.0%
MIA 14.7%
DET 17.6% +2.9%
FTrt
27.0
29.5
MIA 32.5
DET 37.0 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
58.1%
MIA 63.4% +5.1%
DET 58.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.0%
MIA 13.0% +7.6%
DET 5.4%
BLK %
6.3%
6.9%
MIA 4.4%
DET 4.5% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.8%
MIA 62.8% +1.8%
DET 61.0%
Rim FG%
62.6%
61.1%
MIA 61.9%
DET 64.0% +2.1%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 65.2% +20.2%
DET 45.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
MIA 36.1%
DET 39.3% +3.2%
FT %
83.1%
77.1%
MIA 88.5% +7.0%
DET 81.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
33.7%
MIA 26.3%
DET 34.2% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
29.1%
MIA 28.7%
DET 27.4% +1.4%
3P Att. %
40.8%
37.2%
MIA 45.0% +6.6%
DET 38.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.024.7
Points118105
Rebounds3335
Assists2621
Steals125
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)14 (0)
Fouls1822
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals41-8036-73
At-the-Rim FG13-2116-25
Midrange FG15-239-20
2-Point FG28-4425-45
3-Point FG13-3611-28
Free Throws23-2622-27
Fast Break Pts119
2nd Chance Pts47
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers1810
Bench Points2419
Biggest Lead173

BOXSCORE

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15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
37.8
18
53%
5
2
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
36.1
22
79%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
35.5
27
84%
8
8
4
0
2
0
0
8
9-11
82%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
31.0
18
69%
4
2
2
0
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
Max Strus
#31 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 27
29.4
9
41%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.8
6
50%
4
3
3
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
23.5
11
79%
2
5
1
1
3
5
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
17.0
7
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
63%
33
26
12
2
7
18
5
28
23-26
88%
28-44
64%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.