Final Win Prob. pScore
1577%115
118
2823%104
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
128.39295.9
DET logo Pistons
114.19289.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
105
Q4 - 0:17.2PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)118
105
Q4 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot118
105
Q4 - 0:41.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound116
105
Q4 - 0:46.2PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot116
105
Q4 - 0:55.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)116
105
Q4 - 1:14PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
105
Q4 - 1:14PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
104
Q4 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)114
104
Q4 - 1:23Pistons 60 second timeout114
104
Q4 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup114
104
Q4 - 1:34PistonsJalen Duren turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)112
104
Q4 - 1:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot112
104
Q4 - 2:00PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
104
Q4 - 2:00PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
103
Q4 - 2:00PistonsKillian Hayes makes technical free throw 1 of 1110
102
Q4 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro technical foul110
101
Q4 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)110
101
Q4 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1110
101
Q4 - 2:13PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)109
101
Q4 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot109
101
Q4 - 2:24PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)107
101
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99
Q4 - 2:47Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)106
99
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
99
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 1105
99
Q4 - 2:47PistonsJames Wiseman technical foul104
99
Q4 - 2:47PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
99
Q4 - 2:53PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
99
Q4 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup104
99
Q4 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
99
Q4 - 3:22PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot102
99
Q4 - 3:32Pistons 60 second timeout102
99
Q4 - 3:34PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound102
99
Q4 - 3:37PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot102
99
Q4 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
99
Q4 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
99
Q4 - 4:01PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
99
Q4 - 4:12HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound100
99
Q4 - 4:15PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot100
99
Q4 - 4:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot100
99
Q4 - 4:48PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
99
Q4 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
99
Q4 - 4:55PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point cutting layup98
99
Q4 - 5:15Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)98
99
Q4 - 5:15Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)98
99
Q4 - 5:15Pistons 60 second timeout98
99
Q4 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99
Q4 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 297
99
Q4 - 5:15PistonsEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
99
Q4 - 5:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot96
99
Q4 - 5:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running pullup jump shot96
97
Q4 - 6:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
97
Q4 - 6:03PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses two point layup94
97
Q4 - 6:22PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound94
97
Q4 - 6:24HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot94
97
Q4 - 6:42PistonsCory Joseph makes three point stepback jump shot (Eugene Omoruyi assists)94
97
Q4 - 7:05HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 294
94
Q4 - 7:05Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)93
94
Q4 - 7:05Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)93
94
Q4 - 7:05HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 293
94
Q4 - 7:05PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)92
94
Q4 - 7:17PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)92
94
Q4 - 7:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)92
91
Q4 - 7:56PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes two point layup89
91
Q4 - 7:59PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound89
89
Q4 - 8:01PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point stepback jump shot89
89
Q4 - 8:24PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound89
89
Q4 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot89
89
Q4 - 8:36PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 289
89
Q4 - 8:36PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 289
88
Q4 - 8:36HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)89
87
Q4 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)89
87
Q4 - 8:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
87
Q4 - 9:01PistonsJalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 187
87
Q4 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)87
87
Q4 - 9:01PistonsJalen Duren makes two point layup (Eugene Omoruyi assists)87
87
Q4 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)87
85
Q4 - 9:37PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 2 of 285
85
Q4 - 9:37PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 285
84
Q4 - 9:37Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)85
83
Q4 - 9:37Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)85
83
Q4 - 9:37Heat 60 second timeout85
83
Q4 - 9:37HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)85
83
Q4 - 9:56HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)85
83
Q4 - 10:13PistonsJalen Duren makes two point tip layup82
83
Q4 - 10:13PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound82
81
Q4 - 10:17PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating jump shot82
81
Q4 - 10:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)82
81
Q4 - 10:52PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)80
81
Q4 - 10:59HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound80
81
Q4 - 11:01PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot80
81
Q4 - 11:15PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound80
81
Q4 - 11:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot80
81
Q4 - 11:31PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
81
Q4 - 11:46HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cory Joseph steals)80
79
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)80
79
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
79
Q3 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)80
79
Q3 - 0:02.5HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Duren steals)80
79
Q3 - 0:16.0PistonsJalen Duren makes two point layup (Killian Hayes assists)80
79
Q3 - 0:32.9PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound80
77
Q3 - 0:36.6HeatMax Strus misses three point running pullup jump shot80
77
Q3 - 0:40.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound80
77
Q3 - 0:42.9PistonsKevin Love blocks Eugene Omoruyi's two point putback layup80
77
Q3 - 0:45.4PistonsEugene Omoruyi offensive rebound80
77
Q3 - 0:47.9PistonsR.J. Hampton misses two point turnaround jump shot80
77
Q3 - 1:07HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 280
77
Q3 - 1:07Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Eugene Omoruyi, R.J. Hampton, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)79
77
Q3 - 1:07Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry)79
77
Q3 - 1:07HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 279
77
Q3 - 1:07PistonsKillian Hayes shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)79
77
Q3 - 1:28PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup79
77
Q3 - 1:39PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
75
Q3 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
75
Q3 - 1:58HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound79
75
Q3 - 2:00PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot79
75
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 279
75
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 278
75
Q3 - 2:12PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
75
Q3 - 2:25Heat 60 second timeout77
75
Q3 - 2:27PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)77
75
Q3 - 2:36PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 2:36HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup77
72
Q3 - 2:37HeatKevin Love offensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup77
72
Q3 - 2:56PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)77
72
Q3 - 3:03Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)77
70
Q3 - 3:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
70
Q3 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)77
70
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 277
70
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman misses regular free throw 1 of 277
69
Q3 - 3:23HeatMax Strus shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)77
69
Q3 - 3:23PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound77
69
Q3 - 3:26PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point turnaround bank jump shot77
69
Q3 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
69
Q3 - 3:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)75
69
Q3 - 3:58Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Isaiah Livers, Cory Joseph)75
69
Q3 - 3:58Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)75
69
Q3 - 3:58PistonsIsaiah Livers personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)75
69
Q3 - 3:58PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)75
69
Q3 - 4:15HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)75
69
Q3 - 4:31Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)73
69
Q3 - 4:31PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)73
69
Q3 - 4:31HeatHeat offensive rebound73
69
Q3 - 4:31HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot73
69
Q3 - 4:54PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Livers assists)73
69
Q3 - 5:02PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound73
66
Q3 - 5:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
66
Q3 - 5:25PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point pullup jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)73
66
Q3 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 273
63
Q3 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 272
63
Q3 - 5:41PistonsEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
63
Q3 - 5:53PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)72
63
Q3 - 6:02Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes)72
60
Q3 - 6:02HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Killian Hayes draws the foul)72
60
Q3 - 6:13HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
60
Q3 - 6:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
60
Q3 - 6:28PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot69
60
Q3 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 269
60
Q3 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 268
60
Q3 - 6:42PistonsIsaiah Livers shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
60
Q3 - 6:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound67
60
Q3 - 7:02PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point driving floating jump shot67
60
Q3 - 7:11Pistons 60 second timeout67
60
Q3 - 7:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)67
60
Q3 - 7:19HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound65
60
Q3 - 7:21PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point floating jump shot65
60
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
60
Q3 - 7:51HeatMax Strus defensive rebound63
60
Q3 - 7:54PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point stepback jump shot63
60
Q3 - 8:21HeatGabe Vincent makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)63
60
Q3 - 8:26PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)61
60
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup61
60
Q3 - 8:51PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Killian Hayes assists)59
60
Q3 - 9:00PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound59
58
Q3 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup59
58
Q3 - 9:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)59
58
Q3 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound59
58
Q3 - 9:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
58
Q3 - 9:40PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving finger roll layup59
58
Q3 - 9:57PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound59
56
Q3 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot59
56
Q3 - 10:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound59
56
Q3 - 10:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
56
Q3 - 10:29PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point layup (Jaden Ivey assists)59
56
Q3 - 10:42HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)59
54
Q3 - 10:42HeatHeat offensive rebound59
54
Q3 - 10:42HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot59
54
Q3 - 11:08PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point fadeaway jump shot59
54
Q3 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)59
52
Q3 - 11:26PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound59
52
Q3 - 11:30HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot59
52
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
52
Q3 - 11:42PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point driving layup59
52
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
52
Q2 - 0:00.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound59
52
Q2 - 0:01.4PistonsIsaiah Livers misses three point stepback jump shot59
52
Q2 - 0:19.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 259
52
Q2 - 0:19.5HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 258
52
Q2 - 0:19.5PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)58
52
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
52
Q2 - 0:32.9PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point pullup jump shot58
52
Q2 - 0:44.8HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
52
Q2 - 0:54.6PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)58
52
Q2 - 1:02PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound58
49
Q2 - 1:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot58
49
Q2 - 1:19Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)58
49
Q2 - 1:19PistonsIsaiah Livers personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)58
49
Q2 - 1:19HeatHeat offensive rebound58
49
Q2 - 1:21HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot58
49
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
49
Q2 - 1:32PistonsIsaiah Livers misses three point running jump shot58
49
Q2 - 1:38PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound58
49
Q2 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup58
49
Q2 - 1:59PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)58
49
Q2 - 2:12PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound58
46
Q2 - 2:15HeatJalen Duren blocks Max Strus's two point driving floating jump shot58
46
Q2 - 2:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 158
46
Q2 - 2:36Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes)58
45
Q2 - 2:36Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)58
45
Q2 - 2:36Heat 60 second timeout58
45
Q2 - 2:36HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)58
45
Q2 - 2:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup58
45
Q2 - 2:49HeatKevin Love makes two point hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)58
43
Q2 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 256
43
Q2 - 3:12Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)56
42
Q2 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 256
42
Q2 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)56
41
Q2 - 3:14PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound56
41
Q2 - 3:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot56
41
Q2 - 3:46PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)56
41
Q2 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup56
39
Q2 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound54
39
Q2 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin misses two point reverse layup54
39
Q2 - 4:11Jalen Duren kicked ball violation54
39
Q2 - 4:21PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)54
39
Q2 - 4:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating bank jump shot54
37
Q2 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
37
Q2 - 4:39PistonsJalen Duren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
37
Q2 - 4:53HeatMax Strus personal foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)52
37
Q2 - 5:06PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound52
37
Q2 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot52
37
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
37
Q2 - 5:23PistonsCory Joseph misses three point running jump shot52
37
Q2 - 5:29PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound52
37
Q2 - 5:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup52
37
Q2 - 5:48PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 252
37
Q2 - 5:48Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)52
36
Q2 - 5:48Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)52
36
Q2 - 5:48PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 252
36
Q2 - 5:48HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)52
35
Q2 - 5:58PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound52
35
Q2 - 6:02HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot52
35
Q2 - 6:07PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)52
35
Q2 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)52
35
Q2 - 6:22PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)49
35
Q2 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)49
35
Q2 - 6:47PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)47
35
Q2 - 7:02PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting layup (Jaden Ivey assists)47
35
Q2 - 7:07Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, R.J. Hampton, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)47
33
Q2 - 7:07Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)47
33
Q2 - 7:07HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (R.J. Hampton draws the foul)47
33
Q2 - 7:18HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)47
33
Q2 - 7:27PistonsR.J. Hampton makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Wiseman assists)47
33
Q2 - 7:43HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
31
Q2 - 8:04PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point turnaround hook shot (Killian Hayes assists)44
31
Q2 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
29
Q2 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 243
29
Q2 - 8:20PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
29
Q2 - 8:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound42
29
Q2 - 8:27PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot42
29
Q2 - 8:40PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound42
29
Q2 - 8:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
29
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 3 of 342
29
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses regular free throw 2 of 342
28
Q2 - 8:58PistonsEugene Omoruyi makes regular free throw 1 of 342
28
Q2 - 8:58HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)42
27
Q2 - 9:15Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, James Wiseman, R.J. Hampton, Killian Hayes, Cory Joseph)42
27
Q2 - 9:15Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)42
27
Q2 - 9:15Pistons 60 second timeout42
27
Q2 - 9:16HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot42
27
Q2 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
27
Q2 - 9:26PistonsJared Rhoden misses three point jump shot39
27
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
27
Q2 - 10:06PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)36
27
Q2 - 10:06HeatHeat defensive rebound36
27
Q2 - 10:06PistonsCory Joseph misses three point pullup jump shot36
27
Q2 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)36
27
Q2 - 10:43PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)33
27
Q2 - 10:57PistonsEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound33
27
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot33
27
Q2 - 11:05HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound33
27
Q2 - 11:05HeatR.J. Hampton blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup33
27
Q2 - 11:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
27
Q2 - 11:14PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot33
27
Q2 - 11:29HeatKevin Love makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)33
27
Q2 - 11:42PistonsJared Rhoden turnover (offensive foul)31
27
Q2 - 11:42PistonsJared Rhoden offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
27
Q2 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jared Rhoden, James Wiseman, R.J. Hampton, Cory Joseph)31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
27
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound31
27
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot31
27
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatKevin Love defensive rebound31
27
Q1 - 0:04.7PistonsR.J. Hampton misses three point jump shot31
27
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 231
27
Q1 - 0:26.9Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)30
27
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 230
27
Q1 - 0:26.9PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
27
Q1 - 0:30.7Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
27
Q1 - 0:30.7HeatHeat defensive rebound29
27
Q1 - 0:32.2PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot29
27
Q1 - 0:41.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot29
27
Q1 - 0:56.3PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point running layup27
27
Q1 - 0:59.4PistonsR.J. Hampton defensive rebound27
25
Q1 - 1:03HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot27
25
Q1 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
25
Q1 - 1:16PistonsEugene Omoruyi misses three point jump shot27
25
Q1 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 127
25
Q1 - 1:36Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)26
25
Q1 - 1:36PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)26
25
Q1 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot26
25
Q1 - 1:50PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 224
25
Q1 - 1:50PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 224
24
Q1 - 1:50HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)24
23
Q1 - 2:06PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound24
23
Q1 - 2:09HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot24
23
Q1 - 2:13Cory Joseph kicked ball violation24
23
Q1 - 2:13Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, R.J. Hampton, Cory Joseph)24
23
Q1 - 2:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
23
Q1 - 2:18PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)24
23
Q1 - 2:40PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound24
23
Q1 - 2:44HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot24
23
Q1 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 124
23
Q1 - 2:57Heat 60 second timeout23
23
Q1 - 2:57Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)23
23
Q1 - 3:08Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, R.J. Hampton, Killian Hayes)23
23
Q1 - 3:08PistonsR.J. Hampton personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)23
23
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 3 of 323
23
Q1 - 3:09Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, R.J. Hampton, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes)23
22
Q1 - 3:09Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)23
22
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 2 of 323
22
Q1 - 3:09PistonsIsaiah Livers makes regular free throw 1 of 323
21
Q1 - 3:09Instant replay (Request: Stands)23
20
Q1 - 3:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)23
20
Q1 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound23
20
Q1 - 3:15HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot23
20
Q1 - 3:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
20
Q1 - 3:26PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot23
20
Q1 - 3:40HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)23
20
Q1 - 4:01PistonsIsaiah Livers makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)20
20
Q1 - 4:16HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
17
Q1 - 4:33HeatKevin Love defensive rebound17
17
Q1 - 4:35PistonsIsaiah Livers misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
17
Q1 - 4:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
17
Q1 - 4:46PistonsPistons offensive rebound17
17
Q1 - 4:47PistonsKyle Lowry blocks James Wiseman's two point running layup17
17
Q1 - 4:50PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound17
17
Q1 - 4:54HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
17
Q1 - 5:06PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)17
17
Q1 - 5:26Pistons lineup change (Eugene Omoruyi, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes)17
17
Q1 - 5:26Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)17
17
Q1 - 5:26Pistons 60 second timeout17
17
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)17
17
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Isaiah Livers draws the foul)17
17
Q1 - 5:34PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)17
17
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
17
Q1 - 6:15PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point stepback jump shot15
17
Q1 - 6:27HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)15
14
Q1 - 6:47PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point stepback jump shot13
14
Q1 - 6:56HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)13
11
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound10
11
Q1 - 7:05PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot10
11
Q1 - 7:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
11
Q1 - 7:23PistonsPistons defensive rebound10
11
Q1 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup10
11
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 210
11
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJames Wiseman misses regular free throw 1 of 210
10
Q1 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)10
10
Q1 - 7:52PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound10
10
Q1 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
10
Q1 - 8:07PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point driving layup10
10
Q1 - 8:18PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 8:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot10
8
Q1 - 8:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 8:35PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
8
Q1 - 8:45PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 8:47HeatMax Strus misses three point running pullup jump shot10
8
Q1 - 8:53PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
8
Q1 - 8:58PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 9:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot10
8
Q1 - 9:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point hook shot (Jalen Duren assists)10
8
Q1 - 9:36PistonsIsaiah Livers defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot10
6
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 9:49PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot10
6
Q1 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)10
6
Q1 - 10:09PistonsIsaiah Livers turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
6
Q1 - 10:26HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
6
Q1 - 10:39PistonsKillian Hayes makes two point pullup jump shot5
6
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
4
Q1 - 11:08PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point floating jump shot3
4
Q1 - 11:09PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 11:12PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point finger roll layup3
2
Q1 - 11:28HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
2
Q1 - 11:38PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point running dunk0
2
Q1 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jaden Ivey steals)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, Isaiah Livers, Killian Hayes)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
DET
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
DET
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
23
65%
DET
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
DET
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
23
26
88%
DET
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2784%13.5 / 16
G. Vincent2279%11.0 / 14
T. Herro1853%9.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1869%9.0 / 13
K. Lowry1179%5.5 / 7
M. Strus941%4.5 / 11
K. Love750%3.5 / 7
C. Martin650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Ivey3088%15.0 / 17
J. Duren2091%10.0 / 11
I. Livers1575%7.5 / 10
J. Wiseman1444%7.0 / 16
E. Omoruyi1161%5.5 / 9
K. Hayes744%3.5 / 8
C. Joseph643%3.0 / 7
R. Hampton220%1.0 / 5
J. Rhoden0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+9
-7
94
DET
78
+8
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
DET
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
110.3
MIA 128.3 +14.1
DET 114.1
Pace
96.3
99.4
MIA 95.9 +6.4
DET 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.3
MIA 15.0 −1.1
DET 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
52.0%
MIA 59.4% +2.6%
DET 56.8%
TO %
13.2%
14.5%
MIA 8.0% −6.2%
DET 14.2%
ORB %
22.8%
25.0%
MIA 14.7%
DET 17.6% +2.9%
FTrt
27.0
29.5
MIA 32.5
DET 37.0 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
58.1%
MIA 63.4% +5.1%
DET 58.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.0%
MIA 13.0% +7.6%
DET 5.4%
BLK %
6.3%
6.9%
MIA 4.4%
DET 4.5% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.8%
MIA 62.8% +1.8%
DET 61.0%
Rim FG%
62.6%
61.1%
MIA 61.9%
DET 64.0% +2.1%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 65.2% +20.2%
DET 45.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
MIA 36.1%
DET 39.3% +3.2%
FT %
83.1%
77.1%
MIA 88.5% +7.0%
DET 81.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
33.7%
MIA 26.3%
DET 34.2% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
29.1%
MIA 28.7%
DET 27.4% −1.4%
3P Att. %
40.8%
37.2%
MIA 45.0% +6.6%
DET 38.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.024.7
Points118105
Rebounds3335
Assists2621
Steals125
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)14 (0)
Fouls1822
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals41-8036-73
At-the-Rim FG13-2116-25
Midrange FG15-239-20
2-Point FG28-4425-45
3-Point FG13-3611-28
Free Throws23-2622-27
Fast Break Pts119
2nd Chance Pts47
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers1810
Bench Points2419
Biggest Lead173

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
37.8
18
53%
5
2
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
36.1
22
79%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34
35.5
27
84%
8
8
4
0
2
0
0
8
9-11
82%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
31.0
18
69%
4
2
2
0
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 27
29.4
9
41%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.8
6
50%
4
3
3
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
23.5
11
79%
2
5
1
1
3
5
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35
17.0
7
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
63%
33
26
12
2
7
18
5
28
23-26
88%
28-44
64%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.