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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 4, 2023
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets75%120103
29Rockets25%110124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.8
33
29
23
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
62%
6-15
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
33
33
13
9
4
0
1
4
1
2
7
1-4
25%
6-10
6-10
60%
62%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.1
25
25
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.1
25
33
14
10
4
2
1
3
8
2
8
0-1
0%
7-11
8-12
64%
67%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.1
9
36
2
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
5-10
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.6
29
30
6
4
2
3
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
57%
2-5
40%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
23
20
4
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
59%
0-1
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.6
18
15
10
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
58%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
17
20
9
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
61%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.0
14
13
7
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
8
8
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
71%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.0
6
8
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
62%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.7
5
0
1-2
48%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.7
5
0
1-1
66%
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.7
2
0
0-0
56%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.2
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 21.1
39
35
32
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
8-19
5-11
42%
50%
4-8
50%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 20.7
38
33
20
10
7
3
1
1
3
4
6
4-5
80%
5-10
6-11
50%
58%
2-4
50%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 19.9
36
32
16
13
1
1
1
1
0
5
8
4-5
80%
6-13
4-8
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 22.9
34
34
20
3
9
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
5-11
45%
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.2
27
30
12
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
5-8
4-7
63%
66%
0-0
-
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.9
33
24
11
7
1
2
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
18
15
10
3
0
3
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 21.1
10
8
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 21.1
5
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 34.6
6
0
1-2
59%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 35.4
5
0
0-0
44%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 30.0
3
0
0-1
52%
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.4
Darius Days
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 27.4
Trevor Hudgins
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.