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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 5, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls39%10992
2Bucks61%113105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
37
32
13
5
7
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-3
67%
4-9
6-11
44%
54%
1-8
13%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
36
33
8
3
6
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-11
7-13
27%
52%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.4
34
31
21
11
4
0
1
0
3
2
9
2-2
100%
8-15
6-10
53%
56%
1-6
17%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.6
29
26
6
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
28
26
8
5
7
4
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.1
25
25
14
6
1
0
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 26.1
19
10
8
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
2-4
50%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
17
19
8
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.7
13
11
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.7
1
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.5
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Carlik Jones
G · 6'0" 174 · 25.3
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
60%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 23.5
3
0
0-1
56%
Justin Lewis
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.0
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.1
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 28.1
37
27
27
13
1
1
1
0
0
2
11
3-3
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
56%
6-9
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.0
37
28
26
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
6-8
75%
10-17
5-8
59%
63%
0-2
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.8
36
29
20
8
15
2
1
0
7
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
4-8
50%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.6
32
22
16
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
4-8
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.6
8
28
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.5
30
18
7
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.5
24
21
9
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
3-7
43%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 32.7
17
20
0
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-3
0%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
10
11
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
7
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
59%
0-1
0%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.5
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.7
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.9
9
0
1-2
49%
Lindell Wigginton
G · 6'1" 189 · 25.0
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.5
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.