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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 8, 2023
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets74%116114
23Jazz26%107118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.1
29
25
21
0
3
1
1
2
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
6-8
75%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
28
32
15
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
5-8
6-10
63%
61%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.1
28
26
20
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
4-10
40%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.1
27
29
6
10
10
2
1
0
4
0
10
2-2
100%
2-4
7-11
50%
65%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.8
20
30
15
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
60%
3-9
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
26
25
14
6
1
3
1
1
0
0
6
4-5
80%
5-6
3-5
83%
57%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.0
22
20
7
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-8
13%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.6
17
20
6
3
4
0
0
3
0
0
3
4-7
57%
1-1
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.2
12
18
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
64%
0-2
0%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.0
12
13
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
12
20
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.8
7
12
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
17
0
3-4
69%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.7
4
0
1-1
65%
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.7
2
0
0-0
54%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.1
37
27
19
8
14
3
2
1
3
1
7
7-8
88%
6-13
4-8
46%
50%
0-0
-
Ochai Agbaji
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
35
29
28
3
3
1
0
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
7-14
2-4
50%
55%
3-11
27%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 23.2
31
21
23
8
1
2
1
0
3
0
8
2-4
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
57%
3-6
50%
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
30
19
8
11
1
0
0
1
1
2
9
2-3
67%
3-4
3-4
75%
67%
0-0
-
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 30.0
30
18
7
6
5
1
1
0
1
5
1
3-3
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
60%
0-2
0%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 27.3
23
22
15
6
4
1
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
3-8
38%
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.0
21
4
10
10
1
1
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
2-4
50%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
18
19
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
67%
0-0
-
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.1
15
12
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
54%
0-4
0%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 22.4
31
1
6-12
52%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.3
10
0
2-3
54%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 36.6
Walker Kessler
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.9
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 30.8
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.