Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Blazers	27%	113	121	116.3	104	116.2
	9	Nuggets	73%	122	132	123.4	107	96.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+15

-11

108

DEN

+17

-12

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	37.9	13	54%	2	2	1	3	1	3	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.9	26	62%	3	6	0	0	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	3-9	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.0	17	61%	20	2	0	3	1	5	10	10	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	28.1	14	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	19.6	6	43%	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%

Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	31.2	14	50%	1	5	1	0	4	0	0	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	30.3	14	41%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	18.7	17	106%	7	1	2	0	1	4	1	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-3	100%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	45	27	7	6	11	19	14	31	21-29	72%	29-56	52%	14-38	37%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	37.9	13	54%	2	2	1	3	1	3	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.9	26	62%	3	6	0	0	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	3-9	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.0	17	61%	20	2	0	3	1	5	10	10	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	28.1	14	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	19.6	6	43%	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%

Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	31.2	14	50%	1	5	1	0	4	0	0	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	30.3	14	41%	4	7	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	18.7	17	106%	7	1	2	0	1	4	1	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-3	100%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	45	27	7	6	11	19	14	31	21-29	72%	29-56	52%	14-38	37%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	45.4	21	66%	10	6	2	1	0	3	1	9	5-7	71%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	42.2	55	69%	4	5	2	0	2	3	2	2	8-9	89%	13-21	62%	7-15	47%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	37.0	16	73%	5	1	3	4	0	2	3	2	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.0	26	59%	15	10	2	0	4	4	3	12	4-4	100%	11-17	65%	0-3	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	25.1	11	55%	5	1	0	1	3	5	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	28.7	3	30%	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	11.9	0	0%	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	7.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	59%	49	26	9	7	12	20	12	37	19-24	79%	34-58	59%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

57%

DEN

72%

Midrange

POR

42%

DEN

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

37%

55%

DEN

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

POR

72%

DEN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Clingan	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Walker	17	106%	8.5 / 8
D. Avdija	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Banton	14	50%	7.0 / 14
S. Sharpe	14	41%	7.0 / 17
T. Camara	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Murray	6	43%	3.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	55	69%	27.5 / 40
N. Jokić	26	59%	13.0 / 22
C. Braun	21	66%	10.5 / 16
Z. Nnaji	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Strawther	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Pickett	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 4 118.9	POR 116.3 DEN 123.4 +7.0
Pace	16 99.5 8 100.6	POR 116.2 +19.4 DEN 96.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 22 14.2	POR 12.4 −2.5 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 2 57.3%	POR 53.2% DEN 58.9% +5.7%
TO %	29 15.1% 15 13.3%	POR 10.1% −1.5% DEN 11.6%
ORB %	2 29.2% 7 26.7%	POR 27.5% DEN 27.9% +0.4%
FTrt	13 24.6 5 25.9	POR 30.9 +5.9 DEN 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 4 68.3%	POR 62.8% +9.7% DEN 53.1%
STL %	13 8.2% 19 7.9%	POR 6.7% DEN 8.4% +1.7%
BLK %	9 10.0% 21 9.0%	POR 10.3% DEN 12.5% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 2 58.8%	POR 55.5% DEN 58.9% +3.4%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 7 66.2%	POR 56.8% DEN 72.4% +15.6%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 8 45.5%	POR 42.1% DEN 44.8% +2.7%
3P %	26 34.2% 5 37.6%	POR 36.8% DEN 39.5% +2.7%
FT %	26 76.2% 23 77.0%	POR 72.4% DEN 79.2% +6.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 1 38.3%	POR 39.4% +9.2% DEN 30.2%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 13 26.1%	POR 20.2% −10.0% DEN 30.2%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 30 35.6%	POR 40.4% +0.8% DEN 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	104	107
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	121	132
Rebounds	45	49
Assists	27	26
Steals	7	9
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	12 (2)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	43-94	49-96
At-the-Rim FG	21-37	21-29
Midrange FG	8-19	13-29
2-Point FG	29-56	34-58
3-Point FG	14-38	15-38
Free Throws	21-29	19-24
Fast Break Pts	18	18
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	21
Bench Points	45	3
Biggest Lead	6	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg