Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers35%94114
9Wizards65%99113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
53.0
42.8
32
61%
7
7
2
2
1
5
0
7
1-3
33%
14-19
9-18
74%
49%
1-6
17%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
50.4
39.8
9
25%
3
12
4
2
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-13
5-12
15%
43%
1-4
25%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
32.2
35.1
8
41%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
21.0
25.0
6
61%
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
13.1
23.0
2
53%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
39.5
23.6
28
84%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
47%
4-7
57%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
38.0
28.7
21
72%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
17.6
15.2
6
90%
10
1
2
1
0
0
2
8
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
0.2
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
0.5
0
0-0
43%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
53.0
46.7
36
59%
5
11
2
2
0
3
1
4
4-8
50%
10-19
7-15
53%
46%
4-8
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
52.3
41.7
18
42%
20
5
1
2
0
3
6
14
8-8
100%
5-16
6-14
31%
45%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
40.1
42.6
15
42%
4
5
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
45%
1-6
17%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
36.3
33.9
3
32%
6
3
0
1
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
27.8
21.2
17
83%
4
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
3-5
60%
7-8
2-4
88%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.1
41.3
34.1
22
66%
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
47%
2-4
50%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.3
9.8
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
4.5
5.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.8
0.5
0
0-0
42%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.0
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.