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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers23%8586
2Pistons77%94113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
36.0
45.0
22
58%
4
4
0
2
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
9-18
54%
48%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
33.5
42.1
8
31%
1
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-12
5-12
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
24.8
22.0
14
42%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
4-6
67%
5-14
3-7
36%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
22.6
31.8
6
100%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
40%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
20.7
17.4
4
29%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
25.4
31.2
3
17%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-6
3-8
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
21.0
15.4
11
87%
8
0
1
1
1
0
2
6
3-3
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
18.4
1.2
3
45%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
17.7
29.1
8
67%
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
8.8
0.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
67%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
8.8
1.0
7
117%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
38%
1-1
100%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
2.3
0.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
33%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
37.2
31.2
2
20%
11
2
0
1
4
0
3
8
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.2
33.8
35.9
20
53%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
9-17
7-14
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.2
32.1
35.7
24
64%
3
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
4-6
67%
4-12
4-9
33%
49%
4-4
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.6
30.6
34.3
14
92%
2
10
2
1
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
2-2
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.6
22.3
31.8
10
63%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
22.4
23.9
12
76%
4
1
0
1
3
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.4
17.4
12.2
12
86%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
4-7
57%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.3
14.2
11.6
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
8.8
11.1
7
88%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
7.0
3.7
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.1
7.0
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.7
7.0
1.3
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.