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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers22%8491
4Pistons78%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.4
47.5
40.7
30
57%
14
7
0
1
0
3
2
12
6-8
75%
9-18
8-16
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
33.0
37.9
8
36%
3
5
1
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-11
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
27.4
18.9
17
82%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
7-9
3-5
78%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
27.3
23.3
10
51%
8
0
0
0
0
4
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
21.4
27.3
2
17%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
24.6
23.5
9
56%
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
22.7
28.3
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
42%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
19.6
9.1
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
16.4
17.9
10
54%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
4-8
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
0.0
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
4.6
0
0-1
40%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.2
43.4
33.7
20
55%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.6
43.3
32.2
15
51%
5
7
1
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
43%
3-8
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
42.5
34.7
10
57%
15
1
2
2
0
0
4
11
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.6
40.7
26.2
29
69%
9
2
1
1
2
0
0
9
4-9
44%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
5-8
63%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.2
38.6
34.6
17
57%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
15-18
83%
1-5
7-14
20%
47%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
12.7
22.9
2
50%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.3
9.6
12.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.4
4.7
15.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
4.6
9.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
5.4
0
1-1
44%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.1
4.8
0
0-1
46%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.7
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.