Final Win Prob. pScore
159%91
72
1241%89
74
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
87.88279.1
CLE logo Cavaliers
89.28386.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE72
0%
74
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETJames STEAL (2 STL)72
0%
74
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETSUB: Delk FOR Evans72
73
Q4 - 0:01.0CLESUB: Varejao FOR Marshall72
73
Q4 - 0:01.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound72
73
Q4 - 0:01.0CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
73
Q4 - 0:02.0CLESUB: Marshall FOR Varejao72
73
Q4 - 0:02.0CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)72
73
Q4 - 0:02.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound72
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)72
15.7%
73
84.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Wallace 1' Tip Shot72
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETMISS Hamilton 2' Layup72
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLESUB: Varejao FOR Marshall72
73
Q4 - 0:08.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)72
73
Q4 - 0:08.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
41.6%
73
58.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot72
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0CLESUB: Marshall FOR Varejao72
73
Q4 - 0:29.0CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)72
73
Q4 - 0:29.0DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T15)72
25.8%
73
74.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETBillups OFF.Foul (P2)72
73
Q4 - 0:41.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)72
73
Q4 - 0:44.0DETPistons Rebound72
48.3%
73
51.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEJump Ball Jones vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups72
73
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot72
35.2%
73
64.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
48.3%
73
51.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot72
35.6%
73
64.4%
Q4 - 1:02CLESUB: Murray FOR Marshall72
73
Q4 - 1:02DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)72
73
Q4 - 1:02CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
50.2%
73
49.8%
Q4 - 1:02CLECAVALIERS Rebound72
72
Q4 - 1:02CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
53.8%
72
46.2%
Q4 - 1:02DETHamilton P.FOUL (P4.PN)72
72
Q4 - 1:12DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)72
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q4 - 1:12DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)71
48.1%
72
51.9%
Q4 - 1:12CLEJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
72
Q4 - 1:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
37.9%
72
62.1%
Q4 - 1:22CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot70
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q4 - 1:40CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)70
72
Q4 - 1:40DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)70
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q4 - 1:41CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T19)70
39.5%
72
60.5%
Q4 - 2:00CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
27.4%
72
72.6%
Q4 - 2:03DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
30.3%
72
69.7%
Q4 - 2:18CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)70
41.2%
72
58.8%
Q4 - 2:37CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q4 - 2:38DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot70
53.8%
70
46.2%
Q4 - 2:53DETEvans Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
65.2%
70
34.8%
Q4 - 2:53CLESUB: Varejao FOR Murray69
70
Q4 - 2:53DETPistons Rebound69
70
Q4 - 2:53DETMISS Evans Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 269
62.9%
70
37.1%
Q4 - 2:53CLESnow FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T4)69
70
Q4 - 2:55DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
54.3%
70
45.7%
Q4 - 2:57CLEMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot69
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q4 - 3:20CLESUB: Murray FOR Varejao69
70
Q4 - 3:20CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)69
70
Q4 - 3:22DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)69
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q4 - 3:34DETPistons Rebound66
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q4 - 3:36DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot66
22.3%
70
77.7%
Q4 - 3:41DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
27.3%
70
72.7%
Q4 - 3:44CLEMISS Varejao 2' Layup66
24.8%
70
75.2%
Q4 - 4:04DETPrince 1' Driving Dunk (13 PTS)66
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q4 - 4:23CLEVarejao 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)64
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q4 - 4:28DETSUB: Evans FOR Wallace64
68
Q4 - 4:28CLECAVALIERS Rebound64
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q4 - 4:28CLEMISS James 1' Driving Layup64
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q4 - 4:40DETHamilton 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)64
19.1%
68
80.9%
Q4 - 4:47CLEVarejao P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
68
Q4 - 5:00CLEMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 8 AST)62
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q4 - 5:21DETHamilton 8' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)62
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q4 - 5:38CLESnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
23.2%
65
76.8%
Q4 - 5:38CLESnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q4 - 5:3860
63
Q4 - 5:38DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.PN)60
63
Q4 - 5:38DETVarejao STEAL (1 STL)60
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q4 - 5:56CLESnow 1' Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)60
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q4 - 6:02DETMarshall STEAL (1 STL)60
47.4%
61
52.6%
Q4 - 6:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
55.3%
61
44.7%
Q4 - 6:16CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q4 - 6:29DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess60
61
Q4 - 6:29DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P4.T4)60
61
Q4 - 6:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
47.2%
61
52.8%
Q4 - 6:40DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot60
49.7%
61
50.3%
Q4 - 6:46CLEMarshall P.FOUL (P5.T2)60
61
Q4 - 7:05CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
56.2%
61
43.8%
Q4 - 7:27CLESnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
62.4%
59
37.6%
Q4 - 7:29CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot60
67.2%
59
32.8%
Q4 - 7:40DETHamilton P.FOUL (P3.T3)60
59
Q4 - 7:44CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
62.4%
59
37.6%
Q4 - 7:47DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Hook Shot60
64.5%
59
35.5%
Q4 - 8:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q4 - 8:05CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot60
67.0%
59
33.0%
Q4 - 8:16DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
59
Q4 - 8:23DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
63.0%
59
37.0%
Q4 - 8:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q4 - 8:26DETJames BLOCK (2 BLK)60
64.8%
59
35.2%
Q4 - 8:47CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
68.7%
59
31.3%
Q4 - 8:47CLECAVALIERS Rebound60
58
Q4 - 8:47CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 260
69.9%
58
30.1%
Q4 - 8:47DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T1)60
58
Q4 - 9:01CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
68.4%
58
31.6%
Q4 - 9:03DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot60
69.9%
58
30.1%
Q4 - 9:13DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Delk60
58
Q4 - 9:13DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)60
58
Q4 - 9:23CLEMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)60
73.2%
58
26.8%
Q4 - 9:46CLECAVALIERS Rebound60
81.8%
55
18.2%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
82.8%
55
17.2%
Q4 - 10:04DETPistons Rebound60
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q4 - 10:05DETMISS Delk 19' Jump Shot60
81.8%
55
18.2%
Q4 - 10:25CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q4 - 10:25CLEVarejao Layup (8 PTS)60
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q4 - 10:28CLEMISS James 2' Layup60
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q4 - 10:48DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q4 - 10:48CLESUB: Marshall FOR Ilgauskas59
53
Q4 - 10:48DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace59
53
Q4 - 10:48DETPistons Rebound59
53
Q4 - 10:48DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 259
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q4 - 10:48CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.T1)59
53
Q4 - 10:53DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q4 - 10:54CLEMISS James 14' Jump Shot59
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q4 - 11:10DETWallace Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)59
83.2%
53
16.8%
Q4 - 11:30CLEJames Foul Turnover (P7.T18)59
85.9%
53
14.1%
Q4 - 11:30CLEJames OFF.Foul (P3)59
53
Q4 - 11:44CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
83.2%
53
16.8%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot59
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q4 - 12:0059
53
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE59
85.9%
53
14.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
83.2%
53
16.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Evans 8' Jump Shot59
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot59
83.1%
53
16.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0CLEVarejao Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T17)59
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound59
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0CLEMISS Varejao Layup59
84.1%
53
15.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)59
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0CLESUB: Gooden FOR Marshall58
53
Q3 - 0:43.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)58
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0CLEMarshall P.FOUL (P4.PN)57
53
Q3 - 0:52.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
78.9%
53
21.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0CLEMISS Marshall 6' Running Hook Shot57
77.9%
53
22.1%
Q3 - 1:16DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)57
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 1:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
70.7%
53
29.3%
Q3 - 1:20DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot55
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q3 - 1:48CLEMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)55
70.7%
53
29.3%
Q3 - 2:00DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q3 - 2:00DETSUB: Evans FOR Prince54
50
Q3 - 2:00DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
78.1%
50
21.9%
Q3 - 2:00CLEJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)53
50
Q3 - 2:19CLESUB: Jones FOR Snow53
50
Q3 - 2:19CLESUB: Varejao FOR Gooden53
50
Q3 - 2:19DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace53
50
Q3 - 2:19DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)53
50
Q3 - 2:19CLEMarshall Foul Turnover (P2.T16)53
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q3 - 2:19CLEMarshall OFF.Foul (P3)53
50
Q3 - 2:34CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot53
71.6%
50
28.4%
Q3 - 2:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q3 - 2:55CLEMISS Snow Driving Layup53
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q3 - 3:23DETPrince 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 3:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 3:39DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot51
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q3 - 4:00CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 4:00CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
67.8%
49
32.2%
Q3 - 4:00CLESUB: Marshall FOR Ilgauskas51
48
Q3 - 4:00DETPrince S.FOUL (P3.T3)51
48
Q3 - 4:15DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)51
69.9%
48
30.1%
Q3 - 4:39DETPistons Rebound49
66.8%
48
33.2%
Q3 - 4:39CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot49
65.4%
48
34.6%
Q3 - 5:00CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
62.1%
48
37.9%
Q3 - 5:01DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 249
62.5%
48
37.5%
Q3 - 5:01DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
63.9%
48
36.1%
Q3 - 5:01CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T3)48
48
Q3 - 5:25CLESnow 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
62.4%
48
37.6%
Q3 - 5:33CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
65.8%
46
34.2%
Q3 - 5:35DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot48
67.0%
46
33.0%
Q3 - 5:50CLEJames Foul Turnover (P6.T15)48
69.9%
46
30.1%
Q3 - 5:50CLEJames OFF.Foul (P2)48
46
Q3 - 5:58CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)48
46
Q3 - 5:58DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T9)48
65.8%
46
34.2%
Q3 - 5:58DETWallace OFF.Foul (P2)48
46
Q3 - 6:04DETBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)48
69.7%
46
30.3%
Q3 - 6:04CLECAVALIERS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ilgauskas )47
46
Q3 - 6:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
66.2%
46
33.8%
Q3 - 6:19CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot47
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 6:50DETPrince 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)47
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q3 - 7:12CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)45
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q3 - 7:32CLECAVALIERS Rebound45
62.0%
44
38.0%
Q3 - 7:33DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot45
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q3 - 7:50CLEGooden L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)45
44
Q3 - 7:50DETPistons Rebound45
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q3 - 7:50CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot45
64.6%
44
35.4%
Q3 - 8:13DETBillups Layup (8 PTS)45
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q3 - 8:17CLESnow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)43
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 8:24CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q3 - 8:26DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot43
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 8:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 8:38CLEMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper43
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q3 - 8:49DETSnow STEAL (2 STL)43
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q3 - 9:13CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
58.6%
44
41.4%
Q3 - 9:13CLEGooden 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)43
58.6%
44
41.4%
Q3 - 9:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q3 - 9:16CLEMISS James 1' Layup43
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q3 - 9:17CLEMISS Snow Driving Layup43
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q3 - 9:23DETSnow STEAL (1 STL)43
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q3 - 9:35CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)43
65.6%
42
34.4%
Q3 - 9:35CLECAVALIERS Rebound43
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q3 - 9:35CLEMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q3 - 9:50DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.T2)43
42
Q3 - 10:04DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)43
62.2%
42
37.8%
Q3 - 10:04DETPistons Rebound43
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 10:04DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
63.2%
42
36.8%
Q3 - 10:31CLEIlgauskas 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q3 - 10:51DETHamilton 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)43
68.6%
40
31.4%
Q3 - 11:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
65.8%
40
34.2%
Q3 - 11:08CLEMISS Snow Free Throw 1 of 141
65.4%
40
34.6%
Q3 - 11:08DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
40
Q3 - 11:08CLESnow 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
40
Q3 - 11:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)41
68.6%
38
31.4%
Q3 - 11:18CLEMurray S.FOUL (P2.T1)40
38
Q3 - 11:18DETHamilton 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)40
38
Q3 - 11:36CLESnow 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)38
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q3 - 12:0038
36
Q2 - 0:00.0DET38
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE38
36
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
33
Q2 - 0:23.0DETEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
74.5%
33
25.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
74.0%
33
26.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0CLEIlgauskas P.FOUL (P2.PN)36
33
Q2 - 0:23.0CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)36
71.2%
33
28.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)36
69.1%
33
30.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)35
68.7%
33
31.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0CLEIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
33
Q2 - 0:43.0CLESUB: Varejao FOR Marshall34
33
Q2 - 0:43.0CLEMarshall P.FOUL (P2.T3)34
33
Q2 - 1:01DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
65.5%
33
34.5%
Q2 - 1:04CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot34
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 1:23CLECAVALIERS Rebound34
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 1:24CLEMISS Marshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 1:46CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
63.3%
33
36.7%
Q2 - 1:48DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q2 - 2:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
65.4%
33
34.6%
Q2 - 2:02CLEMISS Marshall 18' Jump Shot34
65.0%
33
35.0%
Q2 - 2:09CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 2:11DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot34
63.8%
33
36.2%
Q2 - 2:33CLESnow 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)34
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 2:42CLESUB: Snow FOR Murray34
31
Q2 - 2:42DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)34
31
Q2 - 2:47DETHamilton 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)34
68.7%
31
31.3%
Q2 - 3:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 3:05CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot32
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 3:14CLECAVALIERS Rebound32
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 3:14CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup32
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 3:16CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 3:18CLEMISS Marshall 1' Layup32
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 3:24DETJones STEAL (1 STL)32
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 3:26CLEMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)32
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 3:45DETSUB: Evans FOR Prince32
31
Q2 - 3:45DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
62.9%
31
37.1%
Q2 - 3:45DETPrince OFF.Foul (P2)32
31
Q2 - 4:01CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:04DETJames STEAL (1 STL)32
63.1%
31
36.9%
Q2 - 4:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:13DETMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot32
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 4:16DETPistons Rebound32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:16DETIlgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)32
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 4:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:28CLEMISS James 11' Jump Shot32
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 4:35CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
63.1%
31
36.9%
Q2 - 4:37DETMISS Wallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot32
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 4:53CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Varejao32
31
Q2 - 4:53CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
31
Q2 - 4:53CLEMarshall Foul Turnover (P1.T9)32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:53CLEMarshall OFF.Foul (P1)32
31
Q2 - 5:16DETWallace 2' Layup (7 PTS)32
63.5%
31
36.5%
Q2 - 5:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
60.6%
31
39.4%
Q2 - 5:27DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
58.7%
31
41.3%
Q2 - 5:56CLEJones 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)30
60.6%
31
39.4%
Q2 - 6:07DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
63.0%
29
37.0%
Q2 - 6:07DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
62.5%
29
37.5%
Q2 - 6:07DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups28
29
Q2 - 6:07DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Delk28
29
Q2 - 6:07CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
29
Q2 - 6:13CLEMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 6:28CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
57.5%
29
42.5%
Q2 - 6:31DETMISS Billups 32' 3PT Jump Shot28
58.5%
29
41.5%
Q2 - 6:51DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 6:52CLEMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot28
59.8%
29
40.2%
Q2 - 6:57CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
58.6%
29
41.4%
Q2 - 7:19CLEVarejao Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)28
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 7:41DETWallace 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)28
63.4%
27
36.6%
Q2 - 7:55DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
60.9%
27
39.1%
Q2 - 7:57CLEMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot26
60.0%
27
40.0%
Q2 - 8:18DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess26
27
Q2 - 8:1826
27
Q2 - 8:18DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T2)26
58.3%
27
41.7%
Q2 - 8:18DETMcDyess OFF.Foul (P2)26
27
Q2 - 8:33CLEVarejao 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)26
60.9%
27
39.1%
Q2 - 8:51DETDelk 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)26
63.5%
25
36.5%
Q2 - 9:03CLEMurray P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
25
Q2 - 9:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
60.8%
25
39.2%
Q2 - 9:09DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot24
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 9:22DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace24
25
Q2 - 9:22DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)24
25
Q2 - 9:27CLEJames 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)24
60.8%
25
39.2%
Q2 - 9:43DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q2 - 9:51DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace21
23
Q2 - 10:12CLEMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q2 - 10:18CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q2 - 10:20DETMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q2 - 10:26DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q2 - 10:28CLEMISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot21
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q2 - 10:38DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
20
Q2 - 10:41CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q2 - 10:43DETMISS McDyess 8' Jump Bank Shot21
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q2 - 11:06CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q2 - 11:20DETDelk 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)21
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q2 - 11:40CLECAVALIERS Violation: Delay of game Violation19
18
Q2 - 11:42CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)19
65.5%
18
34.5%
Q2 - 12:0019
16
Q1 - 0:00.0DET19
67.7%
16
32.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound19
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
69.9%
16
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS McDyess 1' Tip Shot19
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot19
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0CLEJames 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0CLEMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
71.8%
14
28.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
72.3%
14
27.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
73.3%
14
26.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0CLEMISS Varejao 9' Jump Shot19
72.9%
14
27.1%
Q1 - 1:00DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)19
71.8%
14
28.2%
Q1 - 1:23CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
67.1%
14
32.9%
Q1 - 1:23CLECAVALIERS Rebound16
13
Q1 - 1:23CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 216
67.6%
13
32.4%
Q1 - 1:23DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.PN)16
13
Q1 - 1:33DETHamilton Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 1:57CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
64.9%
13
35.1%
Q1 - 1:57CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
65.8%
12
34.2%
Q1 - 1:57DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 2:01CLECAVALIERS Rebound14
67.5%
11
32.5%
Q1 - 2:02CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot14
68.6%
11
31.4%
Q1 - 2:25DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
67.5%
11
32.5%
Q1 - 2:39CLEJames Palming Turnover (P4.T7)11
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 2:42CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 2:44DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot11
61.7%
11
38.3%
Q1 - 2:50DETPistons Rebound11
11
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical11
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 2:50CLESUB: Marshall FOR Ilgauskas11
11
Q1 - 2:50DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace11
11
Q1 - 2:50DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
11
Q1 - 2:50CLECAVALIERS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ilgauskas )11
11
Q1 - 3:06CLEIlgauskas 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)11
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 3:24DETPrince 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
65.5%
9
34.5%
Q1 - 3:40CLEMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)9
63.4%
9
36.6%
Q1 - 4:00DETHamilton 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)9
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 4:24CLEMurray 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 4:29CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
64.7%
7
35.3%
Q1 - 4:31DETJames BLOCK (1 BLK)9
65.3%
7
34.7%
Q1 - 4:35CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)9
66.6%
7
33.4%
Q1 - 4:52CLESnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
64.7%
7
35.3%
Q1 - 4:54DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
65.3%
7
34.7%
Q1 - 5:05CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)9
66.2%
7
33.8%
Q1 - 5:09CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
64.2%
7
35.8%
Q1 - 5:11DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot9
64.8%
7
35.2%
Q1 - 5:26CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 5:26CLECAVALIERS Rebound9
6
Q1 - 5:26CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 29
66.5%
6
33.5%
Q1 - 5:26CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
6
Q1 - 5:26DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
6
Q1 - 5:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 5:33DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot9
66.4%
6
33.6%
Q1 - 5:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
67.7%
6
32.3%
Q1 - 5:41CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot9
67.1%
6
32.9%
Q1 - 6:04DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:04DETPistons Rebound8
6
Q1 - 6:04DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 28
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 6:04CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
6
Q1 - 6:20CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:40DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 6:44CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 6:52CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 6:54DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 7:00CLESUB: Varejao FOR Gooden6
6
Q1 - 7:00CLEGooden P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
6
Q1 - 7:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 7:15CLEMISS Ilgauskas 11' Jump Shot6
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 7:30CLECAVALIERS Rebound6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 7:32DETIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 7:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.2%
6
37.8%
Q1 - 7:49CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot6
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 7:59CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot6
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 8:16CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)6
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 8:18CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 8:20DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot6
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 8:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 8:35CLEMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot6
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 8:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 8:40CLEMISS Gooden 7' Jump Shot6
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 9:09DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 9:13CLESnow P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:33CLEMurray 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 9:46DETHamilton 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 9:51DETPistons Rebound2
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Hamilton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 10:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 10:13CLEMISS James 17' Jump Shot2
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 10:36DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 10:40DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot0
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 11:00CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 11:00CLEGooden 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 11:02CLEMISS Murray 1' Layup0
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 11:09CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:10DETIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:24CLEGooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:38CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 11:41DETMISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Wallace: Tip to Hamilton0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETCLE
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.82 40.9%
CLE
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
19
68%
CLE
16
26
62%
Midrange
DET
8
41
20%
CLE
8
31
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
CLE
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
DET
18
23
78%
CLE
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton3054%15.0 / 28
T. Prince1647%8.0 / 17
C. Billups1150%5.5 / 11
R. Wallace725%3.5 / 14
T. Delk440%2.0 / 5
M. Evans375%1.5 / 2
B. Wallace117%0.5 / 3
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 2
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2239%11.0 / 28
E. Snow1275%6.0 / 8
A. Varejao1063%5.0 / 8
D. Marshall950%4.5 / 9
R. Murray750%3.5 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas633%3.0 / 9
D. Gooden675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
68
+18
-14
86
CLE
65
+13
-18
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.82 40.9%
CLE
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
104.3
DET 87.8
CLE 89.2 +1.4
Pace
85.6
85.4
DET 79.1
CLE 86.1 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
16.9
DET 18.2
CLE 16.7 −1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
46.5%
DET 36.0%
CLE 46.3% +10.3%
TO %
12.7%
15.6%
DET 15.8% −4.3%
CLE 20.1%
ORB %
27.8%
30.6%
DET 27.5% +5.6%
CLE 21.9%
FTrt
38.2
32.2
DET 30.7 +5.7
CLE 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
48.1%
DET 48.0% +3.2%
CLE 44.8%
STL %
7.5%
7.5%
DET 11.0% +2.6%
CLE 8.4%
BLK %
6.9%
7.4%
DET 8.8% +0.5%
CLE 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
50.0%
DET 40.9%
CLE 46.8% +5.9%
Rim FG%
58.8%
60.8%
DET 68.4% +6.9%
CLE 61.5%
Mid FG%
37.4%
31.3%
DET 19.5%
CLE 25.8% +6.3%
3P %
37.2%
32.0%
DET 26.7%
CLE 45.5% +18.8%
FT %
72.4%
76.4%
DET 78.3% +13.6%
CLE 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
41.8%
DET 25.3%
CLE 38.2% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
40.9%
DET 54.7%
CLE 45.6% −9.1%
3P Att. %
24.9%
17.2%
DET 20.0% +3.8%
CLE 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETCLE
Possessions8283
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points7274
Rebounds3636
Assists1213
Steals97
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals25-7529-68
At-the-Rim FG13-1916-26
Midrange FG8-418-31
2-Point FG21-6024-57
3-Point FG4-155-11
Free Throws18-2311-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 240 · 32
43.2
1
17%
10
1
1
3
2
3
6
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
42.3
16
47%
5
1
1
0
4
3
0
5
3-4
75%
5-13
38%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
41.9
11
50%
3
7
3
0
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
39.3
30
54%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
7-7
100%
10-22
45%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
34.0
7
25%
6
3
1
1
3
3
2
4
1-2
50%
3-11
27%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
14.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28
10.2
3
75%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 32
8.7
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 35
6.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
C · 6'11" 275 · 32
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
41%
36
12
9
5
14
0
11
25
18-23
78%
21-60
35%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.