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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers22%8486
3Pistons78%9484
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.4
46.8
46.2
32
48%
5
5
2
2
1
2
3
2
5-7
71%
12-26
9-18
46%
48%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
39.1
35.2
8
32%
2
0
4
1
1
2
1
1
4-6
67%
2-9
3-8
22%
42%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.1
33.7
30.8
0
0%
3
7
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
40%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
27.5
23.3
14
50%
10
1
1
0
6
3
5
5
2-2
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
14.8
18.9
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
34.6
26.3
14
71%
13
0
0
1
2
3
5
8
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
23.7
22.5
8
74%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
2-4
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
19.1
23.9
6
40%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
0-4
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
0.7
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
42%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
0.4
0
0-0
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.2
48.0
41.1
21
67%
8
2
0
1
2
2
4
4
6-6
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.3
46.0
39.7
15
39%
1
3
1
1
1
4
1
0
5-7
71%
5-15
7-15
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
41.8
40.3
8
33%
13
1
1
2
2
0
4
9
0-7
0%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.6
37.1
40.1
17
48%
3
5
0
1
0
6
1
2
4-4
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
22.4
34.1
10
56%
9
1
0
1
0
4
1
8
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
27.1
17.2
11
56%
11
1
0
0
3
1
4
7
1-2
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
51%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.5
12.9
6.9
0
0%
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
4.7
8.0
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.2
17.2
0
2-5
48%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.3
7.3
0
1-2
45%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.1
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.