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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers18%8361
1Pistons82%9479
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.4
46.8
46.2
27
49%
8
2
1
2
0
3
3
5
5-8
63%
11-20
9-18
55%
47%
0-4
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.0
33.4
26.1
8
45%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.1
25.1
33.6
4
30%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
1-5
2-6
20%
39%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
19.1
38.5
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.7
17.5
20.2
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
28.1
26.6
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
28.0
20.0
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
25.6
17.1
10
58%
6
5
2
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
15.4
20.9
6
56%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.5
1.0
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
0.6
0
0-0
38%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.2
47.0
45.4
20
54%
7
3
0
1
1
0
4
3
5-6
83%
6-15
5-11
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.7
44.1
39.0
12
51%
8
3
1
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
41.0
36.0
13
33%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
5-8
63%
4-14
4-8
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.7
37.1
40.7
6
52%
9
2
2
2
3
2
2
7
0-4
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.3
35.0
38.7
15
55%
4
2
1
1
1
3
0
4
5-8
63%
5-8
7-15
63%
47%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.7
16.9
16.0
6
61%
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.5
13.2
12.3
7
70%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
39%
1-3
33%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.3
4.7
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
1.0
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.2
0.4
0
0-0
40%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.7
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.