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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets53%9485
12Jazz47%9398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.8
40.1
42.6
12
43%
9
6
1
2
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
2-7
29%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
38.2
37.6
10
63%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.9
36.8
37.5
18
44%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
5-15
8-17
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.6
35.7
36.5
20
60%
9
2
0
0
1
5
4
5
4-4
100%
8-15
9-17
53%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.9
28.0
27.1
4
58%
4
0
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-2
3-5
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.4
21.3
23.4
8
51%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.2
19.1
19.0
5
30%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.4
7.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.8
7.3
5.6
2
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.7
2.8
2.3
4
69%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.9
2.8
1.4
2
114%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.9
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.8
38.3
38.3
25
77%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
10-14
5-10
71%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.4
33.0
35.8
15
44%
10
1
2
1
0
4
1
9
1-2
50%
7-16
9-17
44%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
29.1
23.0
3
54%
4
4
1
1
4
1
2
2
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.9
26.8
34.1
16
58%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
1-6
17%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.7
26.7
26.4
6
37%
1
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
4-5
80%
1-6
2-6
17%
40%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.9
24.7
29.1
17
61%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
7-9
78%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
21.2
10.6
3
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.2
17.2
13.4
4
33%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
16.1
21.9
9
65%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
2.8
3.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
2.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.7
1.6
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.