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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nets33%8983
8Cavaliers67%9472
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.9
44.3
42.4
15
63%
8
2
1
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
43.0
39.6
12
47%
6
10
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-4
50%
5-10
7-15
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.1
41.9
42.0
20
60%
9
6
4
2
2
8
1
8
1-6
17%
5-7
2-5
71%
41%
3-7
43%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.5
33.2
36.1
14
54%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
24.5
25.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
22.9
23.3
13
66%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.3
9.9
12.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
8.3
6.7
2
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-4
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.0
7.7
4.0
3
30%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.4
4.4
3.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.4
1.9
0
0-0
38%
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.0
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.4
42.8
45.2
20
53%
9
5
2
2
1
5
3
6
10-11
91%
5-12
8-16
42%
51%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.3
39.6
42.8
7
20%
3
4
1
2
0
3
2
1
0-1
0%
2-13
5-11
15%
43%
1-4
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.9
31.6
34.8
16
82%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
6-8
5-11
75%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.5
29.8
29.5
8
45%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-2
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.6
29.3
37.4
4
29%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
6-11
29%
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
23.4
17.9
3
52%
8
0
2
1
2
2
2
6
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.1
19.3
16.7
3
52%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.2
17.0
7.8
8
51%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
7.1
4.0
3
16%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
3-5
60%
0-5
0-1
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
0.6
0
0-0
33%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.3
0.3
0
0-0
40%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.5
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.9
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.