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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers39%8988
11Nets61%9372
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.4
38.9
43.8
23
48%
8
8
1
2
0
2
1
7
6-9
67%
7-15
7-15
47%
50%
1-5
20%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.3
34.9
41.0
5
32%
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
0-4
5-11
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.0
29.1
33.2
6
51%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.6
26.9
33.4
16
73%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
8-11
5-10
73%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.5
25.7
29.6
3
19%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
21.3
20.5
6
87%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-1
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
18.7
5.2
18
82%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
6-10
60%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.2
17.7
12.2
8
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.1
14.8
17.9
3
39%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
12.0
0.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.3
0.2
0
0-0
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
0.2
0
0-0
50%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.5
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.9
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.9
45.2
43.0
16
47%
8
2
0
1
1
3
0
8
2-2
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.2
44.0
41.6
19
41%
12
8
2
2
0
0
2
10
4-7
57%
6-13
2-5
46%
42%
1-7
14%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
41.3
40.9
11
42%
5
4
1
1
1
5
2
3
3-5
60%
4-9
7-15
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.5
37.5
34.3
14
63%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
6-7
86%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.5
28.8
25.2
2
26%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-1
33%
39%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.3
16.3
11.1
7
72%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
15.7
23.0
3
75%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.0
4.6
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
3.7
7.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.5
1.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.4
1.1
0
0-0
40%
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.0
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.