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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
June 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers29%8576
3Spurs71%9285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.4
44.0
43.6
14
39%
7
4
1
2
1
6
1
6
4-4
100%
2-10
7-15
20%
47%
2-6
33%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.6
36.8
28.8
13
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
6-11
2-6
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.7
25.8
26.4
14
71%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.0
23.4
28.1
2
13%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-8
4-8
13%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.4
23.4
25.9
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.7
31.0
25.7
10
55%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
4-7
57%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.3
27.8
27.6
16
89%
1
4
4
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
40%
2-3
67%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
15.5
12.1
5
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
11.9
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.1
0.2
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
0.5
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.3
0.3
0
0-0
33%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.6
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.5
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.0
40.5
27.9
6
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
39.2
31.8
24
63%
13
1
2
1
5
2
5
8
4-5
80%
10-17
7-13
59%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
38.1
31.9
27
53%
4
7
2
1
0
4
1
3
3-6
50%
12-23
7-13
52%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.3
19.9
24.3
2
14%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
17.1
30.1
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.9
28.4
27.3
16
58%
8
0
1
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
3-5
60%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.8
23.0
15.9
3
50%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
15.8
10.7
5
102%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.3
9.9
16.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.4
7.9
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
0.3
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
5.3
0
0-1
49%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.1
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.2
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.