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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks16%8677
1Celtics84%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.4
38.9
27.8
13
37%
8
3
2
1
4
5
1
7
7-10
70%
3-12
4-9
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
36.9
35.6
9
46%
9
3
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-2
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
33.7
37.1
11
49%
4
1
0
1
0
5
1
3
3-3
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.8
33.0
34.7
13
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
7-9
78%
3-9
4-10
33%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
27.9
31.0
12
53%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-10
80%
2-5
3-6
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
27.8
32.4
4
58%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.2
21.4
3.9
12
104%
0
1
1
0
0
4
0
0
4-4
100%
4-4
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
18.4
15.4
3
34%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
1.5
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
0.5
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
13.2
0
1-3
39%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
1.0
0
0-0
39%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.8
36.4
27.8
15
58%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
3-6
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
34.8
26.3
19
46%
10
3
2
1
2
1
3
7
6-6
100%
5-17
6-12
29%
52%
1-1
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.2
34.1
29.0
12
55%
6
8
4
2
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
28.3
28.9
14
62%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.4
23.2
21.0
8
56%
9
0
0
0
0
3
2
7
4-5
80%
2-5
2-3
40%
58%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.3
28.9
30.1
9
45%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
1-5
20%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.3
14.1
10.4
4
53%
2
1
3
0
1
3
1
1
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.3
13.7
24.0
3
32%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-4
25%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
11.6
15.4
10
51%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.5
9.5
5.8
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
3.0
11.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.3
2.4
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.2
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.0
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.