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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers
72
15Wizards
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.3
36
40
22
7
3
1
2
1
4
0
7
2-4
50%
10-15
8-15
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.9
30
30
9
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-10
6-13
40%
47%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.1
27
27
6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.7
25
27
5
1
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.6
16
20
5
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.2
25
28
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
24
14
10
8
2
0
0
0
3
5
3
4-7
57%
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
23
23
3
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
1-4
25%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.7
17
19
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.9
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
6
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-3
0%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.0
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.4
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
37
32
17
3
4
2
2
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
0-3
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
30
34
15
7
1
2
1
2
0
0
7
4-6
67%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
1-2
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.1
29
27
19
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
5-7
71%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
27
21
14
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
10
22
2
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
28
21
18
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
2-3
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.7
25
21
8
7
0
1
1
2
2
3
4
2-6
33%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.1
24
23
9
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-7
71%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
16
19
4
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
6
10
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
5
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.4
3
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.