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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers
100
15Wizards
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.3
44
38
34
12
7
2
1
0
5
2
10
9-14
64%
8-17
7-14
47%
51%
3-8
38%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.8
36
26
21
2
5
3
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
5-8
63%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.6
33
18
0
12
2
2
1
2
1
4
8
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.9
29
30
9
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-8
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.1
16
27
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.2
34
26
12
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
4-7
57%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
19
17
7
8
1
1
0
0
0
5
3
5-5
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
15
19
9
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
13
23
2
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
7
0
0-1
42%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.9
6
0
0-1
51%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
3
0
0-0
40%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.0
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.4
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
46
35
19
2
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
41
32
23
11
0
3
1
0
2
2
9
6-9
67%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
35
24
16
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
5
6-8
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.1
33
28
13
5
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
2-7
29%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
32
16
10
2
2
2
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.1
17
23
7
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
16
24
5
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
11
17
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.7
9
23
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
8
0
0-1
45%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
7
0
1-2
46%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.4
4
0
0-1
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.