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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers48%106107
11Nuggets52%107101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.7
41.5
38.0
31
55%
7
6
3
2
2
6
1
6
4-10
40%
9-16
7-14
56%
48%
3-8
38%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
38.5
36.3
14
50%
12
4
2
1
1
1
5
7
4-7
57%
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.7
37.8
30.8
7
37%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
37.6
37.8
21
57%
7
4
0
0
4
0
3
4
7-8
88%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
27.3
24.2
12
43%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-8
2-3
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.1
20.2
25.1
7
70%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
13.9
20.1
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
12.9
17.1
6
61%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
10.4
5.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.3
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.5
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.9
43.2
35.1
22
47%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
10-19
6-12
53%
44%
0-3
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
37.6
36.7
21
45%
11
3
0
1
0
3
4
7
5-7
71%
8-18
8-17
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.3
33.0
28.2
8
57%
6
1
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.1
30.6
30.2
3
31%
17
3
1
1
4
2
4
13
0-2
0%
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.3
19.9
31.6
8
40%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-5
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
31.3
25.0
26
81%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
9-9
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
50%
3-7
43%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
17.3
14.6
2
14%
3
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
15.5
20.2
4
100%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
11.5
8.6
7
64%
4
0
2
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.7
0.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.7
3.0
0
0-0
42%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
1.5
0
0-0
53%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.