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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks38%9392
3Hornets62%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
41.9
37.4
31
58%
10
0
0
1
2
1
3
7
12-13
92%
8-17
7-15
47%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.1
38.7
34.7
11
81%
9
9
2
1
0
4
2
7
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
40%
2-2
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
37.4
35.9
17
43%
8
1
0
1
1
4
4
4
8-9
89%
3-13
6-14
23%
46%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.5
29.0
23.2
9
42%
8
3
0
0
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
42%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
27.4
23.0
4
42%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
24.1
32.0
8
57%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
19.7
21.8
8
45%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
11.8
13.9
4
25%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
39%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
5.0
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.5
3.8
18.2
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.0
1.3
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.8
8.6
0
1-2
43%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.5
41.2
32.4
10
56%
15
0
1
1
1
2
7
8
0-0
-
5-9
4-6
56%
59%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
41.0
38.0
23
53%
8
3
0
1
4
0
2
6
7-8
88%
8-18
8-17
44%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.0
40.7
36.5
35
67%
3
10
4
2
1
1
1
2
5-7
71%
15-22
5-11
68%
49%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
32.2
37.2
14
70%
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
19.8
21.0
6
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
26.1
12.3
5
22%
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
1-5
1-4
20%
41%
0-4
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
20.6
11.9
8
45%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
7.3
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
6.8
12.0
1
27%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.4
4.2
1.5
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
8.8
0
1-2
43%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.