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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks38%93103
6Hornets62%97127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
35.6
39.8
27
77%
5
5
0
1
1
4
1
4
12-15
80%
6-10
8-16
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.1
30.8
36.5
7
35%
4
8
2
2
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
40%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
28.3
36.8
10
40%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
4-6
67%
3-9
6-14
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.5
24.0
26.4
9
45%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
16.4
25.4
6
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
30.8
28.0
16
90%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
4-5
80%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
29.0
20.3
19
106%
8
0
1
0
0
3
3
5
9-9
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
12.1
12.6
5
43%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.8
11.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.5
10.5
10.1
3
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
7.5
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
3.7
3.0
1
18%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.0
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
40.2
39.4
27
72%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
10-16
8-17
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.0
38.6
38.4
32
72%
5
17
3
2
0
3
0
5
12-14
86%
10-14
6-12
71%
49%
0-2
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
37.0
34.7
22
79%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
5-7
71%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.6
28.2
36.5
10
63%
11
0
0
1
3
0
3
8
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
59%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
22.4
20.2
12
86%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
21.9
18.7
10
63%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
19.8
9.1
8
69%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-4
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
18.6
15.4
4
52%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
9.6
11.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.4
3.7
2.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
5.2
0
1-1
42%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.