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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs42%96115
7Suns58%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
40.5
38.8
41
71%
5
12
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-7
86%
16-23
9-18
70%
50%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
36.7
38.9
23
65%
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
5-6
83%
9-15
9-17
60%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
29.5
22.6
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
28.5
34.0
7
42%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
22.8
17.0
9
48%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
28.1
30.4
20
84%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
4-7
57%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
24.6
20.4
6
60%
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
14.2
14.4
2
33%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
7.6
9.4
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
5.2
6.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
1.4
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
0.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
41.5
37.7
28
57%
11
0
1
1
1
2
3
8
2-4
50%
13-22
9-17
59%
55%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
39.4
38.2
5
51%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.2
32.3
35.3
7
41%
2
9
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.4
31.8
26.3
20
57%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
8-14
2-5
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.1
31.1
29.6
19
51%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
9-17
53%
5-11
5-8
45%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
33.1
25.8
10
51%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.6
19.8
20.6
6
50%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
8.7
16.5
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
2.4
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.7
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.6
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.