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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs43%9686
9Suns57%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
29.3
39.8
18
45%
4
3
0
1
0
5
3
1
4-7
57%
7-17
10-19
41%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
28.6
37.7
14
37%
10
2
0
1
2
1
5
5
2-2
100%
6-18
8-17
33%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
22.4
30.9
7
72%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
20.1
26.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
14.7
19.9
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
27.8
8.1
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
21.2
29.3
10
56%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
20.1
1.5
6
38%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
15.8
5.4
4
33%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
14.0
14.0
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
13.3
22.7
3
85%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
12.8
4.1
11
59%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
3-7
0-1
43%
40%
1-1
100%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
44.9
29.9
20
53%
10
8
0
1
2
4
3
7
0-0
-
10-17
4-8
59%
49%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
40.1
38.6
27
99%
6
5
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
5-7
71%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
31.1
39.8
7
28%
9
1
1
1
3
1
3
6
1-3
33%
3-11
10-18
27%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.2
29.3
33.5
15
63%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
51%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.1
23.6
30.0
14
49%
12
1
2
0
2
1
5
7
6-10
60%
4-10
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.4
27.6
29.6
15
45%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
2-5
40%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
23.2
11.8
7
44%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
11.6
1.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.9
4.6
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.7
2.5
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.6
1.6
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.6
20.0
1
2-4
49%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.