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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Suns30%9387
6Spurs70%10092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
44.4
35.5
15
46%
11
0
2
1
3
2
4
7
3-5
60%
6-14
8-16
43%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
43.3
37.2
22
62%
8
8
2
1
1
2
1
7
0-2
0%
11-15
5-10
73%
48%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
40.9
39.2
14
79%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
3-5
60%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.2
37.6
31.3
11
33%
2
3
1
0
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
1-6
17%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.1
29.3
26.4
13
39%
9
1
0
0
3
2
2
7
9-20
45%
2-8
4-8
25%
53%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
20.6
17.3
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.4
18.9
28.7
5
32%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
5.0
6.1
5
91%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
9.7
0
1-3
41%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.7
2.0
0
0-1
43%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.6
0.8
0
0-0
43%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.9
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.0
41.3
34.8
31
55%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
13-16
81%
9-21
9-17
43%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
40.6
33.2
29
48%
17
0
1
1
3
5
9
8
3-5
60%
13-28
8-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
33.8
17.0
8
34%
12
0
1
0
1
0
3
9
2-2
100%
3-11
2-4
27%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
30.9
26.7
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
16.2
23.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
27.3
25.4
8
30%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
2-9
3-7
22%
50%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
14.5
17.9
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
13.5
13.8
5
83%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
12.8
17.9
8
103%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
8.5
10.6
3
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
0.7
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
4.0
0
0-1
49%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.