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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz41%9393
7Rockets59%9682
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
43.8
28.9
20
64%
2
10
0
1
1
5
2
0
5-8
63%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
40.4
27.3
21
74%
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-5
80%
7-10
2-5
70%
49%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.4
35.8
31.1
20
50%
16
3
0
1
0
3
6
10
0-0
-
10-20
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.9
31.9
32.3
4
25%
8
3
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
21.9
19.8
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.1
25.5
21.6
11
70%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.9
25.5
16.1
6
44%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.2
10.4
23.2
6
75%
5
0
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
4.2
13.5
5
133%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
0.7
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
9.0
0
0-1
42%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.0
6.2
0
1-1
38%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
41.4
31.8
22
114%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
4-4
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
40.9
36.4
20
42%
6
7
2
1
0
3
1
5
5-7
71%
6-16
7-15
38%
45%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.0
37.0
33.0
14
41%
13
0
2
1
0
2
8
5
2-5
40%
6-15
5-11
40%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
33.3
24.2
7
23%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-6
25%
43%
1-7
14%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.8
26.5
19.0
2
33%
9
0
0
0
3
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.9
15.6
22.1
2
50%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.3
14.7
15.7
5
29%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.6
11.2
13.8
4
35%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
8.0
17.0
3
61%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.9
6.7
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
3.6
9.3
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 29.8
1.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.2
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.