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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
May 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Cavaliers20%8373
1Celtics80%9489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.4
41.6
40.5
21
35%
5
6
2
2
1
7
2
3
9-13
69%
6-20
7-14
30%
48%
0-4
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.8
35.1
32.5
3
26%
7
5
0
1
4
3
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.2
34.6
28.7
13
51%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
1-4
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.9
30.5
35.1
19
74%
5
1
0
1
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
9-12
6-14
75%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.7
3.7
28.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
33.4
12.5
3
26%
10
1
1
0
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.2
20.2
26.5
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
18.8
17.8
4
29%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.5
14.8
10.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
4.0
4.9
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.9
3.5
0.6
1
57%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.0
Lance Allred
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.8
36.9
35.4
16
59%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
7-8
88%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.6
36.1
31.5
19
61%
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
6
4-6
67%
6-8
4-7
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
31.5
35.7
13
63%
12
4
1
1
1
1
3
9
3-3
100%
5-9
8-16
56%
51%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.2
22.5
29.6
7
39%
5
6
2
2
0
4
3
2
7-7
100%
0-6
5-9
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.5
20.8
30.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
0-2
3-5
0%
58%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.3
28.4
16.1
11
57%
7
1
0
0
0
0
4
3
3-6
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
53%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.5
25.8
13.9
9
35%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.3
21.6
23.1
7
58%
6
1
3
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
1-4
25%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.6
5.8
5.3
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.0
3.8
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.3
3.5
5.2
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.3
3.5
5.0
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.1
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.