Final Win Prob. pScore
157%90
77
1143%88
88
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
91.78491.8
CLE logo Cavaliers
106.08376.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS77
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEMISS West 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSJames STEAL (3 STL)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0CLEVarejao 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gibson 4 AST)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0BOSPierce 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)77
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10CLEVarejao 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (10 PTS) (James 13 AST)75
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 1:26BOSJames BLOCK (2 BLK)75
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 1:45BOSSUB: Cassell FOR Rondo75
84
Q4 - 1:45BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)75
84
Q4 - 1:45CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (21 PTS)75
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 2:03CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 2:07BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 2:16CLEJump Ball Smith vs. Garnett: Tip to Allen75
82
Q4 - 2:19BOSCeltics Rebound75
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 2:20BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 2:38CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 12 AST)75
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 2:55BOSPierce 13' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)75
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 3:13BOSSUB: Posey FOR Brown73
79
Q4 - 3:13BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
79
Q4 - 3:17CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)73
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q4 - 3:31CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
26.3%
76
73.7%
Q4 - 3:32BOSMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot73
28.7%
76
71.3%
Q4 - 3:49BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
34.2%
76
65.8%
Q4 - 3:50CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
31.4%
76
68.6%
Q4 - 4:09CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)73
76
Q4 - 4:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q4 - 4:17CLEMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot73
31.0%
76
69.0%
Q4 - 4:33CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 4:36BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup73
27.5%
76
72.5%
Q4 - 4:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
33.7%
76
66.3%
Q4 - 4:43CLEMISS James Layup73
30.9%
76
69.1%
Q4 - 4:58CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q4 - 5:00BOSMISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot73
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q4 - 5:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
36.3%
76
63.7%
Q4 - 5:19CLEMISS Gibson 2' Layup73
33.8%
76
66.2%
Q4 - 5:42BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Cassell73
76
Q4 - 5:42CLESUB: West FOR Szczerbiak73
76
Q4 - 5:42BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T3)73
76
Q4 - 5:42CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
28.4%
76
71.6%
Q4 - 5:43CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot73
33.7%
76
66.3%
Q4 - 6:03CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
31.8%
76
68.2%
Q4 - 6:05BOSMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot73
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q4 - 6:13BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
39.0%
76
61.0%
Q4 - 6:14CLEMISS Szczerbiak 23' Jump Shot73
36.7%
76
63.3%
Q4 - 6:29BOSBrown 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)73
31.6%
76
68.4%
Q4 - 6:41BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q4 - 6:42CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
23.8%
76
76.2%
Q4 - 7:09CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q4 - 7:10BOSMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
24.3%
76
75.7%
Q4 - 7:26BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Davis71
76
Q4 - 7:26BOSSUB: Allen FOR Posey71
76
Q4 - 7:26BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
76
Q4 - 7:26CLESmith 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 11 AST)71
28.2%
76
71.8%
Q4 - 7:50CLECAVALIERS Rebound71
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q4 - 7:51BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
35.8%
74
64.2%
Q4 - 7:59BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q4 - 8:00CLEMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 8:29BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q4 - 8:45CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 10 AST)69
30.2%
74
69.8%
Q4 - 8:5969
71
Q4 - 8:59BOSCassell P.FOUL (P1.T2)69
71
Q4 - 9:16BOSCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
43.7%
71
56.3%
Q4 - 9:16BOSCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
42.9%
71
57.1%
Q4 - 9:16CLESmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)67
71
Q4 - 9:28CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
37.6%
71
62.4%
Q4 - 9:28CLECAVALIERS Rebound67
70
Q4 - 9:28CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 267
39.1%
70
60.9%
Q4 - 9:28BOSDavis S.FOUL (P1.T1)67
70
Q4 - 9:38CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
37.9%
70
62.1%
Q4 - 9:39BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot67
39.5%
70
60.5%
Q4 - 9:49BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
43.4%
70
56.6%
Q4 - 9:50CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
41.7%
70
58.3%
Q4 - 10:12CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
39.0%
70
61.0%
Q4 - 10:14BOSMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot67
40.7%
70
59.3%
Q4 - 10:32CLEGibson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)67
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q4 - 11:00BOSBrown 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)67
50.2%
68
49.8%
Q4 - 11:17BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
45.1%
68
54.9%
Q4 - 11:18CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot65
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q4 - 11:24CLESUB: Szczerbiak FOR West65
68
Q4 - 11:29BOSJames STEAL (2 STL)65
40.2%
68
59.8%
Q4 - 11:45BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
45.1%
68
54.9%
Q4 - 11:46CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q4 - 12:0065
68
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE65
40.1%
68
59.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
40.1%
68
59.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot65
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR James65
68
Q3 - 0:28.0CLEVarejao 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)65
45.5%
68
54.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
51.1%
66
48.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)64
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0CLEVarejao P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
66
Q3 - 0:55.0CLESmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)63
45.5%
66
54.5%
Q3 - 1:12CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
51.0%
64
49.0%
Q3 - 1:14BOSMISS Allen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot63
52.4%
64
47.6%
Q3 - 1:35BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
55.5%
64
44.5%
Q3 - 1:36CLEMISS James 1' Layup63
54.1%
64
45.9%
Q3 - 1:52CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
51.1%
64
48.9%
Q3 - 1:53BOSMISS Posey 30' 3PT Jump Shot63
52.4%
64
47.6%
Q3 - 2:13BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
55.8%
64
44.2%
Q3 - 2:15CLEMISS Smith 1' Layup63
54.4%
64
45.6%
Q3 - 2:26CLESUB: Smith FOR Szczerbiak63
64
Q3 - 2:26CLESUB: Gibson FOR Ilgauskas63
64
Q3 - 2:26BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)63
64
Q3 - 2:26BOSBrown L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)63
64
Q3 - 2:26CLECAVALIERS Rebound63
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 2:26CLEMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
54.4%
64
45.6%
Q3 - 2:27CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 2:28CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup63
54.4%
64
45.6%
Q3 - 2:39CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 2:40BOSMISS Rondo 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
52.6%
64
47.4%
Q3 - 3:05CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
56.6%
64
43.4%
Q3 - 3:05CLECAVALIERS Rebound63
63
Q3 - 3:05CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 263
57.4%
63
42.6%
Q3 - 3:05CLESUB: Varejao FOR Wallace63
63
Q3 - 3:05BOSSUB: Brown FOR Perkins63
63
Q3 - 3:05BOSRondo S.FOUL (P3.T3)63
63
Q3 - 3:19BOSSUB: Posey FOR Pierce63
63
Q3 - 3:19BOSRondo P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
63
Q3 - 3:19CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
56.3%
63
43.7%
Q3 - 3:20BOSJames BLOCK (1 BLK)63
57.8%
63
42.2%
Q3 - 3:39CLEWest Layup (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)63
60.9%
63
39.1%
Q3 - 3:59BOSRondo 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)63
64.9%
61
35.1%
Q3 - 4:18CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)60
56.8%
61
43.2%
Q3 - 4:21CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
64.4%
58
35.6%
Q3 - 4:23CLEMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
67.6%
58
32.4%
Q3 - 4:46BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)60
64.4%
58
35.6%
Q3 - 5:05CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 5:05CLEWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)58
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 5:07CLEMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot58
66.9%
56
33.1%
Q3 - 5:21BOSAllen P.FOUL (P2.T1)58
56
Q3 - 5:39BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)58
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 5:52CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)55
56
Q3 - 5:52CLEWest P.FOUL (P2.T4)55
56
Q3 - 5:52CLEJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)55
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 6:10CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 6:11BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 255
53.0%
56
47.0%
Q3 - 6:11BOSCeltics Rebound55
56
Q3 - 6:11BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 255
55.2%
56
44.8%
Q3 - 6:11CLESzczerbiak S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
56
Q3 - 6:26CLESzczerbiak 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)55
56.7%
56
43.3%
Q3 - 6:46BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)55
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 7:02CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)52
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 7:06CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 7:09BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 252
49.2%
54
50.8%
Q3 - 7:09BOSCeltics Rebound52
54
Q3 - 7:09BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 252
51.3%
54
48.7%
Q3 - 7:09CLEIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)52
54
Q3 - 7:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 7:14CLEMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot52
51.4%
54
48.6%
Q3 - 7:39CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup52
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 8:00CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)52
52.7%
54
47.3%
Q3 - 8:27BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q3 - 8:43CLESzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)50
52.8%
52
47.2%
Q3 - 8:50CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 8:51BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup50
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 9:04CLEWest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:15CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 9:16BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot50
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 9:33BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:34BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 9:42BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:43CLEMISS West 3PT Jump Shot50
62.6%
49
37.4%
Q3 - 10:13BOSGarnett 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q3 - 10:33CLESzczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)48
56.7%
49
43.3%
Q3 - 10:53BOSAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)48
60.2%
47
39.8%
Q3 - 10:53BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)47
59.8%
47
40.2%
Q3 - 10:53BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)46
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q3 - 10:53CLESzczerbiak S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
47
Q3 - 11:09CLESzczerbiak 18' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)45
53.8%
47
46.2%
Q3 - 11:36BOSRondo 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)45
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q3 - 12:0043
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS43
53.7%
45
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound43
53.7%
45
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 44' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.2%
45
48.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
53.6%
45
46.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLESUB: Wallace FOR Ilgauskas43
44
Q2 - 0:03.0CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.PN)43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0BOSSUB: Posey FOR Brown43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Wallace43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Varejao43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0CLESUB: Gibson FOR Pavlovic43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
43
Q2 - 0:07.0BOSAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)43
57.8%
43
42.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0CLESUB: Varejao FOR Ilgauskas41
43
Q2 - 0:25.0CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Gibson41
43
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSCeltics Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)41
43
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (6 PTS)41
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot41
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0CLEMISS Wallace 2' Layup41
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0CLESUB: Gibson FOR Pavlovic41
41
Q2 - 0:49.0BOSRondo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)41
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
60.3%
41
39.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0CLEMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot41
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 1:17BOSBrown 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)41
58.0%
41
42.0%
Q2 - 1:26BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 1:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup39
53.2%
41
46.8%
Q2 - 1:44CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
51.5%
41
48.5%
Q2 - 1:46BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot39
52.2%
41
47.8%
Q2 - 1:57BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 1:58BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot39
52.2%
41
47.8%
Q2 - 2:03BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
54.6%
41
45.4%
Q2 - 2:04CLEMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
53.6%
41
46.4%
Q2 - 2:09CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 2:12CLEMISS Wallace 2' Dunk39
53.6%
41
46.4%
Q2 - 2:33BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)39
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 2:46CLEWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)37
48.2%
41
51.8%
Q2 - 2:50BOSSUB: Brown FOR Perkins37
41
Q2 - 2:50BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
41
Q2 - 2:50BOSPerkins P.FOUL (P3.T4)37
41
Q2 - 3:00CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
45.0%
41
55.0%
Q2 - 3:01BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
46.4%
41
53.6%
Q2 - 3:08BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
48.9%
41
51.1%
Q2 - 3:10CLEMISS West 12' Jump Shot37
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 3:30BOSPierce Layup (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)37
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 3:36BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
42.7%
41
57.3%
Q2 - 3:38CLEMISS Pavlovic 19' Jump Shot35
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 3:53BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
39.1%
41
60.9%
Q2 - 3:53BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 3:53CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR James33
41
Q2 - 3:53BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Brown33
41
Q2 - 3:53CLEJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)33
41
Q2 - 4:13CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 4:13CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
37.9%
40
62.1%
Q2 - 4:13BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
39
Q2 - 4:16BOSWallace STEAL (2 STL)33
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 4:31BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 4:31CLEMISS Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot33
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 4:41CLEJump Ball James vs. Garnett: Tip to West33
39
Q2 - 4:41CLESUB: West FOR Varejao33
39
Q2 - 4:41CLESUB: Ilgauskas FOR Smith33
39
Q2 - 4:41CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 4:41CLESUB: Wallace FOR Gibson33
39
Q2 - 4:45CLEMISS Varejao 17' Jump Shot33
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 4:57CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 5:00BOSMISS Garnett 1' Alley Oop Dunk33
40.8%
39
59.2%
Q2 - 5:11BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
43.6%
39
56.4%
Q2 - 5:11CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 233
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 5:11CLESUB: Szczerbiak FOR Pavlovic33
39
Q2 - 5:11BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Posey33
39
Q2 - 5:11CLECAVALIERS Rebound33
39
Q2 - 5:11CLEMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 233
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 5:11BOSBrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
39
Q2 - 5:18BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
40.8%
39
59.2%
Q2 - 5:18BOSBrown 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
40.8%
39
59.2%
Q2 - 5:19BOSMISS Allen 6' Running Jump Shot31
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 5:37CLEVarejao 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)31
37.9%
39
62.1%
Q2 - 5:50BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Cassell31
37
Q2 - 5:50CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
37
Q2 - 6:01CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
40.8%
37
59.2%
Q2 - 6:04BOSMISS Garnett 7' Running Hook Shot31
41.9%
37
58.1%
Q2 - 6:25CLEVarejao 2' Layup (4 PTS)31
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 6:50BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)31
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 7:03CLEJames Foul Turnover (P2.T3)29
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 7:03CLEJames OFF.Foul (P2)29
35
Q2 - 7:13CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 7:14BOSMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 7:34CLEGibson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)29
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 7:49BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
47.1%
33
52.9%
Q2 - 7:49BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 7:49CLEVarejao P.FOUL (P1.PN)27
33
Q2 - 7:55CLEJames Driving Layup (10 PTS)27
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 8:03CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
47.7%
31
52.3%
Q2 - 8:05BOSMISS Garnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot27
48.5%
31
51.5%
Q2 - 8:26BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 8:27CLEMISS James 23' Jump Shot27
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 8:51BOSCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
47.7%
31
52.3%
Q2 - 8:51BOSCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 8:51BOSSUB: Allen FOR Pierce25
31
Q2 - 8:51BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Powe25
31
Q2 - 8:5125
31
Q2 - 8:51CLEGibson S.FOUL (P2.T4)25
31
Q2 - 9:10CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)25
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 9:25CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 9:26BOSMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot25
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q2 - 9:41CLEPavlovic P.FOUL (P2.T3)25
29
Q2 - 9:49CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q2 - 9:49CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
51.1%
28
48.9%
Q2 - 9:49BOSPosey S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
27
Q2 - 10:00BOSPierce 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)25
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q2 - 10:19BOSBrown Violation:Defensive Goaltending23
27
Q2 - 10:19CLEVarejao 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)23
50.7%
27
49.3%
Q2 - 10:32BOSPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 10:32BOSCeltics Rebound22
25
Q2 - 10:32BOSMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 222
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 10:32CLEGibson S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
25
Q2 - 10:49CLESmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)22
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 11:12BOSCassell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q2 - 11:31BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q2 - 11:32CLEMISS Gibson 23' Jump Shot22
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q2 - 11:46BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q2 - 11:46BOSCeltics Rebound21
23
Q2 - 11:46BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 221
55.3%
23
44.7%
Q2 - 11:46CLEPavlovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
23
Q2 - 12:0021
23
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS21
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound21
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot21
54.1%
23
45.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0CLESmith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)21
55.5%
23
44.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
58.5%
21
41.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSMISS Powe 3' Jump Shot21
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 1:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
60.4%
21
39.6%
Q1 - 1:02CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot21
59.9%
21
40.1%
Q1 - 1:24BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
58.8%
21
41.2%
Q1 - 1:24BOSSUB: Posey FOR Allen20
21
Q1 - 1:24BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 1:24CLEJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)19
21
Q1 - 1:36CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
55.8%
21
44.2%
Q1 - 1:36BOSPowe S.FOUL (P1.T4)19
20
Q1 - 1:36CLEJames 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
20
Q1 - 1:48CLESUB: Pavlovic FOR Szczerbiak19
18
Q1 - 1:48CLECAVALIERS Rebound19
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 1:48BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup19
61.6%
18
38.4%
Q1 - 1:58CLEGibson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)19
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 2:25BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)19
65.2%
16
34.8%
Q1 - 2:35CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
62.7%
16
37.3%
Q1 - 2:50CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q1 - 2:51BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot17
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 2:58CLESUB: Varejao FOR Wallace17
16
Q1 - 2:58BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
16
Q1 - 2:58CLESmith P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
16
Q1 - 3:05BOSSUB: Powe FOR Perkins17
16
Q1 - 3:05CLESUB: Smith FOR Ilgauskas17
16
Q1 - 3:05BOSCeltics Rebound17
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 3:06CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot17
62.5%
16
37.5%
Q1 - 3:31BOSRondo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)17
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q1 - 3:46BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 3:47CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot15
58.1%
16
41.9%
Q1 - 4:10BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 4:10BOSPerkins OFF.Foul (P2)15
16
Q1 - 4:12BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 4:14CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot15
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 4:22CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 4:23BOSMISS Perkins 8' Fadeaway Jumper15
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 4:39CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)15
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 5:04BOSAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 5:19CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 5:19CLESUB: Gibson FOR West13
13
Q1 - 5:19CLECAVALIERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
13
Q1 - 5:19BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
13
Q1 - 5:19CLEJames 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)13
13
Q1 - 5:22BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)13
61.8%
11
38.2%
Q1 - 5:42CLESzczerbiak 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)13
63.7%
11
36.3%
Q1 - 5:57BOSRondo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)13
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 6:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 6:12CLEMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 6:36BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)11
61.6%
9
38.4%
Q1 - 6:36CLEWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 6:36BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 6:36BOSGarnett 1' Layup (8 PTS)10
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 6:36BOSMISS Perkins 1' Putback Layup8
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 6:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 6:39BOSMISS Rondo 8' Hook Shot8
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 6:48CLEIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 6:49CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 6:52BOSMISS Rondo 4' Running Jump Shot8
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 7:04BOSCeltics Rebound8
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 7:04CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3' Jump Shot8
57.8%
9
42.2%
Q1 - 7:25BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)8
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 7:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 7:43CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 26
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 7:43CLECAVALIERS Rebound6
9
Q1 - 7:43CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 26
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 7:43BOSGarnett S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
9
Q1 - 7:51CLEWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 7:52BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot6
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 7:58CLESzczerbiak Violation:Kicked Ball6
9
Q1 - 8:05CLEWest 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 8:19CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
56.7%
7
43.3%
Q1 - 8:20BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot6
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 8:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
58.2%
7
41.8%
Q1 - 8:28CLEMISS James 11' Running Jump Shot6
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 8:47BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
56.7%
7
43.3%
Q1 - 8:47BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
56.3%
7
43.7%
Q1 - 8:47CLEWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 9:00CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
55.4%
7
44.6%
Q1 - 9:00CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 9:00BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
5
Q1 - 9:05BOSGarnett 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)4
57.2%
5
42.8%
Q1 - 9:36CLEWest 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)2
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 9:49BOSGarnett 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.0%
3
43.0%
Q1 - 9:58BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.0%
3
44.0%
Q1 - 10:01CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Hook Shot0
56.0%
3
44.0%
Q1 - 10:17BOSWallace STEAL (1 STL)0
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
56.3%
3
43.7%
Q1 - 10:22BOSMISS Pierce 9' Running Jump Shot0
55.7%
3
44.3%
Q1 - 10:29BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
56.3%
3
43.7%
Q1 - 10:31CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Turnaround Jump Shot0
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 10:43CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.7%
3
44.3%
Q1 - 10:44BOSMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot0
55.9%
3
44.1%
Q1 - 11:00CLESzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
56.4%
3
43.6%
Q1 - 11:19CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.2%
0
42.8%
Q1 - 11:22BOSMISS Allen 17' Turnaround Jump Shot0
57.2%
0
42.8%
Q1 - 11:39BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:41CLEMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Perkins: Tip to James0
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSCLE
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.90 44.8%
CLE
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
9
18
50%
CLE
14
24
58%
Midrange
BOS
15
38
39%
CLE
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
CLE
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
BOS
20
26
77%
CLE
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett1550%7.5 / 15
R. Allen1563%7.5 / 12
R. Rondo1550%7.5 / 15
P. Pierce1336%6.5 / 18
P. Brown8100%4.0 / 4
S. Cassell429%2.0 / 7
J. Posey338%1.5 / 4
K. Perkins225%1.0 / 4
L. Powe233%1.0 / 3
G. Davis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2146%10.5 / 23
W. Szczerbiak1464%7.0 / 11
D. Gibson1470%7.0 / 10
A. Varejao1275%6.0 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas938%4.5 / 12
J. Smith867%4.0 / 6
D. West638%3.0 / 8
B. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
S. Pavlovic250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
76
+9
-8
85
CLE
76
+10
-7
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.90 44.8%
CLE
1.02 51.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
103.8
BOS 91.7
CLE 106.0 +14.4
Pace
86.9
86.7
BOS 91.8 +15.3
CLE 76.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
17.4
BOS 15.7 −3.1
CLE 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
46.5%
BOS 40.7%
CLE 49.4% +8.7%
TO %
14.1%
14.8%
BOS 8.9%
CLE 7.6% −1.3%
ORB %
29.5%
29.2%
BOS 15.0%
CLE 20.0% +5.0%
FTrt
35.4
39.5
BOS 37.1 +13.7
CLE 23.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.0%
64.9%
BOS 59.3%
CLE 68.6% +9.3%
STL %
8.8%
6.9%
BOS 3.6%
CLE 6.0% +2.4%
BLK %
7.7%
8.7%
BOS 6.7% +3.1%
CLE 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.0%
BOS 44.8%
CLE 51.2% +6.4%
Rim FG%
55.0%
55.3%
BOS 50.0%
CLE 58.3% +8.3%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.0%
BOS 39.5%
CLE 41.7% +2.2%
3P %
35.9%
34.5%
BOS 21.4%
CLE 35.3% +13.9%
FT %
78.3%
72.1%
BOS 76.9% +10.2%
CLE 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
30.6%
BOS 25.7%
CLE 31.2% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.2%
BOS 54.3%
CLE 46.8% −7.5%
3P Att. %
22.4%
26.2%
BOS 20.0%
CLE 22.1% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSCLE
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points7788
Rebounds3842
Assists1624
Steals35
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals27-7035-77
At-the-Rim FG9-1814-24
Midrange FG15-3815-36
2-Point FG24-5629-60
3-Point FG3-146-17
Free Throws20-2612-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
41.0
13
36%
5
3
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
6-14
43%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
40.3
15
50%
10
4
0
1
1
1
2
8
3-3
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
38.9
15
63%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 186 · 22
33.8
15
50%
3
4
2
0
3
3
1
2
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 270 · 24
18.9
2
25%
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
1
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 39
22.7
8
100%
6
0
0
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 31
19.4
3
38%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
14.2
4
29%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
6.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
· 6'4" 213 · 26
#13 · G · 6'4" 170 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#66 · C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
45%
38
16
3
4
8
0
6
32
20-26
77%
24-56
43%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.