Final Win Prob. pScore
1529%89
90
771%96
89
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
111.18175.2
ORL logo Magic
115.67784.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL90
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DET90
89
Q4 - 0:00.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)90
96.3%
89
3.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot90
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup90
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETSUB: Maxiell FOR McDyess90
89
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)90
89
Q4 - 0:08.0DETPrince 11' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)90
58.5%
89
41.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)88
36.0%
89
64.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot88
21.1%
89
78.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
35.2%
89
64.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 288
32.9%
89
67.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
22.6%
89
77.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P5.PN)88
88
Q4 - 0:59.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)88
35.4%
88
64.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)87
33.3%
88
66.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETPistons Rebound86
88
Q4 - 0:59.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical86
22.8%
88
77.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLSUB: Evans FOR Dooling86
88
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLDooling T.FOUL (P6.PN)86
88
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLDooling P.FOUL (P6.PN)86
88
Q4 - 1:14ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (20 PTS)86
25.1%
88
74.9%
Q4 - 1:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)86
36.7%
86
63.3%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
41.3%
86
58.7%
Q4 - 1:47DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
49.7%
86
50.3%
Q4 - 1:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)86
36.4%
86
63.6%
Q4 - 1:48ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot86
45.5%
86
54.5%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Running Bank Shot86
45.3%
86
54.7%
Q4 - 2:07DETHamilton 12' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)86
36.2%
86
63.8%
Q4 - 2:33ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
30.0%
86
70.0%
Q4 - 2:47DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)84
48.3%
83
51.7%
Q4 - 2:47DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)83
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q4 - 2:47ORLDooling S.FOUL (P5.PN)82
83
Q4 - 3:05DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)82
83
Q4 - 3:06ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)82
39.8%
83
60.2%
Q4 - 3:24DETPrince Foul Turnover (P4.T10)82
58.9%
80
41.1%
Q4 - 3:24DETPrince OFF.Foul (P2)82
80
Q4 - 3:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)82
64.7%
80
35.3%
Q4 - 3:35DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
58.0%
80
42.0%
Q4 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)82
65.3%
80
34.7%
Q4 - 3:57DETSUB: Hunter FOR Stuckey82
79
Q4 - 3:57DETStuckey S.FOUL (P5.PN)82
79
Q4 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (11 PTS)82
79
Q4 - 4:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
79.9%
77
20.1%
Q4 - 4:05DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot82
81.9%
77
18.1%
Q4 - 4:19ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.T4)82
77
Q4 - 4:33ORLNelson P.FOUL (P3.T3)82
77
Q4 - 4:33DETPistons Rebound82
86.1%
77
13.9%
Q4 - 4:33DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot82
82.2%
77
17.8%
Q4 - 4:58ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
86.2%
77
13.8%
Q4 - 5:17DETWallace 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)82
85.9%
75
14.1%
Q4 - 5:3280
75
Q4 - 5:32ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T2)80
75
Q4 - 5:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
81.8%
75
18.2%
Q4 - 5:49DETMISS Hamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper80
77.8%
75
22.2%
Q4 - 6:10ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q4 - 6:10ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Evans80
74
Q4 - 6:10ORLMAGIC Rebound80
74
Q4 - 6:10ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 280
78.4%
74
21.6%
Q4 - 6:10DETHamilton P.FOUL (P3.PN)80
74
Q4 - 6:19DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T4)80
74
Q4 - 6:26DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Hunter80
74
Q4 - 6:26ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)80
74
Q4 - 6:36DETHamilton 18' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)80
77.6%
74
22.4%
Q4 - 7:00ORLEvans 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
72.2%
74
27.8%
Q4 - 7:19DETPrince Foul Turnover (P3.T9)78
74.1%
72
25.9%
Q4 - 7:19DETPrince OFF.Foul (P1)78
72
Q4 - 7:40DETPistons Rebound78
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q4 - 7:40ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
78.0%
72
22.0%
Q4 - 8:00DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
74.3%
72
25.7%
Q4 - 8:21ORL76
72
Q4 - 8:22ORLTurkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)76
65.9%
72
34.1%
Q4 - 8:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
71.8%
70
28.2%
Q4 - 8:40DETPrince Tip Shot (15 PTS)76
71.8%
70
28.2%
Q4 - 8:41DETMISS Prince Layup74
62.0%
70
38.0%
Q4 - 9:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
66.1%
70
33.9%
Q4 - 9:02ORLMISS Lewis 4' Hook Shot74
62.0%
70
38.0%
Q4 - 9:14DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Dixon74
70
Q4 - 9:14DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P4.T3)74
70
Q4 - 9:25ORLMAGIC Rebound74
58.3%
70
41.7%
Q4 - 9:25DETMISS Wallace 17' Fadeaway Jumper74
60.0%
70
40.0%
Q4 - 9:43DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
63.8%
70
36.2%
Q4 - 9:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
58.3%
70
41.7%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot74
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q4 - 9:46ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot74
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q4 - 9:54DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell74
70
Q4 - 9:54DETWallace P.FOUL (P4.T2)74
70
Q4 - 10:05ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bogans74
70
Q4 - 10:05ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)74
70
Q4 - 10:07DETPrince Layup (13 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)74
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q4 - 10:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Dooling 8' Jump Shot72
48.8%
70
51.2%
Q4 - 10:26ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
45.0%
70
55.0%
Q4 - 10:27DETMISS Dixon 17' Jump Shot72
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q4 - 10:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
50.6%
70
49.4%
Q4 - 10:50ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot72
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q4 - 10:57DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.T1)72
70
Q4 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
45.0%
70
55.0%
Q4 - 10:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot72
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q4 - 11:18DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
44.1%
70
55.9%
Q4 - 11:23ORLDooling P.FOUL (P4.T1)70
70
Q4 - 11:24DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
38.6%
70
61.4%
Q4 - 11:25DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
35.3%
70
64.7%
Q4 - 11:43ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)70
38.6%
70
61.4%
Q4 - 12:0070
70
Q3 - 0:00.0DET70
33.9%
70
66.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLEvans 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)70
37.9%
70
62.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
47.3%
67
52.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
67
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P4.T11)68
42.8%
67
57.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P3)68
67
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
38.5%
67
61.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETMISS Maxiell 10' Jump Shot68
39.8%
67
60.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
42.9%
67
57.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup68
41.5%
67
58.5%
Q3 - 1:02DETWallace 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)68
37.7%
67
62.3%
Q3 - 1:22ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)66
67
Q3 - 1:22ORLJump Ball Nelson vs. Hunter: Tip to Prince66
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 1:22ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Lewis66
67
Q3 - 1:27ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
29.1%
67
70.9%
Q3 - 1:29DETNelson BLOCK (1 BLK)66
30.2%
67
69.8%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
34.5%
66
65.5%
Q3 - 1:51DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess66
65
Q3 - 1:51DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P2.PN)66
65
Q3 - 2:10DETHunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)66
36.8%
65
63.2%
Q3 - 2:31ORLNelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
28.5%
65
71.5%
Q3 - 2:36ORLSUB: Evans FOR Turkoglu63
63
Q3 - 2:36DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)63
63
Q3 - 2:56DETHamilton Dunk (22 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)63
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 2:59ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)61
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 3:14DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P1.T4)61
63
Q3 - 3:21ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 3:22DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot61
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 3:42DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 3:43ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot61
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 3:55DETHunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)61
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 4:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
19.0%
63
81.0%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 258
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 4:21DETSUB: Hunter FOR Stuckey58
63
Q3 - 4:21ORLMAGIC Rebound58
63
Q3 - 4:21ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 258
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 4:21DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace58
63
Q3 - 4:21DETStuckey S.FOUL (P4.T3)58
63
Q3 - 4:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
16.0%
63
84.0%
Q3 - 4:31DETMISS Stuckey Layup58
16.9%
63
83.1%
Q3 - 4:52DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 4:53ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Hook Shot58
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 5:10DETMcDyess Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)58
16.2%
63
83.8%
Q3 - 5:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
14.3%
63
85.7%
Q3 - 5:23ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup56
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q3 - 5:38ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Evans56
63
Q3 - 5:38ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)56
63
Q3 - 5:45DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)56
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 5:56ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)54
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 6:05DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
63
Q3 - 6:25DETWallace 17' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)54
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 6:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 6:46ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Bank Shot52
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 7:09DETMcDyess 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)52
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 7:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Nelson Layup50
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 7:41DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 7:53ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
63
Q3 - 7:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 7:57ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot48
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:09ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot48
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 8:25DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 8:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 8:32ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 8:33ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 8:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 8:45DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot48
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 8:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 8:55DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 9:11ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)48
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 9:24DETMcDyess Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T8)48
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 9:47DETPistons Rebound48
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Nelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper48
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 9:59DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
60
Q3 - 10:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:03ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 10:22DETHamilton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)48
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:37DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)46
60
Q3 - 10:41ORLNelson Driving Layup (12 PTS)46
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 10:50ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 10:51DETMISS Hamilton 20' Fadeaway Jumper46
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 11:18ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)46
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 11:42DETWallace 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)46
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q3 - 12:0044
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)44
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound44
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)44
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)44
55
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETWallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLEvans Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)42
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 1:01DETEvans STEAL (2 STL)42
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 1:15ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 1:15ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 1:15DETHunter P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
49
Q2 - 1:17DETTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)42
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 1:39ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)42
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 2:01DETHunter Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)42
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 2:07ORLLewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 2:16ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:17DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot40
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 2:37ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)40
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 2:50DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)39
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 2:50ORLSUB: Evans FOR Bogans38
46
Q2 - 2:50ORLBogans P.FOUL (P3.PN)38
46
Q2 - 2:56ORLBogans P.FOUL (P2.T4)38
46
Q2 - 3:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot38
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 3:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Fadeaway Jumper38
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 3:30DETMISS Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot38
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 3:47ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)38
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 3:47DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes38
45
Q2 - 3:47DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell38
45
Q2 - 3:47DETSUB: Hunter FOR Stuckey38
45
Q2 - 3:47DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
45
Q2 - 3:47DETStuckey S.FOUL (P3.T4)38
45
Q2 - 3:47ORLBogans Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 3:51ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 3:52DETMISS Hayes 16' Fadeaway Jumper38
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 4:09ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 4:29DETHamilton L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)38
41
Q2 - 4:29DETBogans STEAL (1 STL)38
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:43ORLLewis 14' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 4:59DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)38
25.3%
39
74.7%
Q2 - 4:59ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Dooling37
39
Q2 - 4:59ORLDooling S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
39
Q2 - 4:59DETHamilton Driving Layup (13 PTS)37
39
Q2 - 5:02ORLDooling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)35
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 5:06DETDooling STEAL (1 STL)35
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 5:11ORLDooling P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
39
Q2 - 5:23DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 5:24ORLMISS Howard Layup35
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 5:35ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Bogans35
39
Q2 - 5:35ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat35
39
Q2 - 5:35DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
39
Q2 - 5:46ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 5:47DETMISS Hayes 3PT Jump Shot35
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 5:56DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter35
39
Q2 - 5:56DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Prince35
39
Q2 - 5:5635
39
Q2 - 6:13ORLGortat Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)35
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 6:24ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 6:25DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 6:49ORLGortat 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)35
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 7:05DETHayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)35
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 7:21ORLDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)32
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 7:34DETGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)32
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 7:52ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)32
29.7%
32
70.3%
Q2 - 8:00DETSUB: Hayes FOR Hamilton32
32
Q2 - 8:00DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess32
32
Q2 - 8:00DETHunter P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
32
Q2 - 8:09DETPrince Layup (11 PTS)32
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 8:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Hunter 22' Jump Shot30
23.6%
32
76.4%
Q2 - 8:28ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 8:41ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 8:42DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot30
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 8:58ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard30
30
Q2 - 8:58ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Evans30
30
Q2 - 8:58ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
30
Q2 - 9:08ORLDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)30
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 9:34DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)30
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 9:40DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q2 - 10:01DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q2 - 10:20ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P1)25
27
Q2 - 10:40DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 11:02ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)23
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 11:23DETPrince 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)23
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 11:30ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 11:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q2 - 11:41DETMISS Hamilton 7' Running Jump Shot21
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q2 - 12:0021
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot21
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot21
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot21
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLMAGIC Rebound21
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Evans Dunk21
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 1:21ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 1:26ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot21
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 1:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 1:41ORLMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot21
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 1:44ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 1:47ORLMISS Lewis Layup21
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 2:01ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 2:02DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot21
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 2:09ORLLewis P.FOUL (P1.T4)21
25
Q1 - 2:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
21.3%
25
78.7%
Q1 - 2:16ORLMISS Bogans Driving Layup21
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:24DETSUB: Hunter FOR Stuckey21
25
Q1 - 2:24DETStuckey P.FOUL (P2.T4)21
25
Q1 - 2:27ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 2:28ORLMISS Howard Slam Dunk21
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 2:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 2:45ORLSUB: Evans FOR Turkoglu19
25
Q1 - 2:45ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
25
Q1 - 2:45ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
25
Q1 - 2:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup19
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 3:13DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 3:13DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Hamilton Layup17
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 3:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 3:22ORLMISS Nelson 9' Running Jump Shot17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 3:45DETMcDyess Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)17
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 3:59ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 3:59DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
24
Q1 - 3:59ORLBogans Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
24
Q1 - 4:06ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 4:07DETMISS Stuckey Driving Reverse Layup15
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 4:33ORLLewis Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMAGIC Rebound15
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 4:50DETMISS Stuckey 23' Jump Shot15
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 5:10ORLLewis Driving Dunk (2 PTS)15
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 5:31DETStuckey 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 5:43ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Evans13
18
Q1 - 5:43DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
18
Q1 - 5:50ORLEvans 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 5:56DETEvans STEAL (1 STL)13
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 6:22ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)13
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 6:33ORLMAGIC Rebound13
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 6:34ORLMISS Howard Layup13
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)13
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 7:03ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)11
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 7:11DETWallace Layup (2 PTS)11
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 7:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 7:14DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot9
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 7:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 7:22DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot9
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 7:49ORLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 8:10DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 8:10ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
8
Q1 - 8:10DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 8:26ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS)6
25.3%
8
74.7%
Q1 - 8:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup6
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 8:43DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 8:43DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 8:43ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 8:46DETPistons Rebound4
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 8:49DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot4
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 9:16ORLNelson Layup (3 PTS)4
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:21DETTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)4
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:35ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:46ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot4
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 10:00ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMAGIC Rebound4
1
Q1 - 10:00ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 24
29.6%
1
70.4%
Q1 - 10:00DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
1
Q1 - 10:09DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
29.2%
1
70.8%
Q1 - 10:27DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.6%
1
71.4%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.4%
1
71.6%
Q1 - 10:51ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending2
1
Q1 - 10:51DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.2%
1
71.8%
Q1 - 10:51DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
28.2%
1
71.8%
Q1 - 10:51DETMISS Hamilton Layup0
27.5%
1
72.5%
Q1 - 11:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
28.0%
1
72.0%
Q1 - 11:09ORLMAGIC Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:09ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 20
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:09DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:17DETMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:22DETPistons Rebound0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:22DETHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Wallace: Tip to Nelson0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
ORL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
17
71%
ORL
15
32
47%
Midrange
DET
20
49
41%
ORL
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
ORL
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
DET
14
15
93%
ORL
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton3259%16.0 / 27
T. Prince1757%8.5 / 15
R. Wallace1650%8.0 / 16
A. McDyess850%4.0 / 8
L. Hunter867%4.0 / 6
R. Stuckey638%3.0 / 8
J. Hayes350%1.5 / 3
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 1
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2063%10.0 / 16
R. Lewis1554%7.5 / 14
J. Nelson1544%7.5 / 17
M. Evans1568%7.5 / 11
D. Howard831%4.0 / 13
K. Bogans6100%3.0 / 3
K. Dooling675%3.0 / 4
M. Gortat4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+16
-9
88
ORL
65
+12
-12
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
ORL
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
110.5
DET 111.1
ORL 115.6 +4.5
Pace
85.9
88.0
DET 75.2
ORL 84.5 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.7
16.0
DET 19.1
ORL 17.0 −2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.5%
52.9%
DET 48.1%
ORL 53.4% +5.3%
TO %
13.6%
16.4%
DET 10.5% −2.5%
ORL 13.0%
ORB %
27.7%
28.9%
DET 32.4% +5.4%
ORL 27.0%
FTrt
32.0
32.2
DET 19.0
ORL 23.3 +4.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
49.2%
DET 50.0% +11.8%
ORL 38.2%
STL %
8.5%
5.4%
DET 11.1% +3.3%
ORL 7.8%
BLK %
9.9%
7.5%
DET 5.5%
ORL 6.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
54.9%
DET 51.1%
ORL 54.3% +3.2%
Rim FG%
59.9%
59.4%
DET 70.6% +23.7%
ORL 46.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
44.0%
DET 40.8% +1.7%
ORL 39.1%
3P %
34.1%
35.6%
DET 30.8%
ORL 55.6% +24.8%
FT %
80.2%
71.2%
DET 93.3% +28.6%
ORL 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.8%
37.5%
DET 21.5%
ORL 43.8% +22.3%
Mid Att. %
55.4%
28.9%
DET 62.0%
ORL 31.5% −30.5%
3P Att. %
17.9%
33.6%
DET 16.5%
ORL 24.7% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDETORL
Possessions8177
Possession Minutes25.921.9
Points9089
Rebounds3935
Assists1813
Steals96
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals36-7934-73
At-the-Rim FG12-1715-32
Midrange FG20-499-23
2-Point FG32-6624-55
3-Point FG4-1310-18
Free Throws14-1511-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
45.9
17
57%
5
5
0
1
4
2
4
1
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
43.2
32
59%
6
3
2
0
3
3
3
3
8-9
89%
12-24
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 34
41.5
16
50%
8
1
3
0
1
4
1
7
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
39.7
8
50%
14
3
1
2
1
5
3
11
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
21.9
6
38%
1
3
0
0
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 37
26.1
8
67%
3
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
14.8
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
4.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 165 · 30
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 35
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
39
18
9
3
9
0
12
27
14-15
93%
32-66
48%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.