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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz32%10098
2Lakers68%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.9
45.7
40.6
14
35%
9
9
1
1
0
2
5
4
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.9
41.1
38.4
21
47%
19
3
1
1
0
0
8
11
7-8
88%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.5
36.8
36.1
15
48%
14
4
0
1
0
7
6
8
3-4
75%
6-14
8-15
43%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
32.7
25.5
11
46%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
55%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
30.4
31.1
11
46%
6
3
2
1
5
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.1
19.9
19.1
11
57%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
6-6
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.2
14.2
19.0
4
41%
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0
0-2
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.9
11.8
16.6
5
28%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
4.6
2.3
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
2.3
6.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
0.4
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.0
1.5
0
0-0
39%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
40.4
37.3
16
50%
9
3
1
1
2
1
1
8
6-9
67%
5-12
5-9
42%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.7
39.9
39.8
38
73%
6
7
1
2
0
3
0
6
21-23
91%
7-14
7-14
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.7
38.9
34.1
5
36%
3
6
6
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-6
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
36.9
37.3
18
61%
10
5
0
0
2
1
4
6
2-4
50%
8-13
7-12
62%
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
26.7
25.7
10
63%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.3
17.9
3.0
2
20%
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
16.9
17.0
15
91%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.1
13.3
22.7
5
75%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
9.1
14.9
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
0.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.5
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.