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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers42%102115
6Jazz58%104123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
51.1
41.6
26
58%
13
2
1
1
3
0
3
10
5-10
50%
9-16
5-9
56%
52%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
47.6
40.0
23
68%
10
4
1
0
1
2
6
4
1-2
50%
11-16
6-13
69%
51%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.7
46.5
40.3
33
44%
8
10
1
1
0
3
2
6
6-10
60%
12-23
7-14
52%
47%
1-10
10%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.8
28.4
33.9
15
89%
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
4-5
80%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
14.7
21.2
2
17%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
25.9
14.7
11
92%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.1
24.8
20.8
5
36%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
18.7
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.3
4.4
12.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
2.9
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.5
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.0
46.1
37.5
18
58%
11
5
0
1
1
0
2
9
5-6
83%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.9
43.9
41.3
29
88%
3
14
2
1
1
4
0
3
8-8
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.5
43.4
35.1
14
41%
12
3
0
1
0
3
0
12
4-5
80%
5-15
8-15
33%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
37.7
29.7
15
94%
0
3
0
1
5
4
0
0
7-9
78%
4-4
3-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
23.2
25.4
8
68%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
56%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.2
29.8
23.0
14
60%
5
1
2
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.2
16.5
18.6
9
51%
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
1-4
25%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.9
15.3
18.1
12
77%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
9.1
5.7
4
46%
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
3.8
0
0-0
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.0
0.3
0
0-0
43%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.3
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.