Final Win Prob. pScore
638%88
84
462%92
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
94.48985.1
Hornets
117.28791.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15NOHJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28NOHWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
97
Q4 - 1:36NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37NOHMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Paul76
97
Q4 - 2:23NOHSUB: Bowen FOR Peterson76
97
Q4 - 2:23NOHSUB: Wright FOR Chandler76
97
Q4 - 2:23NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR West76
97
Q4 - 2:23NOHSUB: James FOR Stojakovic76
97
Q4 - 2:23NOHPaul P.FOUL (P3.T4)76
97
Q4 - 2:30NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09SASSUB: Horry FOR Ginobili76
95
Q4 - 3:09SASSUB: Stoudamire FOR Parker76
95
Q4 - 3:09SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Duncan76
95
Q4 - 3:09SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)76
95
Q4 - 3:12NOHPaul Driving Layup (28 PTS)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 3:52NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:21NOHHORNETS Rebound76
92
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 276
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:21SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T3)76
92
Q4 - 4:24SASPeterson STEAL (1 STL)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:39SASChandler STEAL (1 STL)76
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 5:55NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Pargo76
87
Q4 - 5:55NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
87
Q4 - 5:55SASGinobili S.FOUL (P5.T2)76
87
Q4 - 6:17SASUdoka Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)76
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 6:42NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)76
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)76
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 7:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 7:06NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 273
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 7:06NOHSUB: West FOR Wells73
85
Q4 - 7:06NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 7:06SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T1)73
84
Q4 - 7:20SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 7:35NOHChandler Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)71
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 7:50SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 7:50SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 7:50NOHPaul S.FOUL (P2.T3)69
82
Q4 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:13NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot69
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 8:26NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 269
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 8:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 8:27NOHChandler S.FOUL (P5.T2)68
82
Q4 - 8:46NOHPaul 9' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)68
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:59SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn68
80
Q4 - 8:59SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Horry68
80
Q4 - 8:59SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto68
80
Q4 - 8:59NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR West68
80
Q4 - 8:59NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Ely68
80
Q4 - 8:5968
80
Q4 - 8:59SASUdoka Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)68
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 9:17SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 9:18NOHMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 9:34SASOberto Layup (4 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)68
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 9:48NOHPaul P.FOUL (P1.T1)66
80
Q4 - 9:48SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 9:48NOHMISS Wells Layup66
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 10:08SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P1.T11)66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 10:08SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P1)66
80
Q4 - 10:22NOHEly Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)66
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 10:45SASUdoka Layup (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 10:58SASSpurs Rebound64
80
Q4 - 10:58SASMISS Barry Free Throw Technical64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 10:58NOHWest T.FOUL (P3.T0)64
80
Q4 - 10:58NOHWest Layup (10 PTS)64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 11:24SASBarry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)64
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 11:40SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 11:41NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot61
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 12:0061
78
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS61
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHPaul Driving Layup (24 PTS)61
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)61
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASMISS Udoka 8' Hook Shot61
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0NOHMISS West Layup61
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASParker Driving Layup (11 PTS)61
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)59
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 1:17SASUdoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)59
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 1:45NOHEly 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS)56
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 2:01NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 2:02SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 2:17NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 2:17NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 2:17SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
70
Q3 - 2:20NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
70
Q3 - 2:23SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot56
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 2:35SASSUB: Barry FOR Finley56
70
Q3 - 2:35SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen56
70
Q3 - 2:35NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler56
70
Q3 - 2:35NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
70
Q3 - 2:35NOHChandler L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)56
70
Q3 - 2:35NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (West 5 AST)56
70
Q3 - 2:41NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 2:44NOHMISS Paul Layup56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 3:03SASParker 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 3:15NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)54
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 3:15NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)54
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 3:15SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.PN)54
65
Q3 - 3:30SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 3:30SASSpurs Rebound53
65
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 253
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 3:30NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.T3)53
65
Q3 - 3:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 3:35NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot53
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 3:45NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot53
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 4:06NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 4:06NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 4:06SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.PN)53
63
Q3 - 4:19NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 4:20SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 4:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 4:42NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 4:52SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili53
63
Q3 - 4:52SASGinobili P.FOUL (P4.T4)53
63
Q3 - 5:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 5:03SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 5:19NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (West 4 AST)53
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 5:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 5:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
15.9%
60
84.1%
Q3 - 5:37NOHChandler S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
60
Q3 - 5:52NOHPeterson Layup (11 PTS) (West 3 AST)51
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 6:14SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)51
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 6:31SASSpurs Rebound49
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q3 - 6:32NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 6:39NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 6:41SASMISS Duncan Layup49
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 6:57NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 6:57NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 6:57SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas49
56
Q3 - 6:57SASThomas S.FOUL (P3.T3)49
56
Q3 - 7:04NOHHORNETS Rebound49
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 7:04NOHMISS Paul Layup49
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 7:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 7:33NOHPeterson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)49
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 7:52SASDuncan Dunk (13 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)49
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 8:06NOHPaul 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
19.9%
54
80.1%
Q3 - 8:19SASParker 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)47
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 8:27NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
52
Q3 - 8:35SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 8:36NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot45
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q3 - 8:49SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)45
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 9:04NOHStojakovic 10' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)43
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q3 - 9:20SASParker L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)43
50
Q3 - 9:20NOHHORNETS Rebound43
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q3 - 9:20NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot43
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q3 - 9:36SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)43
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q3 - 9:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
20.0%
50
80.0%
Q3 - 9:57NOHMISS West Layup43
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q3 - 10:09SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T1)43
50
Q3 - 10:11SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)43
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q3 - 10:22NOHPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)43
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q3 - 10:42NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q3 - 10:43SASChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)43
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q3 - 11:01SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley43
47
Q3 - 11:01SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)43
47
Q3 - 11:01NOHPaul Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)43
28.4%
47
71.6%
Q3 - 11:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q3 - 11:12SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot43
32.1%
45
67.9%
Q3 - 11:30NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)43
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q3 - 11:46NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q3 - 11:47SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot43
41.7%
42
58.3%
Q3 - 12:0043
42
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH43
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
42
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)43
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHPargo P.FOUL (P2.T4)40
42
Q2 - 0:08.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)40
40
Q2 - 0:09.0SASParker Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)40
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen38
40
Q2 - 0:14.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)38
40
Q2 - 0:21.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0NOHMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot38
33.3%
40
66.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry38
40
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T4)38
40
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHWest Foul Turnover (P3.T6)38
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHWest OFF.Foul (P1)38
40
Q2 - 1:17SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)38
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 1:34NOHWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)36
28.3%
40
71.7%
Q2 - 1:57SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)36
34.8%
37
65.2%
Q2 - 2:08NOHWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 2:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot33
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 2:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 2:32NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 233
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 2:32NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 2:3233
36
Q2 - 2:32SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
36
Q2 - 2:37SASWright STEAL (1 STL)33
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 2:53SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
31.4%
36
68.6%
Q2 - 2:55NOHMISS Wright Layup33
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 3:09SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)33
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 3:25NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 3:25NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 3:25SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
34
Q2 - 3:35SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen31
34
Q2 - 3:35SASBowen L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)31
34
Q2 - 3:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 3:35NOHMISS West Layup31
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 3:45SASSUB: Finley FOR Thomas31
34
Q2 - 3:45NOHSUB: Wright FOR Chandler31
34
Q2 - 3:45SASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T7)31
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 3:45SASThomas OFF.Foul (P2)31
34
Q2 - 4:00NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)31
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 4:08NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 4:09SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot31
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 4:20NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 4:33NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot31
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 4:50SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 4:51NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot31
38.7%
31
61.3%
Q2 - 5:00SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 5:03SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 5:04NOHMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot31
38.7%
31
61.3%
Q2 - 5:27NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 5:28SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 231
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 5:28SASSpurs Rebound31
31
Q2 - 5:28SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 231
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 5:28NOHPargo S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
31
Q2 - 5:46NOHSUB: West FOR Wright31
31
Q2 - 5:46SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka31
31
Q2 - 5:46SASSUB: Thomas FOR Finley31
31
Q2 - 5:46SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
31
Q2 - 5:47NOHWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)31
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 5:57NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot31
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 6:23NOHPargo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)31
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q2 - 6:25NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
50.5%
26
49.5%
Q2 - 6:26NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
52.9%
26
47.1%
Q2 - 6:48SASFinley Layup (4 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)31
50.6%
26
49.4%
Q2 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
48.1%
26
51.9%
Q2 - 6:58NOHMISS Wright Layup29
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 7:03SASStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)29
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 7:15NOHSUB: Paul FOR Wells29
26
Q2 - 7:15NOHWells P.FOUL (P2.T2)29
26
Q2 - 7:15SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 7:17NOHMISS Pargo 13' Jump Shot29
46.6%
26
53.4%
Q2 - 7:29NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Parker Layup29
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q2 - 7:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q2 - 8:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q2 - 8:01NOHMISS Pargo 15' Jump Shot29
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 8:17NOHHORNETS Rebound29
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 8:18SASMISS Bowen 10' Jump Shot29
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q2 - 8:31SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili29
26
Q2 - 8:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q2 - 9:09NOHWells Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)29
46.5%
26
53.5%
Q2 - 9:13SASPargo STEAL (1 STL)29
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q2 - 9:26NOHPargo 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 9:36NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Ely29
22
Q2 - 9:36NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR West29
22
Q2 - 9:36SASSUB: Finley FOR Horry29
22
Q2 - 9:36SASSUB: Duncan FOR Thomas29
22
Q2 - 9:36NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
22
Q2 - 9:44SASUdoka Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)29
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q2 - 9:49SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
51.9%
22
48.1%
Q2 - 9:50NOHMISS Wells 18' Jump Shot27
51.0%
22
49.0%
Q2 - 10:08NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 10:11SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.6%
22
50.4%
Q2 - 10:22SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q2 - 10:23NOHMISS Wells Layup27
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q2 - 10:41SASGinobili 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)27
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 10:56SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
46.3%
22
53.7%
Q2 - 10:57NOHMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot25
45.4%
22
54.6%
Q2 - 11:16NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot25
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q2 - 11:24NOHWright P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
22
Q2 - 11:33SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q2 - 11:34NOHMISS Wells Layup25
45.2%
22
54.8%
Q2 - 11:47SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)25
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q2 - 12:0023
22
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
38.0%
22
62.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0NOHEly L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)21
22
Q1 - 0:05.0SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot21
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)21
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)21
33.8%
22
66.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHPaul 15' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
35.6%
22
64.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)21
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 1:10NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 1:10SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto21
19
Q1 - 1:10NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
40.2%
19
59.8%
Q1 - 1:10SASSUB: Bowen FOR Parker21
18
Q1 - 1:10SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.T4)21
18
Q1 - 1:27SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:30SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 1:31NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup21
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q1 - 1:33NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:35NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup21
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q1 - 1:46NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot21
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q1 - 2:04NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 2:20SASOberto 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)21
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 2:33SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
18
Q1 - 2:37SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 2:39NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot19
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 2:57SASThomas 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)19
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 3:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 3:26NOHHORNETS Violation: Delay of game Violation17
18
Q1 - 3:26NOHWells L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)17
18
Q1 - 3:26SASSpurs Rebound17
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 3:26NOHMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 217
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 3:26SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan17
18
Q1 - 3:26NOHEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:26SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
17
Q1 - 3:27NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.8%
17
64.2%
Q1 - 3:29NOHMISS Wells 11' Jump Shot17
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASUdoka P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
17
Q1 - 3:54SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
35.8%
17
64.2%
Q1 - 3:54SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen16
17
Q1 - 3:54NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson16
17
Q1 - 3:54NOHEly S.FOUL (P1.T3)16
17
Q1 - 3:54SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 4:15NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)14
32.0%
17
68.0%
Q1 - 4:28NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 4:29SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot14
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 4:32SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot14
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:02NOHPaul 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)14
35.8%
15
64.2%
Q1 - 5:17SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas14
13
Q1 - 5:17NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 5:17SASThomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)14
13
Q1 - 5:26NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 5:29SASMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot14
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 5:48SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 5:49NOHMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot14
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 6:10SASThomas 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)14
37.2%
13
62.8%
Q1 - 6:18SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q1 - 6:19NOHMISS Ely 7' Hook Shot12
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 6:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 6:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 6:32NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler10
13
Q1 - 6:32SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley10
13
Q1 - 6:32NOHChandler S.FOUL (P2.T2)10
13
Q1 - 6:50NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)10
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 6:56NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
35.7%
10
64.3%
Q1 - 6:57SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 7:15SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 7:17NOHMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot10
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:27NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 7:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 7:34NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot10
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:51SASThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
35.7%
10
64.3%
Q1 - 7:51NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
10
Q1 - 7:51SASThomas Layup (2 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 7:52SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:53SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot7
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 8:14NOHPeterson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)7
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 8:30SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)7
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 8:47NOHPaul 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 8:56NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 8:57SASMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot4
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 9:12NOHPaul 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 9:22NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 9:23SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot4
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 9:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 9:31NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot4
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:58SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)4
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:16NOHStojakovic Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 10:20NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:21SASChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 10:29NOHMISS West Layup2
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:44NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot2
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 11:03NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:25SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 11:47NOHPeterson Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Chandler vs. Duncan: Tip to Peterson0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
NOH
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
11
15
73%
NOH
9
22
41%
Midrange
SAS
12
31
39%
NOH
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
NOH
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
Free Throws
SAS
14
19
74%
NOH
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1864%9.0 / 14
B. Barry14117%7.0 / 6
M. Ginobili1354%6.5 / 12
T. Parker1139%5.5 / 14
K. Thomas964%4.5 / 7
I. Udoka739%3.5 / 9
B. Bowen425%2.0 / 8
M. Finley429%2.0 / 7
F. Oberto4100%2.0 / 2
R. Horry0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul3063%15.0 / 24
P. Stojakovic2589%12.5 / 14
M. Peterson12100%6.0 / 6
D. West1036%5.0 / 14
J. Wright643%3.0 / 7
T. Chandler583%2.5 / 3
M. James583%2.5 / 3
J. Pargo433%2.0 / 6
M. Ely350%1.5 / 3
B. Wells217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-15
83
NOH
79
+9
-8
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
NOH
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.3
111.2
SAS 94.4
NOH 117.2 +22.9
Pace
90.1
86.8
SAS 85.1
NOH 91.2 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.4
SAS 16.9
NOH 15.8 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
49.9%
SAS 47.9%
NOH 54.7% +6.8%
TO %
13.6%
9.4%
SAS 15.6%
NOH 9.5% −6.1%
ORB %
21.5%
24.2%
SAS 20.9% +2.5%
NOH 18.4%
FTrt
26.1
25.0
SAS 26.0
NOH 32.0 +6.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
51.2%
SAS 77.4% +16.3%
NOH 61.1%
STL %
5.9%
8.3%
SAS 3.4%
NOH 6.9% +3.5%
BLK %
6.2%
9.5%
SAS 6.9% +2.6%
NOH 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
52.5%
SAS 50.6%
NOH 57.3% +6.7%
Rim FG%
58.4%
55.2%
SAS 73.3% +32.4%
NOH 40.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
SAS 38.7%
NOH 47.2% +8.5%
3P %
37.5%
41.1%
SAS 29.6%
NOH 58.8% +29.2%
FT %
74.5%
77.4%
SAS 73.7%
NOH 83.3% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
29.8%
SAS 20.5%
NOH 29.3% +8.8%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
52.9%
SAS 42.5% −5.5%
NOH 48.0%
3P Att. %
25.2%
17.3%
SAS 37.0% +14.3%
NOH 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points84102
Rebounds4041
Assists2422
Steals36
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals31-7336-75
At-the-Rim FG11-159-22
Midrange FG12-3117-36
2-Point FG23-4626-58
3-Point FG8-2710-17
Free Throws14-1920-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
37.2
11
39%
4
3
0
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
36.0
18
64%
8
0
0
1
2
2
3
5
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
27.4
4
25%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 240 · 36
19.6
9
64%
7
1
1
0
1
3
1
6
1-3
33%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
16.3
4
29%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
27.8
13
54%
4
7
0
0
5
5
2
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
24.7
7
39%
5
2
2
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
17.9
14
117%
1
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
0-0
-
4-5
80%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
14.1
4
100%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 38
9.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 171 · 35
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
51%
40
24
3
4
15
0
9
31
14-19
74%
23-46
50%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.