Final Win Prob. pScore
436%87
99
564%92
110
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
112.58893.0
SAS logo Spurs
122.29085.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS99
110
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHPargo Layup (2 PTS)99
110
Q4 - 0:22.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)97
110
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHEly 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)97
107
Q4 - 0:48.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen95
107
Q4 - 0:48.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan95
107
Q4 - 0:48.0SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker95
107
Q4 - 0:48.0SASFinley P.FOUL (P2.T4)95
107
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
107
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot95
107
Q4 - 1:16NOHUdoka STEAL (1 STL)95
107
Q4 - 1:19NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
107
Q4 - 1:20NOHDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)95
107
Q4 - 1:33NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
107
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot95
107
Q4 - 1:42SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili95
107
Q4 - 1:42SASSUB: Udoka FOR Thomas95
107
Q4 - 1:42NOHSUB: Ely FOR Paul95
107
Q4 - 1:42NOHSUB: Wright FOR Chandler95
107
Q4 - 1:42NOHSUB: Bowen FOR West95
107
Q4 - 1:42NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Stojakovic95
107
Q4 - 1:4295
107
Q4 - 1:42NOHPaul P.FOUL (P3.T2)95
107
Q4 - 1:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
107
Q4 - 1:55NOHMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot95
107
Q4 - 2:05SASParker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (31 PTS)95
107
Q4 - 2:30NOHPaul 1' Reverse Layup (35 PTS)95
105
Q4 - 2:42SASParker 2' Layup (29 PTS)93
105
Q4 - 2:56SASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
103
Q4 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup93
103
Q4 - 3:17NOHPaul 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)93
103
Q4 - 3:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)91
103
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot91
103
Q4 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)91
103
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot91
103
Q4 - 4:00SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
103
Q4 - 4:01NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 291
103
Q4 - 4:01NOHHornets Rebound91
103
Q4 - 4:01NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 291
103
Q4 - 4:01SASThomas S.FOUL (P5.T3)91
103
Q4 - 4:05NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
103
Q4 - 4:07SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
103
Q4 - 4:25SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)91
103
Q4 - 4:26NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 291
103
Q4 - 4:26NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
103
Q4 - 4:26SASThomas S.FOUL (P4.T2)90
103
Q4 - 4:43SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)90
103
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
101
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot90
101
Q4 - 5:10NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)90
101
Q4 - 5:23NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
101
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Parker 1' Layup88
101
Q4 - 5:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
101
Q4 - 5:34NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
101
Q4 - 5:35NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)88
101
Q4 - 5:37NOHThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)88
101
Q4 - 5:55NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)88
101
Q4 - 5:57SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)88
101
Q4 - 6:11SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
98
Q4 - 6:12NOHMISS Paul 1' Layup88
98
Q4 - 6:25SASParker 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)88
98
Q4 - 6:42NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wells88
96
Q4 - 6:42NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Wright88
96
Q4 - 6:42NOHWells Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)88
96
Q4 - 7:06SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)88
96
Q4 - 7:09SASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
94
Q4 - 7:10SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
94
Q4 - 7:24SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
94
Q4 - 7:27NOHDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)88
94
Q4 - 7:48SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)88
94
Q4 - 8:02SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto88
92
Q4 - 8:02SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)88
92
Q4 - 8:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
92
Q4 - 8:09NOHMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot88
92
Q4 - 8:27SASParker 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)88
92
Q4 - 8:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
90
Q4 - 8:35NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 8:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
90
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 8:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
90
Q4 - 8:57NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 9:17NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
90
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
90
Q4 - 9:35NOHWest 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
90
Q4 - 9:41SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan86
90
Q4 - 9:41SASSUB: Parker FOR Finley86
90
Q4 - 9:45SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)86
90
Q4 - 10:02NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
90
Q4 - 10:16SASGinobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)84
90
Q4 - 10:32NOHWells 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)84
87
Q4 - 10:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)82
87
Q4 - 10:54NOHWells S.FOUL (P2.T1)82
86
Q4 - 10:54SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)82
86
Q4 - 11:13NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS)82
83
Q4 - 11:21NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
83
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
83
Q4 - 11:40NOHWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 11:40NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
83
Q4 - 11:40SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.T1)78
83
Q4 - 12:0078
83
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS78
83
Q3 - 0:00.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
83
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot78
83
Q3 - 0:25.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)78
83
Q3 - 0:35.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Bowen78
81
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)78
81
Q3 - 0:57.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)78
81
Q3 - 1:10NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS)78
79
Q3 - 1:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
79
Q3 - 1:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
78
Q3 - 1:21SASSUB: Bowen FOR Parker76
77
Q3 - 1:21NOHEly P.FOUL (P3.PN)76
77
Q3 - 1:34NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)76
77
Q3 - 1:34NOHSUB: Wright FOR Pargo75
77
Q3 - 1:34SASParker S.FOUL (P3.PN)75
77
Q3 - 1:34NOHPaul 1' Layup (26 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 1:47SASParker 1' Layup (23 PTS)73
77
Q3 - 1:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
75
Q3 - 1:58NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot73
75
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
75
Q3 - 2:10NOHEly Violation:Lane73
74
Q3 - 2:10SASSPURS Rebound73
74
Q3 - 2:10SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 273
74
Q3 - 2:10NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.PN)73
74
Q3 - 2:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
74
Q3 - 2:22NOHMISS Ely 3' Jump Hook Shot73
74
Q3 - 2:36NOHEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
74
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
74
Q3 - 2:37SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen73
74
Q3 - 2:37SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)73
74
Q3 - 2:37NOHPargo P.FOUL (P2.PN)73
73
Q3 - 2:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
73
Q3 - 2:46NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 273
73
Q3 - 2:46NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
73
Q3 - 2:46SASBowen P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
73
Q3 - 2:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)72
73
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 172
73
Q3 - 2:58NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
73
Q3 - 2:58NOHEly S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
73
Q3 - 2:58SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
73
Q3 - 3:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
71
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot72
71
Q3 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
71
Q3 - 3:14NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot72
71
Q3 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
70
Q3 - 3:35NOHPargo S.FOUL (P1.PN)72
69
Q3 - 3:48SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
69
Q3 - 3:50NOHMISS West 9' Turnaround Jump Shot72
69
Q3 - 4:09SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili72
69
Q3 - 4:09SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
69
Q3 - 4:19NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)72
69
Q3 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 4:31NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler70
68
Q3 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
68
Q3 - 4:31NOHChandler P.FOUL (P4.PN)70
67
Q3 - 4:47NOHChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)70
67
Q3 - 5:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
67
Q3 - 5:06SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 5:26NOHPaul 9' Jump Shot (24 PTS)68
67
Q3 - 5:52SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)66
67
Q3 - 6:05NOHChandler P.FOUL (P3.T4)66
64
Q3 - 6:08NOHChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)66
64
Q3 - 6:08NOHChandler OFF.Foul (P2)66
64
Q3 - 6:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
64
Q3 - 6:15NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 6:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
64
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Oberto 2' Layup66
64
Q3 - 6:33SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
64
Q3 - 6:34NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
64
Q3 - 6:49SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
64
Q3 - 6:49NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Peterson66
63
Q3 - 6:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
63
Q3 - 6:49NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P4.T3)66
62
Q3 - 6:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
62
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 1' Tip Shot66
62
Q3 - 6:57NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
62
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 4' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 7:17SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)66
62
Q3 - 7:17SASBowen OFF.Foul (P2)66
62
Q3 - 7:26NOHBowen STEAL (1 STL)66
62
Q3 - 7:34NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
62
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 7:50SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)66
62
Q3 - 7:58NOHPaul 2' Layup (22 PTS)66
62
Q3 - 8:06SASParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)64
62
Q3 - 8:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
62
Q3 - 8:27NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
62
Q3 - 8:27SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.PN)62
62
Q3 - 8:42SASDuncan 6' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)62
62
Q3 - 8:51NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P3.T2)62
60
Q3 - 8:59NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
60
Q3 - 8:59NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
60
Q3 - 8:59SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T4)60
60
Q3 - 9:15SASParker 1' Layup (16 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 9:20NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)60
58
Q3 - 9:31SASParker 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 9:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
56
Q3 - 9:41NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 9:53SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas60
56
Q3 - 9:53SASThomas P.FOUL (P3.T3)60
56
Q3 - 10:00SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)60
56
Q3 - 10:11NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 10:11NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
56
Q3 - 10:11SASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
56
Q3 - 10:23SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)58
56
Q3 - 10:27NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
56
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 10:38SASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
56
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 10:59NOHChandler 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)58
56
Q3 - 11:10SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
56
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
54
Q3 - 11:29NOHMISS West 3' Layup56
54
Q3 - 11:45NOHHornets Rebound56
54
Q3 - 11:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot56
54
Q3 - 11:53NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T1)56
54
Q3 - 12:0056
54
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH56
54
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS56
54
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)56
54
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHSUB: Wright FOR Paul56
52
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Bowen56
52
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)56
52
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHPeterson Backcourt Turnover (P3.T4)56
52
Q2 - 0:02.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)56
52
Q2 - 0:23.0NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)56
49
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHHornets Rebound53
49
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup53
49
Q2 - 0:43.0NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)53
49
Q2 - 0:49.0SASParker 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)50
49
Q2 - 1:07NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
47
Q2 - 1:07NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
47
Q2 - 1:07SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
47
Q2 - 1:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
47
Q2 - 1:11SASMISS Parker Layup48
47
Q2 - 1:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
47
Q2 - 1:24NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 248
47
Q2 - 1:24SASSUB: Finley FOR Horry48
47
Q2 - 1:24NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 1:24SASHorry P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
47
Q2 - 1:25SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.T4)47
47
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
47
Q2 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
46
Q2 - 1:29SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto47
45
Q2 - 1:29NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
45
Q2 - 1:29NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)47
45
Q2 - 1:49NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)47
45
Q2 - 2:11SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)45
45
Q2 - 2:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
42
Q2 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
42
Q2 - 2:39NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)45
42
Q2 - 2:49NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
42
Q2 - 2:50SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot43
42
Q2 - 3:08NOHStojakovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
42
Q2 - 3:22SASSUB: Oberto FOR Finley41
42
Q2 - 3:22SASSUB: Parker FOR Barry41
42
Q2 - 3:22NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Pargo41
42
Q2 - 3:22NOHSUB: West FOR Wright41
42
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)41
42
Q2 - 3:22NOHHornets Rebound41
42
Q2 - 3:23NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 3:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
42
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 3:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
42
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 4:21NOHPaul 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)41
42
Q2 - 4:43NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
42
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
42
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 4:44SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker39
41
Q2 - 4:44NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wells39
41
Q2 - 4:4439
41
Q2 - 4:44NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T4)39
41
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
41
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup39
41
Q2 - 5:07NOHWright 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)39
41
Q2 - 5:14NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
41
Q2 - 5:16NOHBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)37
41
Q2 - 5:31SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)37
41
Q2 - 5:50NOHChandler 3' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)37
38
Q2 - 5:53NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
38
Q2 - 5:55NOHMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot35
38
Q2 - 6:13SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)35
38
Q2 - 6:18SASSPURS Rebound35
35
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Parker 2' Layup35
35
Q2 - 6:24SASSUB: Bowen FOR Thomas35
35
Q2 - 6:24SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili35
35
Q2 - 6:24NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Ely35
35
Q2 - 6:24NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.T3)35
35
Q2 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
35
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS Ely 8' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 6:50SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)35
35
Q2 - 7:09NOHWells 10' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 7:26NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 7:34NOHSUB: Paul FOR West33
33
Q2 - 7:34SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto33
33
Q2 - 7:34SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
33
Q2 - 7:41NOHWells 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
33
Q2 - 7:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
33
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Parker 2' Layup31
33
Q2 - 8:03NOHWright 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
33
Q2 - 8:10NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
33
Q2 - 8:11NOHMISS Pargo 7' Jump Shot29
33
Q2 - 8:27SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)29
33
Q2 - 8:45NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)29
30
Q2 - 9:03SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)27
30
Q2 - 9:18NOHEly 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
28
Q2 - 9:19NOHEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
28
Q2 - 9:21NOHMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 9:27SASThomas P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
28
Q2 - 9:45SASGinobili 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
28
Q2 - 10:03NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)25
26
Q2 - 10:13NOHSUB: Wright FOR Stojakovic23
26
Q2 - 10:13SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan23
26
Q2 - 10:13SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
26
Q2 - 10:14NOHHornets Rebound23
26
Q2 - 10:14NOHMISS Ely 3' Layup23
26
Q2 - 10:14NOHEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
26
Q2 - 10:16NOHMISS West 4' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26
Q2 - 10:40NOHMISS Wells 1' Layup23
26
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot23
26
Q2 - 10:44NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
26
Q2 - 11:02SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Stojakovic: Tip to Finley23
26
Q2 - 11:02SASSPURS Rebound23
26
Q2 - 11:02SASSUB: Parker FOR Bowen23
26
Q2 - 11:02NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)23
26
Q2 - 11:21SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)23
26
Q2 - 11:31SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24
Q2 - 11:33NOHMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot23
24
Q2 - 11:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
24
Q2 - 11:45NOHEly S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
23
Q2 - 11:45SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
23
Q2 - 11:49NOHWells P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
21
Q2 - 12:0023
21
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
21
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
21
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Bank Shot23
21
Q1 - 0:09.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
21
Q1 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler23
21
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHHornets Rebound23
21
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)23
21
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
21
Q1 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21
Q1 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 1:06NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 1:06SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker22
21
Q1 - 1:06NOHHornets Rebound22
21
Q1 - 1:06NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 222
21
Q1 - 1:06SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
21
Q1 - 1:17SASFinley P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
21
Q1 - 1:31SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)22
21
Q1 - 1:48NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)22
18
Q1 - 2:06NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
18
Q1 - 2:08NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)20
18
Q1 - 2:18NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot20
18
Q1 - 2:46NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 2:55NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
18
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Oberto 2' Tip Shot18
18
Q1 - 2:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
18
Q1 - 2:58SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 3:16NOHMISS Wells 11' Jump Bank Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:29SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 3:43SASSPURS Rebound18
16
Q1 - 3:45NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 4:01SASParker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)18
16
Q1 - 4:18NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 4:35NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson16
14
Q1 - 4:35SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili16
14
Q1 - 4:35SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas16
14
Q1 - 4:35NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
14
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
14
Q1 - 4:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
12
Q1 - 4:55NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
12
Q1 - 5:12SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)16
12
Q1 - 5:18NOHPaul 4' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 5:31SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)14
10
Q1 - 5:49NOHPaul 3' Layup (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)14
8
Q1 - 5:53SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)12
8
Q1 - 6:04SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 6:04NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
8
Q1 - 6:06NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot12
8
Q1 - 6:22SASGinobili 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
8
Q1 - 6:42NOHPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
6
Q1 - 6:42NOHPeterson OFF.Foul (P1)12
6
Q1 - 6:49SASGinobili 3' Layup (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 6:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
4
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 7:06NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
4
Q1 - 7:19SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
4
Q1 - 7:23SASSPURS Rebound12
4
Q1 - 7:24SASMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 7:29SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
4
Q1 - 7:31SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 7:53NOHPaul 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
4
Q1 - 8:09SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 8:09SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
3
Q1 - 8:09NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
2
Q1 - 8:22NOHPaul 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
2
Q1 - 8:33SASParker Layup (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 8:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
0
Q1 - 8:38NOHMISS West 9' Fadeaway Jumper8
0
Q1 - 8:59SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)8
0
Q1 - 9:03SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
0
Q1 - 9:09NOHWest 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 9:20NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
0
Q1 - 9:22NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:29NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
0
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:43NOHPaul 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 9:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
0
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:16NOHPeterson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:28NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Duncan 3' Turnaround Bank Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:39SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
0
Q1 - 10:41SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:56NOHMISS Paul 11' Pullup Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 11:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 11:18NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:29NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:30SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:44NOHWest 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Paul0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
18
31
58%
SAS
17
32
53%
Midrange
NOH
21
41
51%
SAS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
SAS
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
Free Throws
NOH
15
21
71%
SAS
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul3565%17.5 / 27
D. West2352%11.5 / 22
T. Chandler1286%6.0 / 7
P. Stojakovic844%4.0 / 9
B. Wells638%3.0 / 8
J. Wright660%3.0 / 5
M. Ely440%2.0 / 5
M. Peterson350%1.5 / 3
J. Pargo214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3155%15.5 / 28
M. Ginobili3165%15.5 / 24
T. Duncan1650%8.0 / 16
B. Bowen1255%6.0 / 11
M. Finley1179%5.5 / 7
K. Thomas450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry3150%1.5 / 1
F. Oberto233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
78
+15
-10
93
SAS
80
+15
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.1%
SAS
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
103.3
NOH 112.5
SAS 122.2 +9.7
Pace
86.8
90.1
NOH 93.0 +7.7
SAS 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.5
NOH 15.5 −1.4
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
49.3%
NOH 50.6%
SAS 54.7% +4.1%
TO %
9.4%
13.6%
NOH 9.8%
SAS 9.6% −0.2%
ORB %
24.2%
21.5%
NOH 28.6%
SAS 31.0% +2.4%
FTrt
25.0
26.1
NOH 25.3 +0.6
SAS 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
57.3%
NOH 36.6%
SAS 68.3% +31.7%
STL %
8.3%
5.9%
NOH 4.5% +1.2%
SAS 3.3%
BLK %
9.5%
6.2%
NOH 11.7% +2.0%
SAS 9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.7%
NOH 52.1%
SAS 57.3% +5.2%
Rim FG%
55.2%
58.4%
NOH 58.1% +5.0%
SAS 53.1%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
NOH 51.2% +4.8%
SAS 46.4%
3P %
41.1%
37.5%
NOH 18.2%
SAS 44.0% +25.8%
FT %
77.4%
74.5%
NOH 71.4%
SAS 81.0% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
31.1%
NOH 37.3%
SAS 37.6% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
52.9%
43.8%
NOH 49.4%
SAS 32.9% −16.5%
3P Att. %
17.3%
25.2%
NOH 13.3%
SAS 29.4% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points99110
Rebounds4143
Assists1528
Steals43
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals41-8341-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3117-32
Midrange FG21-4113-28
2-Point FG39-7230-60
3-Point FG2-1111-25
Free Throws15-2117-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.1
23
52%
12
2
2
3
2
2
1
11
3-6
50%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
41.9
35
65%
2
9
1
0
1
3
2
0
5-5
100%
15-23
65%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 26
35.8
12
86%
8
0
0
1
1
4
3
5
2-4
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
35.5
8
44%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
22.7
3
50%
2
0
0
1
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
17.1
6
38%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
15.6
2
14%
2
3
0
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
15.4
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
12.3
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
#1 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
41
15
4
7
10
0
12
29
15-21
71%
39-72
54%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.