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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Hornets35%8780
3Spurs65%92100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
33.9
40.7
10
31%
5
1
2
1
3
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-15
8-17
27%
46%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
32.5
36.5
6
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.0
31.3
40.9
23
65%
6
5
3
2
0
4
1
5
3-4
75%
10-15
7-15
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
27.6
22.4
7
39%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.6
24.7
33.5
2
114%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
57%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.0
18.8
13.3
4
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
17.9
15.7
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
17.2
18.1
11
39%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
40%
3-8
38%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
12.0
1.6
9
77%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
0-0
80%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.9
12.0
0.9
2
20%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.5
12.0
0.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
0.1
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
35.0
39.7
22
72%
15
3
0
1
4
2
3
12
2-5
40%
10-12
8-16
83%
49%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
33.3
34.6
9
46%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
39%
1-7
14%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
31.9
34.6
15
52%
4
8
1
1
1
4
1
3
3-3
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.0
31.5
39.5
21
68%
6
8
1
1
0
2
0
6
5-8
63%
8-12
9-18
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
8.4
20.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.8
23.1
7.4
15
84%
6
0
4
0
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.2
22.6
22.4
12
86%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
20.5
20.6
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
11.1
2.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
9.8
4.6
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.4
8.1
7.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.7
4.8
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.