Final Win Prob. pScore
536%88
80
364%92
100
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
93.08695.5
SAS logo Spurs
113.68880.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS80
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHArmstrong 1' Layup (9 PTS)80
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot78
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21NOHWells 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21NOHWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22NOHMISS Armstrong 4' Jump Shot76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Horry 17' Step Back Jump Shot76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52NOHArmstrong 2' Dunk (7 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)74
100
Q4 - 2:02SASVaughn P.FOUL (P2.T4)74
100
Q4 - 2:06SASUdoka Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31NOHVaughn STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39SASMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00NOHMISS James 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08NOHMISS James 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21SASMISS Stoudamire 5' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41NOHMISS Wells 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18NOHUdoka STEAL (4 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29NOHWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46SASSUB: Stoudamire FOR Oberto74
97
Q4 - 4:46SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)74
97
Q4 - 4:51NOHUdoka STEAL (3 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15SASMISS Vaughn 4' Hook Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39NOHUdoka STEAL (2 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46NOHWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09NOHArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53NOHMISS James 19' Jump Shot72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Horry 14' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:31NOHJames 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56NOHHornets Rebound69
94
Q4 - 7:56NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56SASHorry S.FOUL (P2.T3)69
94
Q4 - 7:56NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58NOHMISS Bowen 1' Layup69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04SASSUB: Horry FOR Finley69
94
Q4 - 8:04SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili69
94
Q4 - 8:0469
94
Q4 - 8:04SASVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T2)69
94
Q4 - 8:08NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10SASMISS Udoka 11' Jump Shot69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27NOHArmstrong 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45SASFinley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07NOHWright 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:26SASOberto 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)65
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 9:43SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 9:45NOHMISS Wells 18' Jump Shot65
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 10:04SASOberto 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)65
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:23NOHWells 1' Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:29SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)63
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 10:40SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 10:42NOHMISS James 3' Layup63
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 10:48SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Bowen63
87
Q4 - 10:48SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan63
87
Q4 - 10:48SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T1)63
87
Q4 - 10:59SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 11:26NOHWright 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 11:42NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Bank Shot61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 12:0061
85
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Pargo 29' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0NOHMISS West 2' Layup61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHMISS Pargo 1' Layup61
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:02NOHUdoka STEAL (1 STL)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:14SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)61
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:36NOHMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 1:51SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:51SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 1:51SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker61
83
Q3 - 1:51NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
83
Q3 - 1:51NOHPaul S.FOUL (P3.PN)61
83
Q3 - 1:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:56NOHDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASUdoka 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)61
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 2:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)61
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 2:34NOHMISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper61
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 2:52SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)61
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 3:07SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 3:08NOHMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot61
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 3:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)61
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 3:22SASSPURS Rebound61
78
Q3 - 3:22SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 261
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 3:22NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)61
78
Q3 - 3:42NOHPaul 2' Layup (23 PTS)61
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 3:48SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)59
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 4:02NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)59
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 4:02SASParker S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
78
Q3 - 4:02NOHPaul Layup (20 PTS)58
78
Q3 - 4:18SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 4:18SASSUB: Udoka FOR Ginobili56
76
Q3 - 4:18NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.PN)56
76
Q3 - 4:18SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 4:19NOHMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 4:25NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 4:28SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot56
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 4:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 4:39NOHFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)56
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 4:57SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 5:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot56
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 5:22NOHPargo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)56
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 5:36SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T4)53
73
Q3 - 5:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 5:41SASMISS Ginobili 1' Dunk53
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 5:53SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
73
Q3 - 5:56NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)53
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 6:17SASGinobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)50
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 6:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 6:37NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot50
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 6:50SASFinley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)50
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 7:07NOHPargo 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 7:19SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)48
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 7:19NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P2.T4)48
68
Q3 - 7:19SASGinobili 6' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)48
68
Q3 - 7:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)48
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 7:31NOHMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 7:45NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 7:47SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot48
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 8:05NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 8:05NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 8:05SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.T3)46
66
Q3 - 8:17SASParker 2' Layup (20 PTS)46
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 8:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 8:30NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 146
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 8:30SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)46
64
Q3 - 8:30NOHPaul 1' Layup (18 PTS)46
64
Q3 - 8:39SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 8:39SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 8:39SASSUB: Finley FOR Oberto44
62
Q3 - 8:39NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Chandler44
62
Q3 - 8:39NOHChandler S.FOUL (P5.T3)44
62
Q3 - 8:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 8:43SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot44
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 9:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 9:07NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot44
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)44
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 9:17NOHChandler S.FOUL (P4.T2)44
61
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan 5' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)44
61
Q3 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 9:31NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot44
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:39NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q3 - 9:40SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 9:54NOHMISS Peterson 2' Layup44
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:59SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q3 - 10:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 10:03NOHMISS Peterson 2' Layup44
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 10:18SASDuncan 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)44
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 10:31NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P4.T8)44
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 10:31NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P2)44
57
Q3 - 10:45SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas44
57
Q3 - 10:45SASThomas P.FOUL (P3.T1)44
57
Q3 - 10:55SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)44
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 11:12NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)44
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 11:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 11:23SASSPURS Rebound42
55
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 242
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 11:23NOHChandler S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
55
Q3 - 11:39NOHWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)42
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 12:0042
55
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS42
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound42
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 46' 3PT Running Jump Shot42
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHPaul 1' Layup (14 PTS)42
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)40
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Ely40
54
Q2 - 0:09.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Ginobili40
54
Q2 - 0:09.0NOHEly S.FOUL (P1.T4)40
54
Q2 - 0:09.0SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)40
54
Q2 - 0:14.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Horry40
52
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHSUB: Ely FOR Chandler40
52
Q2 - 0:14.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)40
52
Q2 - 0:15.0NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
10.1%
52
89.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.PN)38
52
Q2 - 0:22.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASSPURS Rebound38
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 1:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 1:07NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 1:29SASHorry 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)38
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 1:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:49NOHMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 238
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 1:49SASSUB: Horry FOR Thomas38
50
Q2 - 1:49NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 1:49SASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T4)37
50
Q2 - 1:50NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 1:51NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 2:12SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)37
50
Q2 - 2:26SAS37
48
Q2 - 2:26NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
48
Q2 - 2:42SASSUB: Thomas FOR Oberto35
48
Q2 - 2:42SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)35
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 2:42SASSPURS Rebound35
47
Q2 - 2:42SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 235
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 2:42NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
47
Q2 - 2:44NOHParker STEAL (1 STL)35
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 2:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 2:51NOHDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)35
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 2:58SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)35
47
Q2 - 2:58NOHHornets Rebound35
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 2:58NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 3:05NOHHornets Rebound35
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 3:05NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)35
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 3:21SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)35
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 3:21SASSPURS Rebound35
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 3:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q2 - 3:42SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn35
47
Q2 - 3:42SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
47
Q2 - 3:48NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 3:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 133
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 4:00SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker33
47
Q2 - 4:00NOHChandler S.FOUL (P2.T2)33
47
Q2 - 4:00SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS)33
47
Q2 - 4:20NOHPaul Driving Layup (10 PTS)33
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q2 - 4:36NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 4:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot31
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 4:48NOHChandler P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
45
Q2 - 4:57NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)31
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 5:11SASSUB: Oberto FOR Finley28
45
Q2 - 5:11NOHSUB: West FOR Wright28
45
Q2 - 5:11SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka28
45
Q2 - 5:11SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
45
Q2 - 5:27SASParker 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)28
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 5:34SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 5:37NOHMISS Wright 4' Jump Shot28
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 5:40NOHWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 5:41NOHMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot28
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 6:05SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)28
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 6:26NOHStojakovic 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 6:46SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)26
9.6%
41
90.4%
Q2 - 6:58NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)26
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 7:15NOHSUB: Chandler FOR West26
39
Q2 - 7:15NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo26
39
Q2 - 7:15NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Wells26
39
Q2 - 7:15NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
39
Q2 - 7:21SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)26
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 7:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 7:39NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)26
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 7:42NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 7:43NOHMISS Pargo 3' Layup26
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 7:56SASParker 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)26
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 8:08SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili26
34
Q2 - 8:08SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto26
34
Q2 - 8:08NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 8:08NOHWest OFF.Foul (P1)26
34
Q2 - 8:19SASUdoka Driving Layup (5 PTS)26
19.5%
34
80.5%
Q2 - 8:34SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 8:38NOHGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)26
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 8:5426
32
Q2 - 8:54SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
32
Q2 - 9:01SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:01SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P1)26
32
Q2 - 9:12NOHWest 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)26
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 9:32SASGinobili 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)24
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 9:39SASSUB: Finley FOR Thomas24
30
Q2 - 9:39NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Chandler24
30
Q2 - 9:39SASSPURS Rebound24
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Parker 2' Layup24
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 9:55SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 9:56NOHMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot24
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 10:08NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 10:23SASSUB: Parker FOR Finley24
30
Q2 - 10:23SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan24
30
Q2 - 10:23NOHWells Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
21.6%
30
78.4%
Q2 - 10:39SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)24
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 11:00NOHWells 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)24
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q2 - 11:18SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
25.6%
27
74.4%
Q2 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q2 - 11:35NOHMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot22
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q2 - 11:39NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q2 - 11:40NOHMISS West Layup22
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q2 - 12:0022
24
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH22
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound22
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Pargo 73' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Oberto22
24
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHPaul Violation:Kicked Ball22
24
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHBowen STEAL (1 STL)22
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
31.4%
24
68.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Oberto Layup22
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0NOHPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 1:03NOHWells P.FOUL (P1.T3)19
24
Q1 - 1:12NOHSUB: Wells FOR Stojakovic19
24
Q1 - 1:12SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker19
24
Q1 - 1:12SASSPURS Rebound19
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 1:13SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot19
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q1 - 1:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 1:23NOHMISS West 11' Turnaround Bank Shot19
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 1:34NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 1:35NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot19
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 1:54SASParker 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)19
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 2:15NOHPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)19
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 2:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 2:29SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 2:29NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
20
Q1 - 2:29NOHPargo S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
20
Q1 - 2:45NOHWest 1' Layup (4 PTS)16
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 2:58SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)14
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 3:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
26.1%
18
73.9%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot14
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 3:39SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 3:39SASSPURS Rebound14
17
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 214
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 3:39NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Peterson14
17
Q1 - 3:39SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili14
17
Q1 - 3:39NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
17
Q1 - 3:52NOHPaul 1' Layup (8 PTS)14
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 4:03SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)12
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 4:21NOHStojakovic 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)12
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 4:26SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 4:29SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 4:55NOHPaul 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 5:04SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 5:28NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot8
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 5:41SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 5:41SASBowen OFF.Foul (P1)8
12
Q1 - 5:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 5:58NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot8
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 6:14SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 6:28SASSUB: Oberto FOR Thomas8
10
Q1 - 6:28SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 6:30NOHStojakovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)8
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 6:35NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Parker 2' Layup6
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 6:55SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 6:56NOHMISS Stojakovic 1' Layup6
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 7:19SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:41NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)6
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 8:02SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 8:11NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)4
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 8:15NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.4%
6
67.6%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Parker 1' Layup4
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 8:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 8:21NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot4
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 8:36SASParker Layup (4 PTS)4
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 8:53SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 8:55NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot4
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:09SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:32NOHMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot4
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 9:44SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:56SASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:07SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 10:11SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 10:13NOHMISS West 14' Turnaround Jump Shot2
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 10:35NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 10:37NOHMISS Paul 7' Jump Bank Shot2
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 10:46NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 10:48SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:03NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:14SASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:26SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:27NOHMISS Stojakovic 1' Layup0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:40NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.91 45.5%
SAS
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
16
32
50%
SAS
14
23
61%
Midrange
NOH
12
35
34%
SAS
17
27
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
SAS
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
NOH
9
12
75%
SAS
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2368%11.5 / 17
J. Pargo1139%5.5 / 14
D. West1033%5.0 / 15
H. Armstrong975%4.5 / 6
M. Peterson739%3.5 / 9
P. Stojakovic633%3.0 / 9
B. Wells660%3.0 / 5
J. Wright450%2.0 / 4
T. Chandler2100%1.0 / 1
M. James220%1.0 / 5
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2279%11.0 / 14
T. Parker2166%10.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1554%7.5 / 14
I. Udoka1583%7.5 / 9
M. Finley1286%6.0 / 7
B. Bowen945%4.5 / 10
F. Oberto467%2.0 / 3
R. Horry220%1.0 / 5
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 0
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 4
B. Barry0-0.0 / 1
D. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
73
+14
-13
87
SAS
75
+13
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.91 45.5%
SAS
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
103.3
NOH 93.0
SAS 113.6 +20.6
Pace
86.8
90.1
NOH 95.5 +15.4
SAS 80.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.5
NOH 15.1 −2.9
SAS 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
49.3%
NOH 43.3%
SAS 56.6% +13.3%
TO %
9.4%
13.6%
NOH 13.0% −2.0%
SAS 15.0%
ORB %
24.2%
21.5%
NOH 21.3%
SAS 23.5% +2.2%
FTrt
25.0
26.1
NOH 14.6
SAS 26.3 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
57.3%
NOH 36.4%
SAS 69.2% +32.8%
STL %
8.3%
5.9%
NOH 12.8% +3.7%
SAS 9.1%
BLK %
9.5%
6.2%
NOH 10.0% +1.0%
SAS 9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.7%
NOH 45.5%
SAS 56.8% +11.3%
Rim FG%
55.2%
58.4%
NOH 50.0%
SAS 60.9% +10.9%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
NOH 34.3%
SAS 63.0% +28.7%
3P %
41.1%
37.5%
NOH 33.3% +2.5%
SAS 30.8%
FT %
77.4%
74.5%
NOH 75.0% +5.0%
SAS 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
31.1%
NOH 39.0% +8.8%
SAS 30.3%
Mid Att. %
52.9%
43.8%
NOH 42.7%
SAS 35.5% −7.2%
3P Att. %
17.3%
25.2%
NOH 18.3%
SAS 34.2% +15.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points80100
Rebounds3645
Assists1227
Steals118
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)37 (0)
Field Goals33-8239-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3214-23
Midrange FG12-3517-27
2-Point FG28-6731-50
3-Point FG5-158-26
Free Throws9-1214-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
33.9
10
33%
5
1
2
3
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
32.5
6
33%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
31.3
23
68%
6
5
3
0
4
3
1
5
3-4
75%
10-15
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
27.6
7
39%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 26
24.7
2
100%
4
1
1
1
0
5
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
18.8
4
50%
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
17.9
6
60%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
17.2
11
39%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
3-8
38%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
12.0
9
75%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
12.0
2
20%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
46%
36
12
11
5
13
0
10
26
9-12
75%
28-67
42%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.