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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs42%8879
8Hornets58%91101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
40.2
36.9
10
27%
23
2
0
1
1
3
5
18
0-1
0%
5-18
7-15
28%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.0
38.4
35.1
18
56%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-5
60%
6-11
8-15
55%
50%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
37.5
33.0
20
54%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
3-7
43%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
33.8
33.6
10
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
39%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
13.3
13.4
2
17%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
46%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.8
21.4
16.0
9
75%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
15.6
20.4
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.2
15.2
22.4
2
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.4
12.4
7.9
3
31%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
7.4
7.4
1
57%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.7
2.5
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.3
2.3
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
44.9
33.9
9
51%
11
1
1
1
0
1
0
11
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
43.9
36.8
38
68%
14
5
2
1
5
2
4
10
6-7
86%
16-25
7-16
64%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.0
42.5
35.4
22
48%
3
14
1
2
0
1
3
0
9-11
82%
5-16
6-13
31%
49%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
37.0
25.0
12
67%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.6
31.1
28.5
4
34%
8
0
1
0
3
2
3
5
0-2
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
16.4
17.5
10
61%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
6.8
16.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.0
5.7
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
5.5
4.6
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
2.9
7.5
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.9
1.8
7.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-1
100%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.5
1.8
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.