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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Hornets34%8780
3Spurs66%9299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.6
40.0
29.7
14
88%
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-8
3-5
88%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.0
38.5
38.7
21
54%
6
8
3
2
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
9-17
7-14
53%
48%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
37.8
40.0
10
34%
6
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-14
8-18
29%
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
35.9
38.9
13
60%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-1
100%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
21.8
30.6
3
30%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
15.9
16.9
2
17%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
39%
0-2
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.0
12.1
10.8
8
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.9
12.0
4.0
2
26%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
10.2
4.8
5
53%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.5
8.0
3.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
7.8
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
35.3
38.4
20
57%
15
6
0
1
2
1
1
14
6-8
75%
7-14
8-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.8
33.5
35.1
25
79%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
6-9
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.0
30.6
36.8
15
52%
4
4
2
1
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
5-12
8-16
42%
50%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.9
27.9
33.5
6
39%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
1-5
20%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
18.5
17.8
4
50%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.8
21.0
18.4
13
119%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
3-3
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
20.6
13.0
6
75%
9
2
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.2
17.6
18.8
2
17%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.7
13.8
7.3
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.4
7.6
10.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.3
7.6
4.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
6.0
2.8
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.