Final Win Prob. pScore
632%87
80
368%93
99
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
92.08789.2
SAS logo Spurs
111.28986.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0NOHBowen 1' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHMISS Ely 13' Jump Shot78
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)78
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOHMISS Ely 7' Turnaround Jump Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Bonner 15' Jump Bank Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28NOHMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASVaughn 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28NOHPargo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:4676
95
Q4 - 2:46NOHPargo P.FOUL (P3.T1)76
95
Q4 - 2:55NOHWright 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30NOHMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30NOHEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASThomas S.FOUL (P3.T4)73
93
Q4 - 3:45NOHJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02NOHEly 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32NOHMISS James 19' Jump Shot71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16NOHWright 3' Layup (6 PTS)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29SASBarry 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46SASSUB: Thomas FOR Udoka69
89
Q4 - 5:46SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)69
89
Q4 - 5:52SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53NOHMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57SASSUB: Bonner FOR Horry69
89
Q4 - 6:02SASHorry L.B.FOUL (P5.T3)69
89
Q4 - 6:02SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22NOHWright 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53NOHMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Horry 13' Turnaround Bank Shot67
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:23NOHUdoka STEAL (1 STL)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38NOHJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38NOHJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker65
89
Q4 - 7:38SASSUB: Barry FOR Thomas65
89
Q4 - 7:38NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Paul65
89
Q4 - 7:38SASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T2)65
89
Q4 - 7:45NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01NOHSUB: Bowen FOR Stojakovic65
89
Q4 - 8:01SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili65
89
Q4 - 8:01NOHSUB: Wright FOR Chandler65
89
Q4 - 8:01NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T8)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P5)65
89
Q4 - 8:21SASFinley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34SASSPURS Rebound65
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:36NOHMISS James 22' Jump Shot65
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 8:56SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)65
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 9:09NOHEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:09NOHEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:09SASHorry S.FOUL (P4.T1)63
84
Q4 - 9:19NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:40SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:48NOHHorry STEAL (1 STL)63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo63
84
Q4 - 10:11NOHSUB: Ely FOR West63
84
Q4 - 10:11NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)63
84
Q4 - 10:11SASHorry Foul Turnover (P2.T11)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:11SASHorry OFF.Foul (P3)63
84
Q4 - 10:29SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan63
84
Q4 - 10:29SASSPURS Rebound63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:29NOHMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:48SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 11:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 11:07NOHMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot63
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 11:35SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)63
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 12:0063
78
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH63
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASHorry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker63
78
Q3 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto63
78
Q3 - 0:45.0NOHChandler S.FOUL (P2.T4)63
78
Q3 - 0:45.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)63
78
Q3 - 0:49.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHUdoka BLOCK (1 BLK)63
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 1:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)63
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 1:16NOHMISS Pargo 2' Layup63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 1:36SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)63
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:50SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 1:52NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot63
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 2:02NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 2:04NOHMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 2:16SASUdoka P.FOUL (P2.T4)63
74
Q3 - 2:26SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)63
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 2:46SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 2:48NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 3:03SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T3)63
71
Q3 - 3:09NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Peterson63
71
Q3 - 3:09SASSUB: Udoka FOR Ginobili63
71
Q3 - 3:09SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T2)63
71
Q3 - 3:28NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot63
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 3:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)63
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 3:50NOHMISS West 14' Jump Shot63
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 3:58NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot63
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 4:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)63
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 4:15NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 4:17NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 4:18NOHMISS Stojakovic 8' Jump Bank Shot63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 4:31SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)63
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 4:44SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)63
71
Q3 - 4:45NOHChandler 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)63
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 4:57SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)61
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 5:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)61
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 5:19NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot61
14.1%
68
85.9%
Q3 - 5:30SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
68
Q3 - 5:36NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 5:38SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot61
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 5:59NOHPaul 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 6:10SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 6:31NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)59
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q3 - 6:46SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)57
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 7:07NOHPaul 2' Layup (19 PTS)57
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q3 - 7:16NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 7:18SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot55
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 7:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 7:41NOHMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot55
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:05NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)55
65
Q3 - 8:06SASOberto 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)55
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 8:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 8:21NOHMISS Peterson 1' Layup55
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 8:28SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)55
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 8:44SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)55
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 8:44NOHWest T.FOUL (P4.T3)55
62
Q3 - 8:44NOHWest Foul Turnover (P2.T6)55
14.2%
62
85.8%
Q3 - 8:44NOHWest OFF.Foul (P4)55
62
Q3 - 9:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 9:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 9:02NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.T3)55
60
Q3 - 9:12NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
60
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)55
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 9:22NOHMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot55
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 9:31NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 9:32SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
20.1%
60
79.9%
Q3 - 9:50NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T5)55
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 9:50NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P4)55
60
Q3 - 9:51NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot55
20.1%
60
79.9%
Q3 - 10:07NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P1.T4)55
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 10:07NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P3)55
60
Q3 - 10:12SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)55
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 10:24NOHPaul 5' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 10:43NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 10:45SASMISS Oberto 10' Turnaround Jump Shot53
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 11:08NOHMISS Paul 7' Turnaround Jump Shot53
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 11:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 11:28NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T1)53
60
Q3 - 11:39NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)53
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 11:56SASParker 2' Layup (12 PTS)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 11:58NOHParker STEAL (2 STL)51
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 12:0051
58
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound51
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Duncan 12' Running Jump Shot51
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen51
58
Q2 - 0:03.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Thomas51
58
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Paul51
58
Q2 - 0:03.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)51
58
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHHornets Violation: Delay of game Violation51
58
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHPaul 3' Layup (15 PTS)51
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
13.1%
58
86.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot49
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot49
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASMISS Duncan 3' Driving Layup49
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q2 - 1:09SASSPURS Rebound49
55
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical49
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 1:09NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec West )49
55
Q2 - 1:22NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 1:22NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q2 - 1:22SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
55
Q2 - 1:28NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q2 - 1:29SASMISS Parker 1' Layup47
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q2 - 1:47NOHStojakovic 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q2 - 2:02SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka45
55
Q2 - 2:02SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 2:08SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 2:10NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot45
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 2:26NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 2:27SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot45
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 2:49NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)45
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 2:49SASDuncan Violation:Kicked Ball45
55
Q2 - 2:50SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili45
55
Q2 - 2:50NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
55
Q2 - 2:50NOHHornets Rebound45
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 2:51NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)45
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 3:06SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)45
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q2 - 3:18SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 3:20NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot45
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 3:39NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 245
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q2 - 3:40SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q2 - 3:40NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
52
Q2 - 3:49NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 3:49NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
15.4%
52
84.6%
Q2 - 3:49SASUdoka P.FOUL (P1.PN)43
52
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)43
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 4:21NOHPaul 1' Layup (13 PTS)43
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q2 - 4:32SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)41
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 4:43NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot41
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 4:57SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)41
46
Q2 - 4:57NOHHornets Rebound41
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 4:57NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot41
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 5:08NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot41
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q2 - 5:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q2 - 5:20NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T4)41
46
Q2 - 5:35NOHChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)41
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 5:48SASSUB: Udoka FOR Finley39
46
Q2 - 5:48SASSUB: Bowen FOR Parker39
46
Q2 - 5:48SASDuncan Violation:Kicked Ball39
46
Q2 - 6:02NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 6:04SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup39
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 6:17SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry39
46
Q2 - 6:17SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
46
Q2 - 6:19NOHPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)39
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 6:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Parker 2' Layup36
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 6:36NOHPaul 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 6:46SASThomas 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)34
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 6:59NOHChandler 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 7:17NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Wells32
44
Q2 - 7:17SASThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 7:17SASThomas OFF.Foul (P1)32
44
Q2 - 7:26SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 7:27NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot32
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 7:36SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto32
44
Q2 - 7:36SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)32
44
Q2 - 7:41SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.T2)32
44
Q2 - 7:52SASParker 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 8:19NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 8:32NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wright30
42
Q2 - 8:32SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan30
42
Q2 - 8:3230
42
Q2 - 8:32SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
42
Q2 - 8:33SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)30
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 8:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
10.3%
42
89.7%
Q2 - 8:38NOHMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot30
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 8:58SASParker 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)30
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 9:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 9:15NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot30
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 9:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 9:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 9:31NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T3)30
38
Q2 - 9:53NOHPaul 2' Layup (7 PTS)30
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 9:57SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)28
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 10:08NOHWest 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 10:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 10:28SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka26
37
Q2 - 10:28SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 10:28NOHWells S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
36
Q2 - 10:47SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 10:49NOHMISS Wells 7' Fadeaway Jumper26
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 11:08NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 11:10SASMISS Parker 1' Running Layup26
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 11:18SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen26
36
Q2 - 11:18NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
36
Q2 - 11:40NOHWright 6' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 12:0024
36
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)24
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bowen )23
36
Q1 - 0:27.0SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0NOHSUB: Wright FOR Stojakovic23
33
Q1 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHMISS Wells 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 1:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q1 - 1:05NOHMISS West 8' Jump Hook Shot23
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q1 - 1:24SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q1 - 1:24SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q1 - 1:24NOHWells L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)23
31
Q1 - 1:24NOHPaul 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
31
Q1 - 1:34SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q1 - 1:48NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q1 - 1:48NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q1 - 1:48SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili19
28
Q1 - 1:48SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
28
Q1 - 1:59SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)19
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q1 - 2:17NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)19
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 2:30SASUdoka 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)17
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 2:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 2:42NOHMISS Wells 13' Jump Shot17
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 2:55NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
24
Q1 - 2:55SASHorry P.FOUL (P2.T4)17
24
Q1 - 3:05NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Udoka Free Throw 1 of 117
19.1%
24
80.9%
Q1 - 3:06NOHSUB: Wells FOR Pargo17
24
Q1 - 3:06NOHPargo S.FOUL (P2.T4)17
24
Q1 - 3:06SASUdoka 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
24
Q1 - 3:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 3:23NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot17
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 3:35NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 3:36NOHMISS Pargo 18' Step Back Jump Shot17
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 3:49SASSUB: Bowen FOR Parker17
22
Q1 - 3:49SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
22
Q1 - 3:59SASParker 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 4:10NOHMISS West 3' Driving Hook Shot17
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 4:27SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)17
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 4:27NOHPargo S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
19
Q1 - 4:27SASParker 4' Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
19
Q1 - 4:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 4:31NOHMISS West 14' Jump Shot17
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 4:40NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
30.9%
17
69.1%
Q1 - 4:41SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot17
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 4:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 4:51NOHMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot17
29.7%
17
70.3%
Q1 - 5:06SASGinobili 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)17
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 5:20NOHChandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)17
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 5:38SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 5:38SASSPURS Rebound15
14
Q1 - 5:38SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 215
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 5:38SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto15
14
Q1 - 5:38SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
14
Q1 - 5:38NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
14
Q1 - 5:42NOHParker STEAL (1 STL)15
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 5:59NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot15
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 6:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 6:15NOHMISS Chandler 3' Layup15
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 6:19NOHSUB: Pargo FOR Peterson15
14
Q1 - 6:19SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen15
14
Q1 - 6:19SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
14
Q1 - 6:24SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)15
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 6:40NOHStojakovic 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 6:58SASGinobili 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:11NOHStojakovic 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 7:29NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 111
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 7:30NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
10
Q1 - 7:30SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)11
10
Q1 - 7:35SASSPURS Rebound11
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:35SASMISS Parker 2' Layup11
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 7:51NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)11
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 8:12SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)8
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 8:32NOHChandler 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)8
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 8:43SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:59NOHWest 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)6
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:02NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:05SASMISS Oberto 3' Layup4
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:14SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 9:16NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:22SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:34SASGinobili 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 9:52NOHStojakovic 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:09NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:25SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:27NOHMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:40SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:47NOHMISS West 5' Running Jump Shot2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 11:01NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Duncan 2' Driving Layup2
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 11:19NOHChandler 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:42SASDuncan 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Ginobili0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.93 46.5%
SAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
19
28
68%
SAS
13
23
57%
Midrange
NOH
12
43
28%
SAS
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
SAS
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
NOH
12
13
92%
SAS
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2158%10.5 / 18
T. Chandler1488%7.0 / 8
P. Stojakovic1359%6.5 / 11
D. West1033%5.0 / 15
J. Wright850%4.0 / 8
M. Ely550%2.5 / 5
M. Peterson330%1.5 / 5
J. Pargo217%1.0 / 6
M. James225%1.0 / 4
R. Bowen250%1.0 / 2
B. Wells0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2583%12.5 / 15
T. Duncan2059%10.0 / 17
T. Parker1554%7.5 / 14
I. Udoka13130%6.5 / 5
B. Bowen638%3.0 / 8
K. Thomas675%3.0 / 4
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner467%2.0 / 3
M. Finley217%1.0 / 6
B. Barry250%1.0 / 2
J. Vaughn250%1.0 / 2
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
78
+8
-9
86
SAS
77
+9
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.93 46.5%
SAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
103.3
NOH 92.0
SAS 111.2 +19.3
Pace
86.8
90.1
NOH 89.2 +2.3
SAS 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.5
NOH 16.1 −0.4
SAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
49.3%
NOH 42.5%
SAS 56.5% +14.0%
TO %
9.4%
13.6%
NOH 9.5% −2.9%
SAS 12.4%
ORB %
24.2%
21.5%
NOH 13.6%
SAS 17.1% +3.5%
FTrt
25.0
26.1
NOH 16.3
SAS 23.4 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
57.3%
NOH 39.4%
SAS 73.7% +34.3%
STL %
8.3%
5.9%
NOH 8.0% +3.5%
SAS 4.5%
BLK %
9.5%
6.2%
NOH 7.1% +2.9%
SAS 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.7%
NOH 46.5%
SAS 57.6% +11.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
58.4%
NOH 67.9% +11.4%
SAS 56.5%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
NOH 27.9%
SAS 42.4% +14.5%
3P %
41.1%
37.5%
NOH 22.2%
SAS 52.4% +30.2%
FT %
77.4%
74.5%
NOH 92.3% +25.6%
SAS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
31.1%
NOH 35.0% +5.1%
SAS 29.9%
Mid Att. %
52.9%
43.8%
NOH 53.8%
SAS 42.9% −10.9%
3P Att. %
17.3%
25.2%
NOH 11.3%
SAS 27.3% +16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8099
Rebounds4045
Assists1328
Steals74
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)38 (2)
Field Goals33-8038-77
At-the-Rim FG19-2813-23
Midrange FG12-4314-33
2-Point FG31-7127-56
3-Point FG2-911-21
Free Throws12-1312-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 240 · 26
40.0
14
88%
6
1
1
2
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
38.5
21
58%
6
8
3
0
3
5
0
6
3-3
100%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
37.8
10
33%
6
1
1
2
2
4
1
5
2-2
100%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
35.9
13
59%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
21.8
3
30%
6
2
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
15.9
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
12.1
8
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
12.0
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
10.2
5
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
8.0
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
40
13
7
4
9
0
6
34
12-13
92%
31-71
44%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.