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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Spurs
102
8Mavericks
88
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
41
29
19
7
1
1
1
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.0
36
30
25
17
2
0
1
0
0
5
12
3-7
43%
11-19
6-12
58%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
33
31
23
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
4-6
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.0
31
17
7
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
1-1
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
30
22
4
9
2
0
1
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
33
31
16
4
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
7-16
6-12
44%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
20
20
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
2-5
40%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.0
11
15
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
6
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
17
0
0-1
44%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.5
5
0
1-2
52%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.2
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.1
40
37
5
4
8
2
2
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
38
37
24
10
4
1
1
0
0
3
7
5-6
83%
8-23
7-15
35%
48%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.1
37
35
17
7
1
2
1
2
3
1
6
4-4
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
22
25
0
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
21
28
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
41
25
27
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.4
26
20
2
8
0
2
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
10
16
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
5
0
0-0
38%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
3
0
0-1
51%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
0
0
0-0
40%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.