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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers44%97111
7Jazz56%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.7
42.1
41.2
32
57%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
10-12
83%
11-21
8-17
52%
47%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.8
40.4
34.7
10
54%
5
1
3
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.8
40.3
39.7
33
72%
14
2
0
1
2
1
7
7
9-11
82%
12-17
7-14
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.5
35.2
36.1
5
28%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.5
25.1
23.7
6
44%
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
25.5
27.8
10
75%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.4
17.5
18.8
12
60%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
8.5
11.9
3
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
3.5
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.1
1.8
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
1.0
0
0-0
39%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
43.2
37.6
21
47%
4
9
2
1
2
4
2
2
7-10
70%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
0-7
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
37.8
36.5
12
55%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.5
36.8
40.2
10
42%
14
0
0
1
0
4
1
13
2-2
100%
4-11
9-16
36%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
35.8
29.3
15
58%
2
4
0
1
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.4
30.2
13.8
4
50%
12
1
0
0
1
1
3
9
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.2
24.8
35.6
21
63%
6
1
1
1
1
1
4
2
5-6
83%
8-14
6-12
57%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
12.5
15.7
3
44%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.1
10.9
21.9
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
3.1
11.1
1
17%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.2
1.6
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.1
1.6
7
90%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.