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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 28, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat
109
21Bobcats
98
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
43
37
31
7
9
3
2
1
2
0
7
10-12
83%
9-14
7-13
64%
57%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
30
33
17
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.3
30
33
15
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-8
63%
5-11
7-13
45%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
22
27
10
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.9
18
16
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
32
27
13
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
2-3
67%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.6
22
15
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
36%
3-6
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.8
21
19
3
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
18
20
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
60%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
5
8
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
5
0
0-1
42%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
4
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.3
1
0
0-0
56%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.1
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.0
43
32
29
5
5
2
1
3
5
0
5
3-5
60%
7-8
4-9
88%
42%
4-7
57%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.2
42
36
10
10
5
1
1
1
2
1
9
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
34
25
12
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.7
33
6
7
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
1-4
25%
3-5
0-1
60%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.6
21
23
4
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
33
24
16
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
8-12
2-6
67%
42%
0-7
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.6
15
14
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
8
22
14
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
6-6
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
6
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.2
5
13
2
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.3
33
1
8-16
49%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.5
2
0
0-0
39%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
1
0
0-0
48%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.