Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors
83
17Nets
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
40
39
28
6
4
2
1
0
1
0
6
10-11
91%
6-15
7-14
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.1
38
37
11
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
2-7
29%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.0
26
26
9
9
0
0
0
0
3
3
6
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.2
23
23
6
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
21
30
4
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
57%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
26
28
8
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.3
24
27
9
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.4
14
13
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.5
13
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.9
11
0
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
0%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.9
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
4
0
0-1
47%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.9
2
0
0-0
44%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.8
40
38
17
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
7-9
78%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
38
36
23
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
4-10
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.6
35
26
12
6
3
3
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.5
31
20
9
9
3
1
1
0
1
3
6
1-2
50%
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
27
14
13
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
21
15
8
7
1
1
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
14
9
2
4
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.6
13
20
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.9
11
12
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.6
10
27
6
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
1
18
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
61%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.3
4
0
0-1
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.4
2
0
0-0
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.1
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.