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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 20, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
85
3Spurs
90
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.8
39
39
11
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
3-4
75%
4-13
6-12
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
36
39
11
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-12
6-14
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
27
30
8
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
17
13
2
8
0
0
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
16
24
7
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
32
24
19
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
3-7
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.2
30
23
10
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
41%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
26
22
11
3
3
2
1
1
2
2
1
3-5
60%
4-5
4-6
80%
59%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
12
9
6
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
2-2
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.5
0
0
0-0
43%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.1
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
38
30
27
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-5
60%
12-20
6-12
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.9
34
20
21
4
6
1
0
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
31
29
11
10
0
0
1
0
1
1
9
3-4
75%
4-8
4-7
50%
57%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
31
18
8
11
2
2
0
0
2
3
8
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
24
24
0
5
1
2
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.7
31
22
17
6
3
1
1
0
4
0
6
6-6
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
3-6
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
23
21
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
54%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
14
15
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
12
28
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.0
2
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
0
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
17
1
2-4
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
9
0
1-2
42%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.