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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
103
3Spurs
109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
40
36
21
2
6
1
2
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.9
39
37
26
15
1
0
1
1
3
1
14
6-6
100%
10-18
6-13
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
26
28
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
24
30
6
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
23
23
2
9
0
0
0
2
1
0
9
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.2
29
21
8
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.3
27
25
28
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
41%
7-9
78%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
24
11
4
5
3
0
0
4
0
2
3
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
8
13
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
10
0
2-3
51%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.2
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.6
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
38
30
23
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
8-22
6-13
36%
51%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
38
36
16
12
1
1
1
3
0
4
8
2-4
50%
7-16
7-13
44%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
35
35
15
8
1
0
2
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
57%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
32
27
17
12
5
0
1
0
1
6
6
3-6
50%
7-10
4-6
70%
54%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
16
16
6
3
0
2
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
30
28
19
4
5
3
1
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
22
25
8
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
16
18
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
11
16
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
3
0
0-1
49%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
2
0
0-1
49%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
2
0
0-0
53%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.