Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
111
6Mavericks
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
36
34
22
3
6
0
1
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
9-21
7-14
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
35
35
12
6
1
3
2
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
56%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
34
36
16
9
4
0
1
2
1
3
6
2-2
100%
7-9
7-14
78%
48%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
33
29
19
8
2
2
1
0
0
2
6
11-12
92%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
29
16
17
5
0
0
1
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
5-5
1-2
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
23
29
6
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
0-5
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
23
23
9
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
16
17
10
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
5
13
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
2
0
0-1
47%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
2
0
0-0
49%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.9
38
37
22
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
11-17
6-13
65%
49%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
35
38
29
2
2
1
2
0
5
0
2
4-6
67%
8-16
6-14
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
32
27
12
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
25
27
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
19
23
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
29
6
10
14
1
4
0
0
2
5
9
4-7
57%
3-10
1-2
30%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.3
28
26
13
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-2
2-5
100%
41%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.2
26
24
11
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
8
10
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
17
0
3-4
61%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.2
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.6
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.