Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks
96
2Spurs
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.9
36
38
22
9
0
2
1
1
1
2
7
6-7
86%
8-19
6-14
42%
47%
0-2
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.5
31
36
12
2
2
0
2
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-5
6-14
20%
43%
2-6
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
29
29
4
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
20
26
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
8
21
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.3
32
26
10
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.2
28
25
17
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
3-3
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.0
15
16
8
5
0
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
11
9
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
10
8
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.6
7
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
7
10
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
59%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.2
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
34
34
32
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
10-13
77%
11-18
8-15
61%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
32
22
16
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
4-6
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
31
35
15
8
1
0
1
2
2
3
5
1-2
50%
7-8
6-13
88%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
29
35
15
6
1
0
2
0
0
1
5
0-1
0%
6-9
4-7
67%
57%
1-5
20%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
15
31
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
4-7
-
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
27
23
8
7
5
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
24
26
20
3
5
6
1
0
3
0
3
8-9
89%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
17
16
7
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
10
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
6
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.