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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies
111
1Thunder
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
46
42
16
7
7
1
1
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
6-15
7-15
40%
46%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
42
28
16
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
41
38
25
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
10-20
7-16
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
39
38
19
7
12
0
2
0
2
2
5
5-7
71%
7-13
5-10
54%
45%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.1
14
13
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.3
35
26
8
8
3
4
2
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-3
4-8
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
25
21
9
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
14
7
14
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
1-1
75%
43%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
9
8
2
6
0
0
0
2
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.2
6
0
1-1
46%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
5
0
1-1
46%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.2
5
0
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
0
0
0-0
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
47
34
15
11
1
1
0
5
1
4
7
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
45
43
36
11
4
0
1
2
1
2
9
7-8
88%
7-16
8-16
44%
53%
5-12
42%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
43
32
29
7
8
1
2
1
3
2
5
6-8
75%
10-21
6-12
48%
47%
1-7
14%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
32
17
7
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.4
27
17
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.1
23
26
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.7
17
15
7
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
39%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.5
15
16
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.0
14
24
2
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
3
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
3
0
0-1
48%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.2
2
0
0-0
55%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.8
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.